Transcript Presentation (power point file)

The Ocean-Climate Nexus:
Key messages from the EMB 5th Forum
Jan Mees
Chair, European Marine Board
European Academy of Sciences Symposium
Climate change impacts on ocean, food production, health and the economy
Brest, 27-28 October 2015
A pan-European marine science
partnership
EMB mission
“The European Marine Board provides a pan‐European
platform for its member organizations to develop common
priorities, advance marine research, and bridge the gap
between science and policy in order to meet future marine
science challenges and opportunities.”
Transferring knowledge to the core of marine
research policy
16 years of achievement and
counting…
The Navigating the Future Series
2001
14pp.
2003
26pp.
2006
71pp.
2013
203pp.
• Reflection on current status and state-of-the-art;
• Anticipating emerging societal challenges;
• Horizon-scanning for seas and oceans research priorities;
• A blueprint to guide science and policy agenda at EU and national levels.
Launch of Navigating the Future IV
Launched in Brussels on 20 June 2013 in the company of:
Maire Geoghegan-Quinn – EU Commissioner for Research, Innovation & Science
Maria da Graca Carvalho – MEP, Rapporteur for the Horizon 2020 programme
The Marine Board plays a major role in
promoting marine science and
technology in Europe... Navigating the
Future IV is particularly timely for the
first Horizon 2020 programme...a
valuable source of ideas and common
priorities in the area of marine
sciences, providing a vision for sceince
and technology in Europe.
Máire Geoghegan-Quinn
EU Commissioner for Research,
Innovation and Science
NAVIGATING THE FUTURE IV
CHAPTER 3.
Changing oceans in a changing
Earth system
Major climate change trends and impacts on the
marine environment (1)
1. Physical properties and motions
of the seas
• Sea-level rise
• Sea surface temperature
• The thermohaline circulation
• Stratification
Major climate change trends and impacts on the
marine environment (2)
2. Melting Arctic sea ice
3. Movements of marine taxa to higher latitudes
4. Shifts in timing of critical biotic cycles
5. Other trends and multiple stressors
•
Ocean acidification
•
De-oxygenation
•
Coastal eutrophication
•
Fisheries impacts
•
Non-indigenous species
Research recommendation for climate change
Improved methods to reduce the uncertainty of climate change projections
• Meltwater run-off
• The strength of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
• The efficiency of ocean carbon uptake
Taking account of the full range of spatial and temporal scales
An integrated, robust and efficient observing network
Support adaptation and mitigation
Consensus Statement
Joint drafting expert (7) selection
3 teleconferences
Expert reviews (16) &
approval from Board members of 2 organizations
Consensus Statement:
A call from the ocean research community
• To the COP21:
– Recognize fundamental role of the ocean in the climate system
– Deliver an agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emission and
curb damage to the ocean & its ecosystem
– Understand & promote the role of ocean and climate research
• To research Funders:
– Support ocean-climate research & observation programmes
Consensus Statement
• Key role of the ocean
– Ocean is a key component of the global climate system
– Climate change alters physical, chemical and biological
properties of the oceans. Marine ecosystems have
responded and will continue to respond to these
changes
– Human societies depend on ocean services, which are
sensitive to climate change
– Successful adaptation and mitigation strategies must
consider the ocean
• But, key uncertainties remain…
Gaps and needs
• Insufficient understanding of some key processes, e.g.,
– mixing in the ocean interior
– interactions between ecosystem functioning and
biodiversity
• Sustaining and enhancing the ocean observing system
– integrating biogeochemical and biological observations
– improving coverage (space and time)
– filling gaps in the deep ocean
• Combining advanced models with observations
• International cooperation
Towards more reliable projections
Observations
Multidisciplinary
Multidimensional
Synchronous
Long-term
Modeling
Process
Understanding
Biodiversity
Scale interactions
Unified System
(Climate,
Ecosystem,
Humans)
Thank you
www.marineboard.eu