Transcript PEC & EESI Climate Projects

Pennsylvania Environmental Council
An Overview
May 8, 2007
Mission
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The Pennsylvania Environmental Council
protects and restores the natural and built
environments through innovation,
collaboration, education and advocacy.
PEC believes in the value of partnerships
with the private sector, government,
communities and individuals to improve
the quality of life for all Pennsylvanians.
PEC in a Snapshot
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Diverse Board of Directors
Statewide staff of 25
Five offices and 3 Centers of
Excellence
PEC Tools and Expertise
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Four decades of proven success
A state-wide leader and innovator
• Policy development & Advocacy
• Local and regional planning
• Meeting challenges through
collaboration
• Environmental innovation
PEC Works Throughout State
Use of Market Mechanisms
PA Green Investment Strategy
PEC Work on Climate Change
Work in PA and Elsewhere
PEC
EESI/CCS
On the ground
projects
PA GHG Inventory &
Baseline Forecasts
DCNR Carbon
Management Project
Work in
AZ & NM completed
NC, SC, MT, & VT,
5 other states to
begin
PA Climate Change
Roadmap
Scientific Consensus on
Anthropogenic Impacts
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Consensus: reports by IPCC and
the US National Academy of Sciences
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Climate models: global avg.
temp increase by 3-10 degrees
by 2100
Recent projections by the UCS
Impact on Pennsylvania Habitats
Summer Heat Index
How hot will summers “feel” in Pennsylvania?
Source: NECIA / UCS (see: www.climatechoices.org/ne/)
Changing Face of Winter
Source: NECIA / UCS (see: www.climatechoices.org/ne/)
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Flash Floods
Short-term drought (1-3 months)
Droughts
Heat Waves and Temperature
Extremes: SE PA
PA Climate Change Roadmap
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Ad hoc stakeholder 2 year process
Goals:
• PA GHG emissions inventory and
baseline forecasts
• Build consensus on policy
recommendations to reduce those
emissions
• Recommend a “Roadmap” for state
officials with a goal for 2025
Greenhouse Gas Examples
GHG
GHG Impact Sources
CO2
80% of total
1
Fossil Fuels and
other sources
N2O
23x
Agriculture
CH4
296x
Natural Gas,
coal, landfills
HFCs/PFCs/SFs
90x – 10,000
Fire
Suppressants
and solvents
PA Climate Change Roadmap
Working Group
NGOs:
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Rodale Institute
PennFuture
PA Horticultural Society
PennEnvironment
Clean Air Council
The Nature Conservancy
Sustainable Development
Fund
Utilities:
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Exelon Corp.
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PPL
Business:
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Blue Hill Capital
Air Products & Chemicals
O’Brien & Gere
PA DEP
PA DCNR
Emission Categories
residential
Energy generation
commercial
Land Use/
Transportation
industrial
Agriculture/forestry
PA GHG Inventory and Reference Case
Projections
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In 2000, PA emitted 305 MMtCO2e
PA generates 1 % of the worldwide
greenhouse gases
PA is listed as number three in the
US (behind TX and CA)
PA emissions put us in the same
category as top 25 countries in world
2000 GHG Emissions
Pennsylvania
Res/Com
m Fuel
Use
12%
Non-Fossil
Ind. Fuel
Use
15%
Fossil
Fuel
Industry
6%
US
Transport
23%
Transport
26%
Industrial
Process
3%
Waste
Agric.2%
2%
Electricity
37%
Res/Com
Fuel Use
9%
Industrial
Process
5%
Waste
4%
Agric.
7%
Industrial
Fuel Use
14%
Fossil Fuel
Ind. (CH4)
3%
Electricity
32%
2000 GHG Emissions
Category
Electricity
Transportation
US %
32
26
14
PA %
37
23
15
4
7
3
12
2
2
6
5
3
Non-Fossil Fuel
use Industry
Res/Commercial 9
Waste Indst
Agriculture
Fossil Fuel
Industry
Industr Process
Types of GHG Emissions in PA
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89% - CO2 fossil fuels from power
plants, vehicles, buildings and
industry
7% - CH4 from fossil fuel
combustion, oil and gas prod., coal
mines, agriculture, waste
management
4% - N20 from industrial processes
and agricultural soils.
Gross GHG Emissions by Sector, 1990-2025:
Historical and Projected
400
Electricity (exports)
350
Electricity (In-state
consumption)
Fossil Fuel Industry
MMtCO2e
300
RCI Fuel Use
250
Transportation Gasoline
200
Transportation Diesel
150
Jet Fuel/Other Transport
100
Agriculture
50
0
1990
ODS Substitutes
Other Ind. Processes
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Waste Management
PA GHG Reference Case Projections
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2010 (current rate of growth) = 335
MMtCO2e/year
2025 (current rate of growth) = 383
MMtCO2e/year
Goal: 25% below 2000 emissions of 305
MMtCO2e = 230 MMtCO2e
To reach goal must reduce emissions by 153
MMtCO2e based on current projected growth
Policy Recommendations: Energy Supply
Increase Tier I
AEPS to 25%
Update Efficiency
Standards
Add Tier 3 energy
efficiency component
Carbon offset
Create Public
Benefit Fund
Coal bed methane
Residential, Commercial & Industrial
Benefit fund
Biomass & biofuel
New Building Standards
Methane collection
Retrofit Buildings
Education
Transportation & Land Use
Cellulosic Ethanol
Reform Commission
Tire Efficiency
Clean vehicles
Smart Growth
Truck idling
Agriculture, Forestry and Geology
No-till farming
and other bmps
Afforestation
Sequestration
Closing the Gap
Action
AEPS
CO2e
Running Total
reduction MMt MMt
-7
-7
Forests
-14
-21
Clean Cars
-14
-35
25% Biofuels
-12
-47
Agriculture
-11
-58
AEPS (Tier 1
to 25%)
Afforestation
-18
-76
-4
-80
Need to consider
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Carbon Sequestration
National cap and trade program
Governor needs to look at how we can
close the gap
“No state or region has a dominant position in any cleantech
segment yet. And the global pool of cleantech venture
capital is not a zero-sum game – promising companies will
always attract new capital. But the seeds are being laid
now to determine which state’s companies will get the lion’s
share of investment, and which states will call the leaders
of the cleantech industry their own. The states that can
best woo entrepreneurs and investors now will have a
chance to create self-perpetuating cleantech clusters that
drive dynamic economic growth while also improving the
environment...”
www.pecpa.org
The Pennsylvania Environmental
Council protects and restores the
natural and built environments
through innovation, collaboration,
education and advocacy. PEC believes
in the value of partnerships with the
private sector, government,
communities and individuals to
improve the quality of life for all
Pennsylvanians.