Transcript IOCI Seminar Outcomes

Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Informed Adaptation
IOCI Seminar Outcomes
 Report – that will be delivered to
Minister
Input into the Wednesday workshop
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Aims
Informed Adaptation
Seminar Aim
 Foster informed adaptation to climate variability and
change across all sectors (terrestrial and marine) of the
south west
 Workshop aim is to review adaptation issues, and
established and emergent (sector) support activities for
climate adaptation in South West Western Australia.
 Marine and climate change are relevant – there are
science issues and institutional issues (WAMSI/IOCI –
integration of strategic and tactical programs are the way
for the future?)
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Seminar Inputs
Informed Adaptation
Speakers overheads
Rapporteurs reports
Butcher paper
responses
Plenary session for feed
back on the seminars
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Workshop
Informed Adaptation
Purpose
 Set scene for future IOCI science program
 Better use of IOCI and other research
 Input into GH 5.5
Workshop will be organised with sector break
out groups to address key climate change
and climate variability questions
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 2
Informed Adaptation
Session 2 (basic science session)
How/why has our climate has changed
How our region’s ocean climate has
changed
Where is our SWWA climate headed?
The Changing Ocean: Implication for the
future
These talks gave an over view of our
state of knowledge of observed change
and its causes and projections of future
climate risk
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 3
Informed Adaptation
Wally Cox
National resource management sectors in WA have
identified climate as a mandatory issue.
We have a moral obligation to reduce GHG
emissions.
There are threats to systems, particularly
ecosystems, from factors other than climate
change. Climate change will exacerbate these
problems.
Q: How many ‘museums’ of our current ecosystems
can we afford – to protect at least some species.
Q: How much adaptation can we afford
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 3
Informed Adaptation
Elayne Grace
When does insurance stop and
when does Government start?
Climate adaptation creates
business opportunities
(Workshop –what opportunities)
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 3
Informed Adaptation
Brian Sadler
Need to develop thinking under
conditions of variability rather
than certainty and constancy.
Change is painful.
Laws and regulations may need
to be changed (e.g. from following
– a cost on bore licenses)
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 4
Informed Adaptation
All recognised climate change
need to be addressed and is here
now
Need for comprehensive risk
assessment involving climate
Project based action only for
climate change
Challenge – climate research for
integration into management plans
(Workshop message)
Need to understand the
implications of adaptations and
community acceptance (also
addressed by Geoff Syme)
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 5
Informed Adaptation
 Seasonal, Decadal, Long Term and
Extremes
– Sectors will develop sector relevant base lines
and time scales (workshop issue)
– Seasonal prediction needs to account for the
decadal and the climate change signals
– Need to look at both statistical and physical
significance
– Extremes both temporally and spatially variable
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 6
Informed Adaptation
Ed Hauck
The growing demand for water has
posed significant challenges
Regulation and management
components of the water sector have
been particularly challenged
Tools developed and applied to decision
making
Programs for demand and supply
management
Integrated planning will benefit from ‘well
referenced baselines’ and used to identify
climate scenarios
The SWWA climate experience has
challenged governance and institutional
arrangements in water sector
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 6
Informed Adaptation
Roger Jones
 New methodologies for climate change adaptation
–
–
–
–
Natural hazard based
Vulnerability/resilience based
Policy based
Mitigation based
 Four Stages of adaptation
– Autonomous
– Generic
– Specific
– Transformative
Workshop – issue of best methodology for a sector
Indian O cean Climate Initiative
Session 6
Informed Adaptation
Geoff Syme
 How we behave limits our potential to
respond?
 Time scale of the threat affect the human
response
 How can we co-cordinate adaptive learning
to climate change? (workshop issue)