Developing Regional Climate Services at NOAA: Today and Tomorrow

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Transcript Developing Regional Climate Services at NOAA: Today and Tomorrow

Developing Regional Climate Services
at NOAA:
Today and Tomorrow
Dan Walker, Ph.D.
Chief, Climate Assessment and Services Division
NOAA’s Climate Program Office
June 9, 2010
The nation faces real climate challenges
1950
2005
Heatwaves
% Area with Hot Daily Low Temps
~15%
~10%
Droughts
~37%
% Area with Hot Daily High Temps
~12%
~40%
Contiguous U.S.
Western U.S.
~11%
Atlantic
Hurricanes
~4.5
~3
Hurricane Power Index
27.6°
C
27.2°
Sea Surface Temp.
C
Wave
Heights
Heavy Rain
Events
~ 3 meters
~ 3.9 meters
-13%
15%
0%
1950
2005
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So, Where NOAA is Headed
with Regional Climate Services?
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NOAA commits to
providing critical
assets in science
and service to a
Federal
partnership
*
*
Federal Response
to the nation’s
climate challenges
Security
Forestry
Water
Partnerships &
Collaboration
NOAA’s Assets
Health
Information Delivery and Decision Support
NOAA uses its national and regional infrastructure to deliver climate services today
Infrastructure
Assessments of Climate Change and Impacts
NOAA is a leader in national and regional climate impact assessments
Over 70% of Federal IPCC AR4 WG1 authors were from NOAA
Global
Land
Management
Climate Change Research and Modeling
Internationally recognized models of the global climate
Oceans
Climate Observations and Monitoring
NOAA operates over 90 observation and monitoring systems
NOAA is mandated to monitor and provide access to climate data and
information
Energy
Other
*Representative Organizations & Sectors
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Regional Climate Services Enterprise: A Conceptual Pearl
Regional Climate Services Enterprise: A Conceptual Pearl
Regional Climate Services Enterprise: A Conceptual Pearl
Regional Climate Services Enterprise: A Conceptual Pearl
Regional Climate Services Enterprise: A Conceptual Pearl
Regional Climate Services Enterprise: A Conceptual Pearl
Important Regional
Partnerships
OVERVIEW of Climate Program Office
Modeling,
Analysis,
Predictions,
& Projections
Observations
& Monitoring
CPO
Earth System
Science
Climate &
Societal
Interactions
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INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE AND
SOCIETY (IRI)
Promotes sustainable
development
goals by helping
manage vulnerability
associated with shortterm climate
variability and longerterm climate
change
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CSI SECTORAL RESEARCH
CSI-Coasts: Catalyzes and supports applications research
that links climate science with practical challenges in
coastal regions. Coastal communities face a complex suite
of interrelated issues, which can be compounded by climate
variability and change.
CSI-Water: Supports applications research on the
influence of climate on water resource management
primarily in urban environments, where over half of the
world’s population currently resides, and points us
toward specific products and information services that
will enhance response/coping capacity.
CSI-Water Coping with Drought in Support of
NIDIS: Supports applications research addressing
human populations coping with drought within the
U.S. or U.S. trans-boundary areas.
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REGIONAL INTEGRATED SCIENCES AND ASSESSMENTS (RISA)
Supports integrated, place-based
research across social, natural, and
physical science disciplines as well
as outreach activities to expand
decision-makers options and
capacities in the face of climate
variability and change at local and
regional levels
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NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM
(NIDIS)
NIDIS Objectives: Creating a drought early warning information system
• Coordinating national drought monitoring
and forecasting systems
• Providing an interactive drought
information clearinghouse and delivery
system for products and services—including
an internet portal and standardized products
(databases, forecasts, Geographic Information
Systems (GIS), maps, etc)
• Designing mechanisms for improving and
incorporating information to support
coordinated preparedness and planning
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NIDIS EARLY WARNING SYSTEM PILOTS
Selected by Drought-type and Analysis Units
Montana
California
Chesapeake Bay
Colorado River
Basin
Missouri
Oklahoma
Mississippi
Southeast
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Organizing NOAA Research To
Support Regional Climate Service
RISA
Network
THE REGIONAL BACKBONE
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Organizing NOAA Research To
Support Regional Climate Service
CSIWater
CSIRegions
CSICoasts
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Organizing NOAA Research To
Support Regional Climate Service
CSIWater
IRI
Transboundary
CSICoasts
Centralized Analytical
Support (MAPP)
CSIRegions
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Visit www.climate.gov
Questions?
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