Transcript adapting infrastructure to climate change: a case for

ADAPTING INFRASTRUCTURE
TO CLIMATE CHANGE:
A CASE FOR TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
UNFCCC Tobago. June 15. 2005
Ian Burton (with Heather Auld and Don MacIver)
Features.
• Creative.
• Visionary.
• Practical.
• UNFCCC = UNFCC Calypso
• C’est a vous de deviner.
OUTLINE
• 1. Increase in disaster losses – adaptation
deficit.
• 2. Infrastructure and climate change adaptation
requirements.
• 3 Weather extremes and designing against
infrastructure damage.
• 4. The Climate Change Adaptation Factor
• 5. Structural codes and standards.
• 6. Global Adaptation Assistance Program.
• 7. A role for insurance.
Features.
• Creative.
• Visionary.
• Practical.
• Creative: the UNFCCC or the UNFCC
Calypso.
• Il faut deviner.
1. Adaptation Deficit.
2. Infrastructure and adaptation
requirements.
• Long lifetime of infrastructure investments
• Robustness of present stock variable, often use
incomplete or outdated climate information.
• Stock not being replaced or maintained at
sustainable rates. Vulnerability increasing.
• Apparent preference for more exposed or
dangerous locations.
• Construction industry, building codes and
standards change slowly.
• Land use and building materials and designs are
dominated by short-term commercial interests.
3. Designs for weather Extremes -1
3. Design for Weather Extremes-2
Substandard Construction
Standard Construction
High Quality Construction
4. The Climate Change Adaptation
Factor
• Pending revision of codes and standards
require a Climate Change Adaptation
Factor.
• Has climate change been factored in?
• What modifcations were made?
• Describe expert judgement.
• Case by case analysis.
5. Structural Codes and Standards.
• A matter for professional bodies acting
under legislation.
• Promoted by international cooperation and
agreement, through relevant bodies.
• Sharing of experience and know-how
• Possible financial assistance for capaqcity
building.
• Use of external partners e.g. I.S.O.
6. Global Adaptation Assistance
Programme?
• Compare to cooperation for mitigation.
• Compare to climate change scenarios,
and downscaling.
• Modeled on UK CIP?
• Part of the Convention process and the
adaptation regime?
• On going process – multiple partners.
7. A role for insurance.
• Develop insurance products for marketing
through the private insurance industry, such as
weather derivatives, cat loss bonds, underwriting
of national insurance programmes or other.
• Make insurance available at concessionary rates
initially.
• Development of adaptation strategies and
policies as eligibility criteria.
• Deductibles or lower premiums for demonstrated
adaptation measures in place, and enforced
(monitored).
Thank you for your attention.
Merci de votre attention!