Transcript Overview of East Asia Science and Security

East Asia Science and
Security Project: Status,
Planning, and Outlook
David F. von Hippel and Peter Hayes
Nautilus Institute
Prepared for the East Asia Science and Security
Project Meeting
September 23-24, 2010
Tsinghua University, Beijing, PRC
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East Asia Science and Security
Future Work: Contents
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Introduction to Proposed Research Plan for
2010-11
Ideas for Research Beyond Early 2011
Funding Possibilities for EASS Beyond 2011
Connections of EASS with Other Initiatives
von Hippel/Hayes
9/2010
EASS 2010, Beijing
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East Asia Science and Security
Future Work: 2010-2011 Plan
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For 2010-2011 (essentially, now through Feb 2011),
EASS emphasis is on the intersection between
climate policy and nuclear power, meaning
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Overall, the EASS project will work this year to address
topics such as the potential contribution of nuclear energy
in East Asia and the Pacific to climate change mitigation
Continue and deepen work on nuclear fuel cycle
cooperation analysis (country and regional)
Continue and deepen work at the country level on “National
Alternative” pathways that model climate mitigation
policies, including, for example, energy efficiency and
renewable energy as well as different nuclear paths
von Hippel/Hayes
9/2010
EASS 2010, Beijing
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East Asia Science and Security
Future Work: 2010-2011 Plan
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Additional work to continue/begin in 2010-2011
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Continue and deepen work on “Regional Alternative”
pathways at both country and regional level
Update datasets to most recent “base year”, and fill out
datasets to allow for costing and environmental emissions
analysis of scenarios that are as complete as possible
With information from EASS countries if available, begin to
look at the adaptation of nuclear power systems to
changing climates, the interaction of nuclear power support
and investments with other approaches to/investments in
climate change mitigation, investments in climate change
adaptation, exposure to climate change impacts and risks
of different types (including energy security, physical, and
social risks) related to power system choices
von Hippel/Hayes
9/2010
EASS 2010, Beijing
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East Asia Science and Security
Future Work Beyond Early 2011
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Work outlined for 2010-2011 is ambitious, and can
easily be continued beyond early 2011 by using our
unique EASS network, tools, and methods to look in
more detail at different approaches to climate
change mitigation AND climate change adaptation in
the region, and how those candidate approaches
compare with respect to the full suite of energy
security criteria identified under AES/EASS
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Nuclear, non-nuclear, individual, and regional options
Evaluate costs, emissions, risks, and other impacts of each
option (path, LEAP “scenario”) relative to each other
von Hippel/Hayes
9/2010
EASS 2010, Beijing
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Funding Possibilities for EASS
Beyond Early 2011
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At present we are still looking for funding for
the EASS project for 2011 and beyond
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Challenges due to changes in priorities by our US
Dept of Energy funder, and uncertain priorities of
the MacArthur Foundation program that we have
had funding from in the past due to staff turnover
Ideas from EASS teams? Other foundations or
government grants we could apply to?
Multilateral agencies with programs in the energy
security areas?
von Hippel/Hayes
9/2010
EASS 2010, Beijing
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