Transcript IT Curriculum Development in the Current Chaotic State of Technology

IT Curriculum Development in
the Current Chaotic State of
Technology
Prof (Dr) RATTAN K. DATTA
Contents
•
•
•
•
•
Introduction
Three Laws of Technology
Convergence of Technology
Fourth Law
Philosophy of Dynamic Curriculum
Development
• Conclusions
TECHNOLOGY IN
THE
SERVICE OF MANKIND
• “I keep six Honest Serving Men they
taught me all I knew their name are What
and Why and When and How and Where
and Who”.
Rudyard Kipling
SCIENCE
LIFE SCIENCES
PHYSICS
Newton, Archemedese
Einstein, De Broglie, PLANK
Neil Bohr
CHEMISTRY
CLASSICAL
Contd..(b)
ELECTRICITY
William Gilbert & Dufay Frictional Electricals
1546-1603
1698-1739
Franklin Benjamin (1706 – 1790)
Michael Faraday (1791 – 1867)
Edison (1882) Light Bulb
Contd.(a)
QUANTUM
MECHANICS
Contd. (a)
MORSE Message
RADIO Transmission
TV Transmission
Heinrieh Hertz (1887)
MARCONI (1897)
John Legia Baird (1925)
ELECTRONICS
Lee de Fleming (1904) DIODE
Forest – TRIODE
Transistor (1948)
IC (1958)
MICRO ELECTRONICS
ETE
Contd.(b)
CHEMISTRY
INSTUMENTATION
NANO Technology
TOP – DOWN APPROACH
COMPUTING
Introduction
• IT is growing in its application almost in an
exponential mode
• Besides the increase in the complexity and
processing power the size is shrinking and price
is sharply decreasing, making the system
affordable and easily transportable.
• The rapid expansion of bandwidth and fast
improvement in connectivity are governed by
Gilder & Metcalf’s Law respectively.
• 4th law of technology
• A strategy for dynamic development of
curriculum to enable the youth entering industry
to face this chaotic growth.
Three laws of Technology
The chaotic state of growth in this technology
has been often explained through working
together of three laws of Technology, namely,
• Moore’s Law
• Gilder’s Law
• Metcalfe’s Laws.
1st Law of Technology
1. Moore’s Law (Gordon Moore of INTEL)
“The processing power of microchip
doubles every 18 months (2 years)” –
Price halves for the same level of
computing power.
MOORE’S LAW IN OPERATION
DENSITY OF TRANSISTERS IN ICs WILL DOUBLE AT REGULAR
INTERVALS OF ` 2YEARS ACTUAL 18 MONTHS.
1010
NO.OF TRANSISTORS ON A CHIP56MB
109
108
107
1A64
64MB
DRAM
106
105
1GB
16KBITS
PENTIUM PRO
4MB
PENTIUM
80486
1MB
80384
INTEL
MICROPROCESSORS
1KB
103
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 88 90 92 94 96 98 2K
YEARS
•THUS SINCE 1945- FIRST COMPUTER ENIAC-1 THE PROGRESS HAS BEEN
PHENOMENAL.
•INTERESTING
•SPEED OF PROCESSING INCREASES BY A FACTOR OF 10 EVERY 5 YEARS.
PROCESSING POWER
•PRICE DECREASES 40 P.C PER YEAR.
1012
109
10
PRICE
106
1.0
Rs/K BIT OF
MEMORY
103
0.1
10
0.01
50
60
70 80 90 2000
YEARS
2nd Law of Technology
Gilder’s Law by George Gilder
• “The total bandwidth of communication system
triples every 12 months.” (Price decreases)
1960’s
bandwidth 25 bauds
1970’s
bandwidth 1000 bps
1980’s
bandwidth 64000 bps
1990’s
bandwidth > 256,000 bps
2008/09
bandwidth > 2,000,000 bps
3rd Law of Technology
Metcalfe’s Law (Robert Metcalfe)
• Originator of Ethernet & founder of 3com.
“The value of a network is proportional to
the square of the number of nodes; so, as
a network grows, the value of being
connected to it grows.” (Price of getting
connected decreases)
Convergence of
the 3 Laws of Technology
MOORE’s LAW
Gilder’s LAW
Metcalfe’s LAW
(Processing Speed)
(Increasing Bandwidth)
(Power of Networking)
NEW PARADIGM / INITIATIVE
3 Laws Working Together
• Sooner than later Individuals using 100s of
Computers/Chips embedded in body through
insertion, special body wear connected through
PAN & WIFI connection to the internet. Closely
resembling human neuron connection.
• Personal intelligence likely grow with availability of
vast knowledge through internet.
• Embedded systems will expand availability of
entertainment media at any place & time on
demand.
• Industrial & business processes automation will
also significantly expand embedded intelligence
and connectivity.
DIVERGENCE TO CONVERGENCE
(Fission to Fusion)
1800
PHILOSOPHY
Divergence phase
1900s
SCIENCE
2K
Impact of Bioinformatics
wonder chip Biotech
C+C=CIT
Physics
1990s
Period of interdisciplinary
research
Mathematician
Physicists
1970s Biophysics
Chemists
Biologist
Social Scientist
Common man
Biochem
Biotech
Narrow Band Technologies
CIVIL
MECHANICAL
ELECTRICAL
CHEMICAL TECH
BIOTECH
Convergence phase
1940s
Chem.
Biology
Social
Sciences
ATTRACTERS OF TECHNOLOGY CONVERGENCE
Commerce
Health
&
Bio-Informatics
Academics
Food
Entertainment
Including Edu-Ent
Defense
4th Law-Our Creation
“Technologists and scientists are encouraged to spend just
10 percent extra resources and time in planning and
envisaging the end result which should lead to efficient,
economically affordable and green eco-friendly technology.
Ethics & value systems are more important in the current
global scenario than a few extra gold coins”.
How to Face This Technological
Convergence?
• Areas to Safeguard
- Fast obsolescence with fast development
- Security Vs Privacy
- Value System (ethics) Vs Competition
- Challenges of Chaotic development Vs opportunity for
creating better planet
“Our Planet Earth is like proverbial Golden Goose which
provides all of us golden Eggs in the form of resources.
In this environment of competition, fast development &
greed, let us remember value systems to keep nurturing
the goose to share the gifts.”
10% extra efforts/resources can help to innovate green
technology. Let us do that.”
Futurist: Points to Ponder
• When looking at future, the “What” is more predictable than “When” and “How”
will always feel different than predicted.
Thomas Frey
(Futurist)
•The every house in 2010 will have 100 computers embedded in all kinds of
appliances and amenities and mostly networked to each other and to the web.
Glen Heimstra
•Talking Computers will replace written languages by 2050
William Crossman
•The age of reason has ended and now we must organize around chaos.
Watts Wacker
Balance between the Development
and overall impact on Ecosystem of
4th Law
MAN
Technology Development
Ecosystem
Philosophy of Dynamic Curriculum
Development
• Semester 1 & 2
-
Homogeneity
(Basic Science + Mathematics)
•
•
•
•
Semester 3 & 4
Semester 5 & 6
Semester 7
Semester 8
- Core Papers
- Streams
- Emerging Areas
- Major Projects
Conclusion
• In this presentation a procedure has been suggested to
develop curriculum to meet the challenges of rapid
development & fast obsolescence. Lessons have been
derived from the three laws of technology, chaotic
growth with attractors. A 4th law on Ethics has been
formulated.
• It is believed that this strategy will help student
community to better face the impact of rapid
development of technology as well as fast
obsolescence.
Your Launch Vehicle for a computer Career
SBBSIET
A-9, Qutab Institutional Area, Shaheed Jit Singh Marg, New Delhi-110067
Ph. No. – 51688300, 26968829, 26961182