The road to Paris
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Transcript The road to Paris
The EU climate
framework post the
Paris Agreement
Western Balkans Climate Resilience Workshop, Vienna,
11-12 May 2016
Ivana Mijatovic Cernos
DG Climate Action
The Paris Agreement
Outline
1. Paris Agreement and its global impacts
2. Adaptation in the Paris Agreement
3. EU response: The 2030 climate and energy
framework
4. EU Adaptation Strategy and way ahead
5. Implications for Accession Countries
The Paris Agreement
• Universal legal agreement
• Long-term goal
• 5-year ambition cycle
• Transparency, accountability and
compliance
• International cooperation
Climate
Action
An ambitious Agreement
• A long-term goal to hold temperature increase to
well below 20 C, and pursue efforts to limit to 1.50 C
• Global emissions to peak as soon as possible, net
zero emissions in the second half of the Century
• Legally binding obligations to maintain successive
targets and to pursue domestic mitigation
measures – 189 countries have submitted their
plans
• A global stocktake every five years starting in 2018
with increased ambition over time
Climate
Action
Commitments
Global stocktake
2018
2023
2028+
•Facilitative
dialogue on
emissions
reductions
•First global
stocktake
•Stocktake every 5
years
•To consider
progress on global
goals for lowemission and
climate-resilient
development – and
financing
•After 2030, all to
communicate new
emissions
reductions
contributions every
5 years
•New science on
1.5°C
•New or updated
contributions by
2020
Climate
Action
•Progression on
previous efforts
A transparent Agreement
• All Parties must account for their contributions –
track progress on targets
• Methodologies and common metrics will apply
• Enhanced transparency and accountability
framework, with biennial reporting and expert
review
• No double counting : essential for linking of
emission trading systems
Climate
Action
A fair Agreement
• Support for vulnerable countries
• Goal of mobilising $100bn per year extended to
2025, new goal to be set before 2025 widening the
donor base
• Capacity building and technology transfer for
developing countries ; support for monitoring,
reporting and verification
• Adaptation at political par; Loss and Damage for
the first time part of an international agreement
Climate
Action
Adaptation in the Paris Agreement
• Ambition
• Long-term goal on adaptation
• 5-year ambition cycle: A global stocktake every five years
starting in 2018 with increased ambition over time, which
also applies to adaptation
• Transparency
• Enhanced transparency and accountability, including for
adaptation action and support given and received
• Fairness
• Adaptation at political par with mitigation
• Loss and damage
• Support for developing countries, including finance
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Climate
Action
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
• Not legally binding, but universally apply to all
• Climate change in the agenda and the SDGs:
• Resilience fully
mainstreamed:
12 SDGs directly
involve taking
action on
climate change
• Goal 13: Take
urgent action to
combat climate
change and its
impacts
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Climate
Action
Ambition
Successful INDC process before Paris
Aggregate global emissions:
UNFCCC Synthesis report
UNEP Gap report
INDC more than numbers:
IEA World Energy Outlook:
decoupling
MILES IDDRI report: air pollution,
energy security benefits
JRC Global Energy and Climate
Outlook
Parties with INDCs covering periods up to 2030 invited to
communicate or update by 2020, following a 2018
facilitative dialogue => INDCs from 189 Parties
Climate
Action
Impact of INDCs on global emissions
Source: EC-JRC
Climate
Action
INDCs : References to carbon tax, ETS and International market
mechanisms
Adapted from WRI-CAIT
Ref. in INDCs to:
Domestic ETS and carbon taxes
Planned / possible use of int'al market mechanisms
No specific references or no INDC yet
Climate
Action
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Next steps
COM presented assessment to the Council on COP21 in March,
in view of 2030 climate and energy framework
• April 22:
High-level signatory ceremony in April
• November-December :
COP22 in Marrakech to deliver and elaborate on
implementation
• As of now :
start implementing INDCs
Climate
Action
What does Paris mean for the 2030 package?
• EU targets for 2030 target already reflect action
needed to stay below 2 degrees Celsius
• 2018 global stocktake will assess need for further
global action, based on past performance and new
science
• By 2020, submission of a mid-century emission
reduction strategy
• 2020, communicate or update existing NDC
• 2023, global stocktake
• 2025, communicate or update existing NDC
• ….
Climate
Action
2015 : Action on EU ETS
• May 2015 - Market Stability Reserve adopted
will boost confidence and step-be-step neutralise the
market surplus
• July 2015 - EU ETS revision proposed
a first crucial step for implementing the 2030 climate and
energy framework
• November 2015 - carbon market report
new annual reporting exercise; finds that EU ETS carbon
price incentivises cost-effective emission reductions,
motivates business and help bring innovative technologies
to the marketplace
Climate
Action
2016 : on EU ETS : key elements for
negotiation in Council and Parliament
•
•
•
•
Carbon leakage
Innovation fund
Modernisation fund
Transitional free allocation to power
sector in lower income Member States
Climate
Action
2016 : Commission to propose
implementation of EU INDCs
• Sectors outside the ETS: households, transport,
agriculture and land use, land use change and
forestry
• Strategy for the decarbonisation of transport
• Energy efficiency
• Electricity market design
• Renewables (including biomass, biofuels)
• Integrated climate and energy governance
Climate
Action
Implications for adaptation in the EU…
• The PA create a new vision and new
opportunities for adaptation:
•
"Soft binding" obligation for planning process
and implementation of actions
•
Adaptation efforts to become more ambitious
over time, and part of the Global Stocktake
• EU to review progress in implementing the 2013
Adaptation Strategy in 2017 focusing on 8 action areas
• Possible 2018 reinforced strategy showing proactivity on
adaptation from the EU
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Climate
Action
The EU Adaptation Strategy: Promoting action
by member States
Encourage MS to adopt
strategies and action plans
by 2017
• By 2016, 21 MS have
adopted national
strategies/plans
• Measure MS' level of
readiness adaptation
scoreboard
Climate
Action
The EU Adaptation Strategy: Better informed
decision making
• Bridge the knowledge gap
•
•
•
State of knowledge on
ecosystem based adaptation,
infrastructure, and vulnerability
assessment
Sectoral community of practice
(forest, water-energy, finance
and insurance)
Insurance study
• Further develop Climate-ADAPT
as the ‘one-stop shop’ for
adaptation information in
Europe
Climate
Action
Portal for Members States
action, sectors and projects
http://climateadapt.eea.europa.eu/
The EU Adaptation Strategy: Mainstreaming in
funds and policies
• Mainstreaming in EU Budget
• At least 20% of ESIF climate
related
• Horizon 2020: 35% climate
related
• External action:
• At least 20% climate-related
• Climate-dedicated
initiatives, e.g. GCCA+
• Standards
• 'Climate proofing' of projects,
• Promoting climate change
adaptation, risk prevention and
management - DRR
Climate
Action
The crucial role of non-state actors
• The PA recognises the role of
non-Party stakeholders, including
cities and other subnational
authorities. They are invited to:
• scale up their efforts;
• build resilience and decrease
vulnerability;
• uphold and promote regional
and international cooperation.
• The new Covenant of Mayor
major role to play in stepping up
pre2020 ambitions at local level
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Climate
Action
The new Covenant of Mayors
Decarbonisation
Climate
Action
Resilience
Secure,
sustainable
and affordable
energy
Adaptation in the EU – challenges ahead
• Increasing resilience across the whole EU territory: all MS
and local authorities need an adaptation strategy
• Speeding up implementation of adaptation action
• Additional mainstreaming needed (energy, agriculture,
transport, health)
• Engaging the private sector and business in adaptation
• Dealing with potentially much more
significant climate impacts
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Climate
Action
Implications for Accession Countries
• Each party shall prepare, communicate and
maintain contributions
• All Parties shall pursue domestic measures to
achieve reductions
• Candidates are urged to design their climate
(and energy) action plans in line with EU 2030
framework for climate and energy policies
Climate
Action
Implications for Accession Countries
• CLIMA has secured 500,000 EUR from IPA 2016
programming for a bridging action to assist with
implementation of the Paris Climate Agreement
• Follow up to ECRAN will be financed from IPA
2017 as a multi-annual regional climate project
Climate
Action
Thank you !
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Climate
Action