this Powerpoint file

download report

Transcript this Powerpoint file

Introduction to Analytical Activism
Freshwater
Scarcity
Climate
Climate
Change
Change
Chemical
Pollution
Deforestation
Soil
Deterioration
Local
Pollution
Freshwater
Pollution
Difficult
Problems
Analytical
Activism
A formal, analytical approach
based on the Scientific Method
Ozone
Depletion
Easy
Problems
Conservation
Parks
Tree of Environmental Problems
Classic
Activism
An informal, intuitive approach based
on tradition and common sense
The Universal Problem Solving Process
1. Identify the patient
2. Describe the symptoms
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
Solving the Sustainability Problem
With solution failure due to an error in step 2, 3 , or 4
1. Identify the patient
The human system
2. Describe the symptoms
Global environmental unsustainability
3. Perform a diagnosis
Excessive impact in the IPAT equation
A. Find the proper practices
The IPATB.Equation
4. Determine the treatment
Tell the people about them
that fails, exhort and inspire
Impact = Population xC.AIfffluence
x Technology
5. Apply the
treatment
(done)
Population
is total people.
Affluence is consumption per person per year.
Technology is impact per unit of consumption.
6. Measure the outcome
Solution failure
What part of the system is not well?
The environmental movement
An environmentalist is anyone who is actively
helping to solve environmental problems.
- Grassroots activists
- Career professionals in government
- Politicians
- Well known retired vice-presidents
- Academics
- Corporate managers
- Writers
- Famous people
- Many more
Solving the Solution Failure Problem
1. Identify the patient
The environmental movement
2. Describe the symptoms
Unable to solve the sustainability problem
3. Perform a diagnosis
4. Determine the treatment
5. Apply the treatment
6. Measure the outcome
The Collapse of Easter Island
The Same Pattern Continues Today
Solving the Solution Failure Problem
1. Identify the patient
The environmental movement
2. Describe the symptoms
Unable to solve the sustainability problem
3. Perform a diagnosis
Use of the wrong tools on difficult
problems, due to use of Classic Activism.
This causes pushing on low leverage points.
4. Determine the treatment
Use of the right tools on difficult problems,
due to use of Analytical Activism. This will
allow pushing on high leverage points.
5. Apply the treatment
(not yet done)
6. Measure the outcome
Solution success ?
Solving the Sustainability Problem
With solution success due to a correct diagnosis
1. Identify the patient
The human system
2. Describe the symptoms
Global environmental unsustainability
Correct
False
Diagnosis
3. Perform a diagnosis
Systemic
resistance
Excessive change
impact in
the IPAT equation
4. Determine the treatment
A. Find the proper
Application
of the practices
right analytical
B. Tellwill
thelead
people
about them
tools
to pushing
on high
C. If that fails,
exhort and inspire
leverage
points.
5. Apply the treatment
(to
be done)
(done)
6. Measure the outcome
Solution failure
Solution
success
Analytical
Problem Activism
Domain
Assessment of Process Maturity
9. Formal
5.
The analysis
definition,
centers
management,
on a social
system
and
continuous
structuralimprovement
analysis.
of
a process that fits the problem.
10. Low and high leverage points have
6. Abeen
true analysis
identified
ofand
the tested.
problem is
performed.
11. Why change resistance is so
7. The
successful
Scientific
has
Method
been determined.
is used to
prove all key assumptions.
8. Learning from past failures and
successes is maximized.
Classic Activism
1. Identify the problem.
2. Find the proper practices.
3. Tell people the truth about the problem
and the proper practices.
4. If that fails, exhort and inspire the people
to support the proper practices.
The Two Basic Approaches
to Solving Activist Problems
Classic Activism
Analytical Activism
An intuitive approach
An analytical approach
Find the
proper
practices
Tell the people the
If that doesn’t
truth about the
work, exhort and
proper practices inspire the people
and why they
to follow the
should follow them proper practices
Pushing on low
leverage points
Success on
easy problems
Failure on
difficult problems
A process
that fits the
problem
Simulation
modeling
Experimentation
to support the
Scientific Method
Pushing on high
leverage points
Success on
easy problems
Success on
difficult problems
The Alternative of Analytical Activism
Pushing on High
Leverage Points
Climate
Change
Freshwater
Scarcity
Chemical
Pollution
Deforestation
Freshwater
Pollution
Soil
Deterioration
Correct Difficult
TreatmentProblems
Introduction to
the New Paradigm
Analytical
Activism
A formal, analytical approach
Correct
based on the Scientific Method
Diagnosis
Strategy Maps
The Dueling Loops
of the Political
Powerplace
Easy
Problems
Experimentation
Classic
Activism
Politician Decision
The Proper
Coupling Package
Ratingsbased
An informal, intuitive approach
on tradition and common sense
Simulation Modeling
Local
Pollution
Conservation
Parks AOzone
process that fits the problem
Depletion
Tree of Life
Tree of Environmental Problems
For Further Study
The Dueling Loops paper, 29 pages
The Dueling Loops book, 142 pages
The Analytical Activism book, 389 pages