Transcript Climate Change Action Plan 08-04

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
Climate Change Action Plan
Air Quality Technical Advisory Committee
August 4, 2016
Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
• Action Plan Responsibilities:
• The Department shall, in consultation with the
committee, submit an Action Plan to the Governor.
• The first plan to be submitted within 15 months of
the effective date of the act and every three years
thereafter.
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Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
• First Action Plan submitted to Governor on Dec. 18,
2009.
• The first update submitted to Governor on Dec. 31,
2013 (Pa. Climate Change Action Plan Update)
• The second update submitted to Governor on July 31,
2016 (2015 Climate Change Action Plan Update)
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Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
• Action Plan Requirements:
• Identifies GHG emissions, sequestration trends, and
baselines.
• Evaluates strategies for reducing or offsetting GHG
emissions.
• Identifies cost, benefits and co-benefits of GHG
reduction strategies, including impact of future energy
needs.
• Identifies areas of agreement and disagreement.
• Recommends legislative changes.
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Climate Change Action Plan
• The Climate Change Action Plan Update report
includes:
• Executive Summary
• Chapter 1. Overview & Introduction
• Chapter 2. Climate Change Impacts
• Chapter 3. Inventory & Projections
• Chapter 4. Energy
• Chapter 5. Land Use
• Chapter 6. Transportation
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Climate Change Action Plan
• Chapter 7. Forests
• Chapter 8. Agriculture
• Chapter 9. Waste Management
• Chapter 10. Macroeconomic Analysis
• Chapter 11. Climate Change Mitigation Needs
• Chapter 12. Legislative Recommendations
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Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
New to 2015 Action Plan Update
• Chapter 2
– Climate Change Impacts
– Sectorial Assessment
• Agriculture
• Energy
• Forests
• Human Health
• Outdoor Recreation
• Water
• Wetlands & Aquatic Ecosystems
• Coastal Resources
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Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
• The 2015 Update shows that Pennsylvania has
undergone a long-term warming of more than 1°C (1.8°F)
over the past 110 years.
• Models used in the Update suggest this warming is a
result of anthropogenic influence, and this trend is
accelerating. Projections in the 2015 Update show that
by the middle of the 21st Century, Pennsylvania will be
about 3°C (5.4°F) warmer than it was at the end of the
20th Century.
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Pennsylvania Climate Change Act
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Climate Change Advisory Committee
• The Climate Change Advisory Committee (CCAC)
consists of 18 members appointed by the
Governor (6) and the Majority (6) and Minority
(6) leaders of the Senate and House, along with 3
ex-officio voting members:
– Secretary of Conservation and Natural Resources
– Secretary of Community and Economic
Development
– Chair of the Pennsylvania Public Utility
Commission
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Climate Change Advisory Committee
•
The CCAC member appointments are for 4 years.
•
Members must be residents of PA and are appointed
based on their interest, knowledge or expertise
regarding climate change issues. Members are selected
to reflect a diversity of viewpoints on climate change
issues from the scientific, business and industry,
transportation, environmental, social, recreation and
labor communities.
•
There are currently 4 vacancies on the committee.
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Climate Change Advisory Committee
• The CCAC established two subcommittees (Pocket
Groups) for work plan development:
• Generation type work plans
• Non-Generation type work plans
• The Pocket Groups provide the DEP with valuable
resources and insight into the development of the
work plans.
• During this Update process, the CCAC met 15 times
and conducted one conference call.
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Update Process
• The 2015 Update was based on a review and
evaluation of scientific literature and data along
with a macroeconomic analysis of the work plans.
• The report discusses work plans that, when
implemented, reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG)
emissions in the Commonwealth.
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Update Process
• The work plans cover a wide range of options for
emissions reductions in the energy, residential,
commercial, industrial, land use, transportation,
agriculture and forestry sectors in Pennsylvania.
• The DEP, with the advice of the CCAC, developed the
work plans following general criteria for all of the
individual work plans.
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Work Plans
• Work plans provide a framework for planning and
serve as a guide during a specified time period for
carrying out work.
• During the Update process, the DEP in consultation
with the CCAC developed 13 different work plans
covering various sectors within the Commonwealth.
• The Department incorporated all 13 work plans into
the Update.
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Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance
Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance
• This example of a work plan represents one of the plans
incorporated into the Update and is aimed at reducing GHG
emissions from small and medium-sized manufacturing facilities in
PA. This initiative looks to ensure that each year, 125 energy
assessments are conducted at qualifying small and medium-sized
manufacturing facilities in Pennsylvania. Assessments will be
designed by PADEP and performed by PennTAP and the DOE’s
Industrial Assessment Centers program (IAC).
• This work plan was developed by DEP in consultation with the full
CCAC.
• Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance was endorsed for
incorporation into the Update by a CCAC vote of 14-1-0.
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Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance
• Summary – A brief introduction to the work plan and what
it involves.
• Goals – The proposed results at the end of the specified
time period (through 2030).
• Implementation – What actions will be necessary to
accomplish the goal and usually a time line for the
completion of the initiatives contained in the work plan.
• Assumptions and Calculations – Certain assumptions must
be made in the development of a work plan. These
assumptions are analyzed and calculations are performed
to determine cost effectiveness and potential GHG
reductions.
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Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance
• GHG reductions and Cost Effectiveness – A summary table
of expected emissions reductions and the cost per ton of
CO2e saved or reduced.
• Potential Overlap – Identifies other work plans where the
emissions reductions from this work plan may be
accounted.
• CCAC Member Comments – Individual CCAC member
comments of agreement or disagreement with the
particular work plan are presented here.
• Macroeconomic Analysis – Each work plan is evaluated
with a REMI-model to provide projections on the economic
impact of adopting the work plan.
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Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance
2030 Annual
Manufacturing
Energy
Technical
Assistance
2030 Cumulative
Reductions
(MMtCO2e)
Cost
($MM)
Costeffectiveness
($/MtCO2e)
Reductions
(MMtCO2e)
Total NPV
($MM)
Costeffectiveness
($/MtCO2e)
.82
-144.59
-176.8
7.07
-587
-83.05
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Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance
META Macroeconomic Analysis
Economic Indicator
2020
2025
2030
2016-2030
Avg.
Employment
-20
-30
-30
-25
GDP ($Million)
-$10
-$10
-$10
-$10
Income ($Million)
0
-$1
-$2
-$1
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Thank You
Frank Purtell
Bureau of Air Quality
717-787-2030
[email protected]