Transcript Russia`s Arctic Development Plan

Russia’s Arctic
Development Plan
Strategy to 2020
The Road to Nuuk
CSIS-WWF
April 20, 2011
Caitlyn Antrim
Rule of Law Committee
for the Oceans
[email protected]
Primary Arctic Interests
• Interests Defined by RF Security
Council in 2008
• Primary Interests:
๏ Resource base for socio-economic development
๏ Zone of Peace and Cooperation
๏ Conservation of unique Arctic ecosystems
๏ Use of Northern Sea Route as integrated transport
corridor in theRussian Arctic
Northward Bounds of
the Russian Arctic
Southward Boundaries
Russia’s Arctic Policy Makers
• President and Prime Minister
• Security Council of the Russian Federation
(Secretary: Nikolai Platonovich Patrushev)
• Maritime Collegium (Chair: Deputy Prime
Minister Sergei Ivanov; Co-Chairs: Heads
of Navy, Ministry of Industry and Trade,
Ministry of Transportation)
• Council for the Study of Productive Forces
(Ministry of Development and the Russian
Academy of Sciences)
Elements of Russian
Arctic Policy
• Ocean/Maritime Policy
• Transportation Policy
• Shipping Industry Policy
• Information and Communication
Policy
• Federal and Regional Development
Policy
• Federal District Policies
SWOT Analysis
(as seen by Russia’s analysts)
• Strengths
• Resource Base
• Human Capital
• Industrial Potential
• Low Cost of labor
• Geographic Position
• Opportunities for
economic
development
•Weaknesses
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Single industry
structures; Uneven
resource distribution
Lack of policy attention
Raw material focus;
limited infrastructure
Low productivity
Negative demographics
Lack of preparedness
for climate change at
local level
Dominance of
institutional approach
High investor risk
SWOT Analysis
(as seen by Russia’s analysts)
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Opportunities
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Diversification
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Foreign investment, technology and
labor opportunities
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Inward migration of skilled workers
Networking of priority development
areas
Strengthening of export
specialization
Renewable energy development
within Arctic Zone
Transition to integrated, sustainable
socio-economic growth
Opportunities for wide range of
interagency, interregional and
international projects
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Threats
• Asymmetry and imbalances between
Arctic areas
• Outflow of skilled personnel
• Risk of degradation and deindustrialization
• Vulnerability of strategic economic
sectors
• Formation of power centers in border
regions of neighboring states
• Possible negative impacts of global
climate change
• Potential conflict of development
interests
• Negative impact of global financial
and economic crises
Primary Efforts to 2020
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Definition and Understanding of the Russian
Arctic
Transportation and Port Infrastructure
Development of Arctic Resources
Intellectual Capital: Innovation, Information
Infrastructure, Education and Knowledge
Management
Development of Human Capital in the North
Major Projects and
Spatial Development
• Murmansk Multi-modal Port
• Gas and Oil in Barents and Kara Sea
• Development of Northern Sea Route
(physical and electronic)
• Non-Conventional Arctic Energy
Sources
• Information Systems and Knowledge
Infrastructure
Russian Arctic Strategy,
the Short Version:
Knowledge, Presence, Growth
• A new interpretation of Russian sovereignty in the Arctic: an
intellectual presence is more important than military
• Continuous build-up and concentration
of new knowledge about
natural-resource potential, the dynamics of natural conditions
• Research presence, strengthening the elements of innovation
infrastructure
• Innovative in the interests of national security, environmental
sustainability, conservation of unique ecosystems in the Arctic
and the viability of local communities.