Transcript GIZ-CDKN_Knowledge_Brokers_Workshop_

CLIMATE CHANGE KNOWLEDGE
PRODUCTS
Climate Change Team -
Environment Department
Overview
Climate
Knowledge
products
–
Climate Modelling and Impact Assessments
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Adaptation/Risk Reduction
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Climate related tools
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Low Carbon growth studies
Climate Change Knowledge Portal
For Development Practitioners and Policy Makers
What:
– Collaborative on-line portal
– Range of climate, disaster risk, and climate-related data and tools
– Support for climate resilience measures for specific user contexts and needs
Why:
– Facilitate easy access to consistent datasets and resources externally and
across the WB (avoid duplications!)
– Support implementation of actions by simplifying access to and use of
relevant quality information
Climate
Data
Access - Climate

Historical Baseline
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Historical Variability
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Future
–
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Change
Confidence
Impacts
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Crops
Disasters
Water
Resources
Global Runoff projections
•Mean Annual Runoff
•Base flow
•Peak flow
•Storage
•Mean annual Irrigation Deficit
•CMI (Climate Moisture Index)
Socio-Economic
Indicators
Access -Socio-economic
Indicators
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Standard
economic
indicators
MDG progress
and others
Land area below 5m
Population below 5m
Population w/in 100km
of coast
Flood events
Access to improved
water
Access to improved
sanitation
Access to electricity
HIV rate
Urban Growth Rate
Urban slum population
% workforce in
agriculture
Cereal yields
Food aid received
Drought events
Birth rate
Life Expectancy
Under 5 mortality
Undernourished
population
Malaria cases
Fertilizer use
Actions and Support
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Projects
Low
Carbon
Growth
Studies
Climate
Finance
Platform
Work in Progress
Interface and Data
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Other emissions scenarios
GCM downloads
Downscaled Data and Model
comparisons (July 2011)
GCM Derivatives (July 2011)
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Improved visualization of Impacts
and Maps
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Statistics
Confidence/ Agreement
UNEP GRIP Disasters
Downscaled Information
Integration of databases with
Global Facility for Disaster
Recovery and Reconstruction
Synthesis Products
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Disaster Risk Reduction
(GFDRR) adaptation country
profiles
Pilot country profiles Climate
Investment Funds (July 2011)
Sectoral Decision Support
Systems: Energy (July 2011)
Private Sector
GFDRR Tools: Climate Risk and Adaptation
Country Profiles
What? Climate Change Adaptation
profiles for the 31 GFDRR priority countries across all Bank
Regions -- an operational tool for both disaster risk
management and development practitioners to access justin-time reference information on adaptation
Why? Responding to partners’ needs
for real-time access to basic climate change information
through an integrated user friendly platform that also
allows one to explore, evaluate, and learn about
disaster risk reduction in a changing climate
How? Leverages GFDRR work on
geospatial analysis, vulnerability mapping, risk analysis,
and stakeholder engagement with WB adaptation
analytical programming. A modular configuration based
on the existing WB Climate Change Knowledge Portal
allows for continuous update and future expansion into
sector-specific coverage
http://countryadaptationprofiles.gfdrr.org
Synthesis Products: Climate Risk and
Adaptation Country Profiles
http://countryadaptationprofiles.gfdrr.org
Additional Resources
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WB Documents
including
material in
Archives
Links to additional
resources and tools to
support decision
making e.g.:
–
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UNDP Adaptation
Learning Mechanism
Other knowledge
products for Low
Carbon Growth
initiatives
Low Carbon Growth: Country Experiences
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Initial Pilots in 7 emerging economies
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Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland
and South Africa
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Spanned period 2007-10
Over 2 years each on average to
complete
Program cost approximately USD 8
million (to date)
Now working with next generation of
clients
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Algeria, Macedonia, Morocco, Nigeria, Tunisia,
Vietnam etc
Proven Experience: Lessons, Methodologies, Tools
Important Experience & Lessons
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Strategies for engagement
Building ownership and capacity
Pioneering new approaches, methodologies and tools
Helping to identify and weigh investments
Mobilizing finance
New Modeling Tools
• E-learning and help facilities for the EFFECT model
• User interface for MACC Tool
Knowledge Products & Dissemination
• Knowledge briefs (country studies, key lessons)
• HOW and train-the-trainer events
• Knowledge sharing (internal and external fora)
Several tools are needed to make low
carbon development decisions
Questions:
Abatement Opportunities
Technologies / Investment
Marginal Abatement Cost
EFFECT
HEAT
TAMT
MACtool
LULUCF
Multi-region
CGE
Dynamic
Stochastic
GE
Questions: Impact on
Economic Growth,
Employment, Trade,
Production Choices, etc.
Bottom-up vs. Top-down
In the Pipeline: Linking Macroeconomic and
Bottom-Up Models
•Multi-region CGE
•Peer-reviewed model
applied to Poland
•Impact of EU 20-20-20
package
MacroMAC
curve
•Dynamic stochastic
GE
•Poland model +
energy and climate
redesign
•Macro impact of
options
Low carbon growth
assessment for Poland
ROCA
Model
•TREMOVE model
(road transport)
•Passenger, freight
MEMO
Model
MicroMAC
Curve
•Marginal abatement cost
(NPV cost per tCO2e)
•~125 technology options
TREMOVE
Plus Model
http://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org
Contact
Ana Bucher
[email protected]
Jane Ebinger
[email protected]