Transcript Obaddour-climatesystemmonitoring

WMO Climate System Monitoring
Perspective of the Commission for
Climatology (CCL)
Omar Baddour
Chief, Division of Climate Data Management Applications
Observing and Information System Department- Geneva, WMO
FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
WMO OMM
The World Meteorological Organization
An authoritative international scientific voice on
The Earth’s Climate System and on Climate Change.
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Goals of the WMO CSM
WMO OMM
Analysis of inter-annual variability of the global climate system
Detection of Climate Change
Implementation of methods to rescue, preserve and manage
climate data
Preparation and distribution of global and regional data sets,
including metadata
Preparation and dissemination of the WMO climate statements
and reviews
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Key areas of CSM
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Climate change
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal (increase in global average
air/ocean temperatures, rising global average sea level, widespread melting
of snow and ice,, …)
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Long term climate projections
The pattern of future warming where land warms more that the oceans and
more in northern high latitudes is seen in all scenarios. The maps show the
multi-AOGCM average projection for the A2, A1B, B1 SRES scenarios for
three periods over the 21st century. Temperatures are relative to the period
1980-1999.
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Extreme climate events
Estimation of Return Periods
Average of 4 Stations: Zürich, Basel, Berne, Geneva
Date
10 y
1000 y
1864-2003
10 y
100 y
100 y
mean
Killed
Italy
2003
20,089
France
2003
19,490
Spain
2003
15,090
Germany
2003
9,355
Portugal
2003
2,696
India
1998
2,541
France
2006
1,388
United
States
1980
1,260
India
2003
1,210
Belgium
2003
1,175
(no. of people)
1000 y
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Projects relevant to WMO CSM
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
International Project on
Climate Change Detection and Indices
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CCl/CLIVAR/JCOMM Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices
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Provide International Coordination for Climate change detection and climate
indices
– Develop tools and material including software to calculate indices
– Organize training workshops
– Peer reviewed publications for contribution to the IPCC assessment reports
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Congo Workshop, Brazzaville, April 2007
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
WMO annual assessment of the status of the Global
Climate System
Contributions from countries
and international Programmes
Highlights the annual Surface
Temperature Globally and
regionally
Describe major extreme
weather and climate events in
the year
In 6 languages
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WMO OMM
Recent show-case
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Climate Watch Systems
WMO OMM
- To monitor climate anomalies
and related extremes
- To produce and disseminate
climate advisories (climate alert
bulletins) on significant ongoing
or foreseen climate anomalies
- To heighten awareness among
relevant users to initiate
preparedness measures
- To interact with the users prior,
during and after the Alert episode
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3 Workshops: 2008-2010
WMO OMM
2010
2009
2008
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Key challenges
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Climate data coverage remains limited in some regions and there is a notable
lack of geographic balance in data with marked scarcity in developing
countries;
Monitoring changes in extreme events, including drought, tropical cyclones,
extreme temperatures and the frequency and intensity of precipitation, is more
difficult than for climatic averages as longer data time-series of higher spatial
and temporal resolutions are required;
Need to address the new requirements in climate System Monitoring which are
emerging as a response to the demand for climate services, especially to deal
with high impact weather and climate extremes, and climate of mountainous
areas, low populated areas and polar regions;
Climate information is expected to have and expanded market at all level of
decision-making
 Specialized climate monitoring products – Must become user centric
 Downscaling global climate information to regional and national level
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Key relevant CCL decisions
Alignment of the Commission work to respond to emerging priorities of the
Global Framework for Climate Services
Integrate and exchange climate data from National Meteorological and
Hydrological Services and data from other sources such as remote-sensing
data, Geographical Information Systems, and data from applications sectors;
Liaise with other technical commissions (CBS, JCOMM, CHy, CAgm), and the
WMO Space Programme on relevant issues related to climate data and related
systems;
Further develop indicators on climate variability and change from the surface and
subsurface ocean to the stratosphere;
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
WMO COMMISSION FOR CLIMATOLOGY (CCl)
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Key CCl Task Teams for CSM
WMO OMM
CCL-XV OPACE-2 Task Team on extreme
climate events
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Members
Ren Fumen (China) (Lead)
Pattanaik Dushmenda (India) (Co-Lead)
Randall Cerveny (USA)
Blair Trewin (Asutralia)
Boris Sherstyukov (Russia)
Jurq Rapp (Germany)
Diallo Aissatou (Guinea)
CCL-XV OPACE-2 Task Team on National
Climate Monitoring Products
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Members
John Kennedy (UK) (Lead)
Ladislaus B. Chang'a (Tanzania) (Co-lead)
Andrew Watkins (Australia)
Xiaolan Wang (Canada)
Olga Bulygina (Russia)
Mesut Demircan (Turkey)
Raj Booneeday (Mauritius)
Mohamed Semawi (Jordan)
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011
Joint CCl/WCRP-Clivar/JCOMM Expert Team on
Climate Change Detection and Indices (ET-CCDI)
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THANK YOU
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FIRST WORKSHOP ON SPACE-BASED ARCHITECTURE FOR CLIMATE, Geneva, 13-14 January 2011