Transcript Climate Resiliency Framework Initiative

Developing a Resiliency
Toolkit for Local Organizations
West Michigan Sustainable Business Forum
February 13, 2017
Developing a Resiliency Toolkit for Local Organizations
Presenters
Daniel Schoonmaker
Executive Director
West Michigan Sustainable Business Forum
Danny McGee
Sustainability Consultant
Sustainable Research Group
Climate Resiliency
Framework Initiative:
Phase 1
Climate Resiliency Framework Initiative Phase 1
Context of Interest (2012-2013)
WMSBF and Wicked Problems
• Dr. Kyle Whyte, Michigan State University
City of Grand Rapids Resiliency Report
• West Michigan Environmental Action Council
• Grand Valley State University
• Highlighted 22 potential impacts
Context of conspicuous climate impacts
• Flooding
• Drought
• Blizzard
• 100-year-storm events
Climate Resiliency Framework Initiative Phase 1
National Science Foundation Project
Partnership with Rock Ethics Institute at Penn State University, RAND Corp, and
Michigan State University as part of the NSF-funded Sustainable Climate Risk
Management Network.
Planning process intended to identify shared capacity opportunities
Would employ Mental Models and Philosophical Intervention approach
Series of meetings culminating in a conference summit
Climate Resiliency Framework Initiative Phase 1
The process
Why think about climate change?
Climate Impacts in West Michigan
Climate impacts on
sector operational
areas
Understanding
vulnerability
Initiate Action
Climate Resiliency Framework Initiative Phase 1
Lessons Learned
Failed to adequately prepare champions to lead adaptation and resiliency
planning in their organizations.
Organizations unprepared to access, understand and use climate science in
decision-making.
Identified need for resources and support if organizations are going to begin
adaptation efforts without significant investment.
Developing a Toolkit
Developing a Toolkit
Project Team
Developing a Toolkit
Partners
Developing a Toolkit
Project Objectives
Reduce barriers
• Introduce climate science to strategic planning and decision-making
within businesses and institutions.
Define Vulnerabilities
• Assist the private sector in defining their climate vulnerabilities.
Provide resources
• Help develop resources for resiliency champions to lead organizations
through a vulnerability assessments.
Facilitate Action
• Creation of local impact guides to facilitate use of climate assessments.
Developing a Toolkit
Climate Vulnerability
Exposure
The nature and
degree to which a
system is exposed
to significant
climate variation.
x
Sensitivity
The degree to
which a system
will be affected
-
Adaptive
Capacity
The ability of an
organization to
accommodate changes
Developing a Toolkit
Process and Deliverables
Partner Engagement
Toolkit
Introduction to
Resiliency
Vulnerability
Survey
Climate Impact
Matrix
Resource
Clearinghouse
Developing a Toolkit
Vulnerability Survey: Impact Categories
Product &
Services
Administration
& Processes
Facilities &
Equipment
Supply Chain
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Weather Events
Hot days
Cold days (wind chill or real temp)
Blizzards (high winds for 3+ hrs)
Wind events
Tornadoes
Freeze-thaw cycles
Resource Scarcity
Electricty prices
Natural gas prices
Transportation costs
Water supply & disposal costs
Agricultural costs
Resource Deterioration
Energy infrastructure
Agricultural yeilds
Communication Infrastructure
Developing a Toolkit
Vulnerability Survey: Business Divisions
Product &
Services
Administration
& Processes
Facilities &
Equipment
Supply Chain
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Weather Events
Hot days
Cold days (wind chill or real temp)
Blizzards (high winds for 3+ hrs)
Wind events
Tornadoes
Freeze-thaw cycles
Resource Scarcity
Electricty prices
Natural gas prices
Transportation costs
Water supply & disposal costs
Agricultural costs
Resource Deterioration
Energy infrastructure
Agricultural yeilds
Communication Infrastructure
Developing a Toolkit
Partner Engagement
Hospitality
Manufacturing
Healthcare
Education
Hospitality
Developing a Toolkit
Hospitality Literature Review
Expect that the industry is susceptible to supply chain impacts
• crop shortages or increased costs
• Impact on products & services being offered
Expect electricity and natural gas to be large expenditures
Expect that restaurant traffic is weather dependent
Developing a Toolkit
Hospitality Survey Results
Climate Events
• Hot days - facilities
• Cold days – facilities, supply chain
• Ice storms – facilities, supply chain, staffing
• Blizzards – facilities, supply chain, staffing
• Tornadoes – facilities, supply chain, staffing
• Floods and excessive rain – facilities, supply chain, staffing
Developing a Toolkit
Meeting Feedback
Long term continuity planning in needed
Localized climate change has greatest impact on facilities & products
• Power outages
• Evacuation due to tornado or flooding
Decentralized restaurant locations help mitigate localized climate risks
Centralized suppliers increases vulnerabilities
Manufacturing
Developing a Toolkit
Manufacturing Literature Review
Expect industry is susceptible to supply chain interruptions and facility
impacts
Expect heating and cooling extremes to strain HVAC & facilities
Expect vulnerability of critical infrastructure: electrical, communications,
water
Developing a Toolkit
Survey Results
Climate Events
• Ice storms and freezing rain - supply chain, facilities, staffing
• Tornadoes, high winds - facilities, staffing
• Nuisance flooding - staffing and supply chain impacts
Infrastructure dependencies
• Energy – supply chain, facilities
• Water – facilities, product
• Communication – staffing, supply chain, facilities
Developing a Toolkit
Meeting Feedback
Facilities & Equipment division is impacted
• HVAC and building design is not adaptive. The facilities are designed
and sized to accommodate specific high and low temps (92F & 10F).
• Electricity back-up plans are limited to larger grid design
• Exhaust fans can be impacted by wind direction and velocity
Supply Chain division is impacted
• Transportation delays due to weather or infrastructure problems
• Cold days have the potential to freeze truck beds and ruin product
Healthcare
Developing a Toolkit
Healthcare Literature Review
Expect an increase in provided services
• Respiratory Diseases
• Heat illness and hospitalizations (e.g. 1995 Chicago Heat Wave)
• Injuries and deaths from extreme weather (e.g. CO poisoning)
• Water-borne disease (e.g. legionnaires disease)
• Vector-borne disease (e.g. lyme, West Nile, Zika)
Expect strong existing emergency management planning
• Back-up generators
• Staffing protocols
• Multiple lines of communication
Developing a Toolkit
Survey Results
Climate Events
• Ice storms, blizzards - facilities, supply chain, staffing
• Hot days – facilities, supply chain
• Cold days – facilities, supply chain
Infrastructure concerns
• Energy – facilities, supply chain
• Water – facilities, supply chain, product services
• Communication – facilities, supply chain, staffing
Developing a Toolkit
Meeting Feedback
Facilities & Equipment division is impacted
• strict operating temperature and ventilation requirements
HR & Staffing division is impacted
• operations and services rely heavily on specific staff and large
epidemics strain resources.
Supply Chain division is impacted
• many supplies are time contingent and delays of any sort have
impact on the services being provided.
Education
Developing a Toolkit
Education Literature Review
Expect climate has the largest impact on the services and facilities
Expect a need for adaptive classrooms to accommodate for variable
climates
Expect that schools have emergency management plans for specific
events
Developing a Toolkit
Survey Results
Tier 1 risks
Climate Events
• Blizzards - Products & Services, Admin & Processes, Supply Chain
• Nuisance flooding & heavy rains - Products & Services, Facilities &
Equipment, Supply Chain
• Ice storms & freezing rain - Products & Services, Admin & Processes,
Supply Chain
Resource Deterioration
• Communication Infrastructure - Products & Services, Admin &
Processes, Supply Chain
Developing a Toolkit
Survey Results
Tier 2 risks
Climate Events
• Prolonged flooding - Products & Services, Supply Chain
• Heavy snowfall - Products & Services, Admin & Processes, Supply
Chain
• Wind events - Products & Services, Supply Chain
Resource Scarcity
• Transportation costs - Products & Services, Admin & Processes
Resource Deterioration
• Transportation infrastructure - Products & Services, Admin &
Processes
Developing a Toolkit
Meeting Feedback
Administration & Processes division is impacted
Climate variability stresses need for adaptable job responsibilities
Facilities & Equipment is impacted
Facilities have the largest impact on energy use and energy budget
Developing a Toolkit
Example of Applicable Climate Data: Closings
GRPS had 12 closings from fall 2013 to present.
Freezing Rain: 3
• Relatively common, more so in Grand Rapids than elsewhere in state
• Most common between 5 am and noon
• Will increase
Low windchill (-15 degrees F): 4
• Below 10 degrees F (real temp) 23 times per year
• Below -10 degrees F (real temp) almost never
• Will decrease
Snow or Blowing Snow (15MPH winds plus 4 inches): 5
• More frequent last 10 years.
• More common in Grand Rapids than elsewhere in state.
• Will decrease
Developing a Toolkit
Examples of Questions Raised
What is the infrastructure resiliency for energy, water, transportation, and
communication?
Can you change the product or service to make climate change an opportunity?
• Are there examples of restaurants changing the menus to prepare for supply
chain disruption? What types of foods are climate resilient?
• Adaptive classrooms and lesson plans that keep students learning when
facilities are closed
How will ASHRAE Design Days change with a changing climate?
How do organizations downscale and applicable information (eg: floods)?
How do we account for the various people/cultural issues involved in planning
around climate change?
Questions?
Contact Us
• Daniel Schoonmaker
West Michigan Sustainable Business Forum
[email protected]
• Danny McGee
Sustainable Research Group
[email protected]