cli__1254843123_NW_PiP_regional_intro_Oct_09_v
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Climate Change Adaptation in the
Northwest
Tim Daley
Northwest Climate Change Partnership
What is Climate Change?
Long term changes
in weather patterns
– 30 year trends
The temperature of the world is changing
Source: IPCC
As is the UK’s…
…and the Northwest of England’s
Variation from 1961-1990 mean (annual average maximum and
minimum temperature) - Ringway weather station data
2.50
Variation from 1961-1990 mean - annual maximum
temperature
2.00
1.50
0.50
1999
1994
1989
1984
1979
1974
1969
1964
1959
1954
0.00
1949
degree C
1.00
-0.50
-1.00
Variation from 1961-1990 mean - annual minimum temperature
-1.50
Source: Met Office data for Ringway weather station
What is the problem with Climate Change?
Complex
Impacts directly upon local activities
Impacts indirectly on the activities of
suppliers, labour supply and external
markets
Impacts in the Northwest
Impacts in the Northwest
Impacts in the Northwest
Impacts and Opportunities
What are our options?
1. Do nothing
2. Act now
Mitigation
Adaptation
Mitigation – dealing with the causes of climate
change - reducing emissions from our current
activities
Adaptation – dealing with the effects of climate
change – reducing vulnerability to risks
associated with climate impacts
Why can’t we mitigate now and adapt later?
3 main
reasons
Mitigation
takes time
to work…..
Why can’t we mitigate now and adapt later?
Vulnerability
is not solely
related to
climate
impacts…
Why can’t we mitigate now and adapt later?
Adaptation
now is
cheaper than
later…
How does an organisation adapt?
Through risk
management
Assess exposure to
climate related risks
(or rather the impact of
climate change on
existing sources of risk)
Decide on vulnerability
to those risks
Review options and
implement actions
Review implementation
in light of changing
conditions – climate risks
will continue to present
moving goalposts
What role is there for the new projections?
How likely….
Offer the opportunity to
your organisations to
“quantify” the risk to
your operations.
What are we doing in the Northwest?
“Transforming action” in
the Regional Economic
Strategy (RES)
What are we doing in the Northwest?
North West action plan for
climate change
Vision for a low carbon
economy and well adapted
region by 2020
Action plan developed by a
range of advisory groups
and partners
Actions on Mitigation
Actions on Adaptation
Focused largely on building
adaptive capacity
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Using UKCIP
projections to assess
the exposure of
different sectors to
climate-enhanced
risks
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Incorporating
enhanced coastal
and river flooding
into current risk
management
strategies with
partners
Assessing the
economic cost of
increased flood
risk
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Assessing the role for Green
infrastructure and forestry in
alleviating direct impacts
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Assessing the
exposure of our
natural
environment to
direct impacts and
the effect on our
use of ecosystem
services.
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Engaging with
businesses through
existing delivery
partnerships to
encourage assessment
of climate risk to those
activities
What are we doing in the Northwest?
Assessing how the
region’s health and
health services will be
impacted upon
The Next Steps….why we are here…
Embedding the new projections into everyday
management of risk