Transcript Dr Sussane Becken

Research and Policy for Climate
Change and Tourism
Susanne Becken
25th November 2009, Bournemouth
Tourism and Climate Dimensions
Past Projects
• Pathways to Sustainability (2002-2006): Greenhouse
gas emissions of international tourists in NZ
• Energy efficiency in the tourism sector (2003)
• Developing a Carbon Footprinting tool for tourism
businesses (2008)
• Calculating the Carbon Footprint
of Domestic Tourism (2009)
• Tourism and Oil (2007-2011)
Acute Policy Interest in 2007/08
•
•
“New Zealand is probably one of the
most toxic destinations for tourism in
the world. The unsuspecting foreign
visitors risk a litany of health hazards
including exposure to excessive UV
radiation, unknown volumes of lethal
substances that have extensively
contaminated the environment and
toxic algae poisoning…”
“While no other country claims to be
"pure", or "clean", New Zealand is
promoting its toxic environment as
"100% Pure" in a governmentsponsored false advertising campaign.”
http://www.chapmantripp.com/Pages/Publication.aspx?ItemID=
503
Establishment of Climate Change
Group for Tourism
• Stakeholders from government, industry to develop an Action Plan
• Assess current knowledge (i.e. based on existing research)
• Use latest Tourism New Zealand market research on Environmental
Perceptions
• Link with other international activities by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs
and Trade
• Work closely with counterparts in Australia; consult with experts
• Link with other policy initiatives such as Emission Trading Scheme
• Etc.
• => 6-weekly meetings for over a year
• => produced an Action Plan with four key areas
NZ Tourism and Climate Change Plan
1. Maintain effective messaging and positioning in our
key markets
2. Enable and ensure a well judged response by tourism
businesses
3. Respond effectively to concerns about GHG emissions
generated by flying to and from New Zealand
4. Establish a forward research agenda
Available on www.tourism.govt.nz
Messaging and Positioning
Regional Visitor Monitor 2009, Ministry of Tourism
www.tourismresearch.govt.nz
Monitoring of Perceptions
Response by Tourism Businesses
Main goal: Enhance carbon efficiency
• Energy survey as part of Tourism & Oil (results
at www.leap.ac.nz)
• Energy auditing – partnership between
Tourism Industry Association and Energy
Efficiency and Conservation Authority: TEEP
TEEP
New Research
• New Government funded project “Preparing
the Tourism Sector for Climate Change”
– National vulnerability analysis
– 3 case studies (one will be the ski industry)
– Development of adaptation tools
Regional Climate Models (NIWA)
Aviation
• Ministry of Transport and Air New Zealand
• Current concern: international policies, e.g. UKAPD
• We provided estimate of impact with our CGE
model
5%
i) Change in value of return flights of UK visitors to NZ (excl value of APD tax)
-2.9%
ii) Change in value of NZ tourism exports - UK visitors
-1.9%
iii) Change in value of NZ tourism exports - non-UK visitors
0.003%
iv) Change in value of NZ tourism exports - all visitors
-0.31%
v) Change in NZ real GDP
-0.013%
10%
-5.6%
-3.7%
0.006%
-0.60%
-0.025%
15%
-8.1%
-5.4%
0.009%
-0.89%
-0.037%
20%
-10.5%
-7.1%
0.012%
-1.16%
-0.048%
It is strongly recommended to undertake a full analysis with sensitivity tests as outlined above in the text.
Any questions
For more information
www.leap.ac.nz