Transcript Introduction

ENSEMBLES Work Package 6.2
Parallel session, Monday 12 November 2007
Potential WP Participants (known absentees underlined):
DJF, DISAT, FMI, FUB, LUND, NOA, PAS, SMHI, SYKE, UEA, UNIK, UREADMM
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
WP 6.2 Linking impact models to
probabilistic scenarios of climate change
 Modelling behaviour of systems or activities in
different environments developed, tested and
applied under European conditions for evaluating
the potential impacts of climate change.
 Task 6.2.a Response surfaces and impact thresholds
 Task 6.2.b Scenario impacts and risk assessment
 Task 6.2.c Evaluating the impacts of extreme events
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
WP 6.2 Tasks: Progress to date
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Task 6.2.1: Preparation of impact models for scenario analysis (DJF, DISAT, FUB, SMHI, UREADMM)
(Completed)
Task 6.2.2: Collection of data for the calibration and testing of impact models and as reference data for model
input (DISAT, FUB, ULUND, UREADMM) (Completed)
Task 6.2.3: Design of sensitivity analyses based on existing climate projections and some initial performance
tests (FUB, SYKE, ULUND, UNIK) (Completed)
Task 6.2.4: Estimation of critical impacts thresholds for water resources based on historical drought and flood
events (SMHI, UNIK) (Completed)
Task 6.2.5: Development of models for understanding and evaluating the impacts of extremes. These models
will operate within a probabilistic framework, incorporating where possible effects of adaptation and
acclimatisation to climate change (FUB, NOA, UEA, ULUND) (Ongoing)
Task 6.2.6: Analyses of arrival times of extremes based on long observed records (UEA) (Ongoing)
Task 6.2.7: Development of a GIS environment within which impacts models will be developed and analyzed.
(Completed)
Task 6.2.8: Construction of impact response surfaces for selected impact models of crops, soil carbon and
nitrogen, and water resources (DJF, DISAT, SMHI, SYKE, UNIK) (Ongoing)
Task 6.2.9: Preliminary scenario impacts and risk assessment from available climate projections for selected
models of crops, runoff, permafrost, soils (DJF, DISAT, FMI, SMHI, SYKE) (Completed)
Task 6.2.10: Preliminary evaluation of the impacts of extreme events using selected impact models for crops,
human health, forest fire, forest damage, intense precipitation, drought, wind and temperature extremes from
available climate projections (DISAT, FMI, FUB, NOA, PAS, UEA, ULUND, UREADMM) (Ongoing)
Task 6.2.11: Application of preliminary results from the Ensembles Prediction System to impact models for
estimating risks of extremes and risks of impacts (All partners) (Ongoing)
New Task 6.2.12: Compilation and analysis of final results and drafting of joint paper on the application of
probabilistic climate projections for assessing risks of impacts in Europe (DJF, DISAT, FMI, SMHI, SYKE)
New Task 6.2.13: Compilation of final model results of the impacts of climate extremes, analysis of the
uncertainties in estimates, and drafting of a joint paper on the impacts of projected changes in climate
extremes on climate-sensitive sectors in Europe (DISAT, FMI, FUB, NOA, PAS, UEA, ULUND, UREADMM)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Deliverables (completed)
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Deliverable 6.2: First-phase impact models to predict damage to human
activities, the environment and tropical annual crops from climate extremes:
e.g. wind storm, drought, flood and heat stress
Due Feb 2006; Delivered October 2006 (Month 26) (UEA and Partners)
Deliverable 6.3: Calibrated and tested crop, forest, hydrology and energy
impact models; baseline data and scenarios for constructing impact
response surfaces
Due Feb 2006; Delivered April 2006 (Month 20) (SYKE and Partners)
Deliverable 6.7: Preliminary report on a comparative study of response
surface and multiple scenario approaches to assessing risks of impacts
using selected impact models
Due Feb 2007 + 3 months; Delivered: Jul 2007 (Month 35) (SYKE and
Partners)
Deliverable 6.8: Preliminary report on changes in climate extremes and
their relation to health, flood risk, agriculture, forest and property damage
Due Feb 2007 + 3 months; Delivered: Jul 2007 (Month 35) (UEA and
Partners)
Deliverable 6.9: Report on an intercomparison study of modelled, Europewide forest fire risk for present day conditions
Due Aug 2006; Delivered September 2006 (Month 25) (NOA and FMI)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Deliverables (work in progress)
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Deliverable 6.13: Methodological report on the linking of preliminary
probabilistic projections from the Ensemble Prediction System to
impact models.
Due Aug 2008 (Month 48) (D2B.28, joint deliverable with RT2B SYKE and Partners)
Deliverable 6.14: Joint WP 6.2 paper on the use of probabilistic
climate projections in assessing the risk of impacts in Europe.
Due Feb 2009 (Month 54) (SYKE and Partners)
Deliverable 6.15: Assessing the uncertainty in projected changes in
climate extremes and their impacts on the following sectors: health,
forestry, flood risk, property damage, agriculture.
Due Aug 2008 (Month 48) (UEA and Partners)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Milestones (attained)
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Milestone 6.2: Completion of data collection for calibration and testing of impact
models and as reference data for model data
Due Aug 2005; Delivered Aug 2005 (Month 12) (UEA and Partners)
Milestone 6.3: Preliminary definitions of impact thresholds for development of
probabilistic impacts assessments, taking into account responses to mean and
extreme perturbations
Due Feb 2006; Delivered Apr 2006 (Month 20) (SYKE and Partners)
Milestone 6.4: Completion of preparation of most impact models
Due Feb 2006; Delivered Apr 2006 (Month 20) (SYKE and Partners)
Milestone 6.6: Sensitivity analysis and construction of preliminary impact response
surfaces for selected impact models
Due Aug 2006; Delivered October 2006 (Month 26) (SYKE and Partners)
Milestone 6.12: Work Package 6.2 meeting to report progress in applying
probabilistic information to impact models and to agree on common approaches and
reporting of results (location to be arranged)
Due April 2007; Helsinki Meeting April 2007 (Month 32); Report November 2007
(Month 39) (SYKE, FMI and Partners)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Milestones (in sight)
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Milestone 6.13: Preparation of protocol for determining probabilistic
information from the Ensembles Prediction System (RT 2B) and
applying it to calibrated impact models (in line with Major milestones
6.1 and 6.2)
Due Aug 2007 (Month 36); Delayed to Nov 2007 (Month 39)
(WP6.2 and RT2B)
Milestone 6.14: Completion of preliminary probabilistic assessments
of climate change impacts using calibrated impact models
Due Feb 2008 + 6 months (Month 48) (SYKE and all Partners)
Major Milestone 6.4 (original DoW): Completion of probabilistic
assessments of climate change impacts, and impacts at seasonal to
decadal timescales for the core activities: crops, water resources,
forests, energy, insurance and human health
Due Month 54 (WP6.2 and 6.3)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
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D
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6-monthly Annual
report
report
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
6-monthly Annual
report
report
First 18-month plan
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
M
M
M
M
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M
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M
M
6-monthly
report
Annual
report
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
6-monthly
report
Annual
report
Second 18-month plan
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
6-monthly
report
Annual
report
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
M
M
M
M
M
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6-monthly
report
Annual
report
Third 18-month plan
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
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D
M
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6-monthly
report
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Annual
report
55-57
58-60
WP 6.2: Milestones & deliverables
Deliverable or
milestone
D6.2
D6.3
D6.7
D6.8
D6.9
D6.13
D6.14
D6.15
M6.2
M6.3
M6.4
M6.6
M6.12
M6.13
M6.14
MM6.1
MM6.2
MM6.4
First phase of damage
prediction
Tested impact models
Report on response
surface vs. multiple
scenarios approaches
Preliminary report on
extremes
Forest fire risk study
Linking probabilistic
projections to impact
models
Joint WP 6.2 paper on
the use of probabilistic
climate projections
Paper: assessing
uncertainty in climate
extremes and impacts
Completion of data
collection
Preliminary definitions
of impact thresholds
Prepare impact models
Sensitivity analysis and
impact response
surfaces
WP 6.2 meeting
Protocol for obtaining
prob. information
from the Ensembles
Prediction System
Prob. assessment of
climate change impacts
using impact models
Set up input data for
impacts modelling.
Delivery of input data.
Completion of impact
model calibration and
validation
Completion of prob.
assessments of climate
change impacts
Year 1: Sep 04-Aug 05
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
Year 2: Sep 05-Aug 06
13-15
16-18
19-21
22-24
Year 3: Sep 06-Aug 07
25-27
D
28-30
31-33
Year 4: Sep 07-Aug 08
34-36
37-39
40-42
43-45
Year 5: Sep 08-Aug 09
46-48
49-51
52-54
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
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M
6-monthly
report
Annual
report
Final 24-month plan
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
55-57
58-60
Prague presentations
5 minutes reporting:
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Recent progress since Helsinki (status, not details!)
Plans for the next reporting phase
Your expected contributions to the deliverables and
milestones in the Detailed Implementation Plan (DIP)
Other points arising
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
ENSEMBLES GENERAL ASSEMBLY
WORK PACKAGE 6.2 MEETING: MONDAY 12 NOVEMBER 2007
10:00 – 12:30
10:00 – 10:10 Tim Carter, Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki (SYKE)
Welcome and objectives of meeting
10:10  10:15 Tom Holt, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, UK (UEA)
10:15 – 10:20 Christos Giannakopoulos, National Observatory of Athens, Greece (NOA)
10:20 – 10:25 Anna Maria Jönsson/Lars Bärring, University of Lund, Sweden (ULUND)
10:25  10:30 Gregor Leckebusch/Markus Donat, Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
(FUB)
10.30 – 10.35 Malgorzata Szwed, Polish Academy of Sciences (PAS)
10:35  10:40 Ari Venäläinen/Kirsti Jylhä, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki (FMI)
10:40 – 10:45 Stefan Fronzek/Timothy Carter, Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki (SYKE)
10:45 – 10:50 Martina Weiß, University of Kassel, Germany (UNIK)
10:50 – 10:55 ????, Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping (SMHI)
10:55 – 11:00 Marco Bindi, Dept. of Agronomy and Land Management, University of Florence, Italy (DISAT)
11:00 – 11:30 Coffee
11:30 – 11:45 Data needs: joint meeting with RT2B
11:45 – 12:00 Deliverables on extremes
12:00 – 12:15 Deliverables on impact response surfaces
12.15 – 12.30 Other issues
12:30 – 14:00 Lunch
14:00 – 15:00 Joint meeting with RT2B
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
ENSEMBLES WP 6.2 Meeting, Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) & Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, 26-27 April 2007
Back row: Jouni Räisänen, Chris Hewitt, Tom Holt, Tim Carter, Lars Bärring, Sara-Sofia Hellström, Jørgen Olesen, Gregor Leckebusch, Phil Graham, Fredrik Wetterhall
Front row: Maria Vuorinen, Markus Donat, Glen Harris, Marco Bindi, Christos Giannakopoulos, Stefan Fronzek (kneeling), Tove Heidmann, Clare Goodess, Kirsti Jylhä, Martina Weiß
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Follow-up to Helsinki
Some points arising:
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GCM archive not available in April – has this been solved?
Observational data from RT5 (1958- at 25 km spatial resolution)
should be available from September – cf. M. Haylock presentation,
11 am, Wednesday
WP6.2 data requests surveyed; main concern is the timing of data
delivery
RCM runs: deadline is December 2007; majority for 1950-2050;
some run to 2100; weighting of RCM outputs – cf. J. Christensen
presentation, 16.40, Tuesday; Parallel session, 13.30-15.00,
Thursday
Seasonality – representation in the response surfaces
Non-stationarity – implications for model calibration
Scaling – from model grid to larger scale (e.g. river basin)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
Deliverables (work in progress)
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Deliverable 6.13: Methodological report on the linking of preliminary
probabilistic projections from the Ensemble Prediction System to
impact models.
Due Aug 2008 (Month 48) (D2B.28, joint deliverable with RT2B SYKE and Partners)
Deliverable 6.14: Joint WP 6.2 paper on the use of probabilistic
climate projections in assessing the risk of impacts in Europe.
Due Feb 2009 (Month 54) (SYKE and Partners)
Deliverable 6.15: Assessing the uncertainty in projected changes in
climate extremes and their impacts on the following sectors: health,
forestry, flood risk, property damage, agriculture.
Due Aug 2008 (Month 48) (UEA and Partners)
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007
ENSEMBLES GENERAL ASSEMBLY
WORK PACKAGE 6.2 MEETING: MONDAY 12 NOVEMBER 2007
10:00 – 12:30
10:00 – 10:10 Tim Carter, Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki (SYKE)
Welcome and objectives of meeting
10:10  10:15 Tom Holt, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, UK (UEA)
10:15 – 10:20 Christos Giannakopoulos, National Observatory of Athens, Greece (NOA)
10:20 – 10:25 Anna Maria Jönsson/Lars Bärring, University of Lund, Sweden (ULUND)
10:25  10:30 Gregor Leckebusch/Markus Donat, Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany
(FUB)
10.30 – 10.35 Malgorzata Szwed, Polish Academy of Sciences (PAS)
10:35  10:40 Ari Venäläinen/Kirsti Jylhä, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki (FMI)
10:40 – 10:45 Stefan Fronzek/Timothy Carter, Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki (SYKE)
10:45 – 10:50 Martina Weiß, University of Kassel, Germany (UNIK)
10:50 – 10:55 ????, Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping (SMHI)
10:55 – 11:00 Marco Bindi, Dept. of Agronomy and Land Management, University of Florence, Italy (DISAT)
11:00 – 11:30 Coffee
11:30 – 11:45 Data needs: joint meeting with RT2B
11:45 – 12:00 Deliverables on extremes
12:00 – 12:15 Deliverables on impact response surfaces
12.15 – 12.30 Other issues
12:30 – 14:00 Lunch
14:00 – 15:00 Joint meeting with RT2B
ENSEMBLES General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 12-16 November 2007