Transcript Titel - espon

Workshop A: Regions, resources and environment - Climate
change and new energy paradigm
Climate change: Key impacts as a function of increasing global average
temperature change (IPCC, 2007)
Hundreds of millions of people exposed to increased water stress
Increasing species range shifts and wildfire risk
Increased damage from floods and storms
Increasing mortality from heat waves
Climate change: Issues identified by the scenarios
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Structural impacts:
– drought in southern Europe (impacts on the economy, the
environment and the production of hydro-electricity)
– mountain regions dependent upon winter tourism;
– potential positive impacts on the northern half of Europe
(new opportunities for rural areas and for winter tourism in
the Nordic countries)
Impacts of natural hazards: river valleys, coastal areas,
forest areas in southern Europe, but local risk is probabilistic
Less prosperous regions have less resources to allocate to
prevention and mitigation measures
Global issue:
– Risk of increasing socio-economic disparities at global scale
– Important migratory movements
Energy: the global context
Energy: the impact
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Share of transport and taxes in the price of a shoe: 5%
Share of energy in total consumption of manufacturing industries: 3%
Labour cost differential between Germany and China: 40:1
Accessibility top priority for companies when chosing a location
Share of energy in total household expenditure in Belgium: 8%
Share of housing in total household expenditure in Belgium: 21%
Energy: Issues identified by the scenarios
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Expensive energy vs rare energy
Evolution of mobility and accessibility (substitution through
telecom services ?);
Evolution of settlements (compact cities?)
Delocalisation of companies towards lower energy prices
Opportunities for regions with renewable energy sources and
new energy technologies
Likely positive impacts on the urban environment (hydrogen
technologies)
Competition between food and energy production in rural areas
Environmental damages resulting from intensive energy-related
agriculture and forestry.