Transcript The ISE - National Association for Justice Information Systems

Paul Wormeli, Innovation Strategist
NAJIS, 2016
It is the year 2046
You don’t own a computer, phone, car or house. Instead you
Subscribe to whatever you need
Virtual reality is commonplace and you talk to your devices with hand gestures
All surfaces have become a screen
And every screen watches you back
Robots and AI took your old job
But created a new one you could not have imagined in 2016
Resulting in
Governments and companies that could not exist without information technology
Kevin Kelly
The Inevitable, 2016
We will live in a sharing economy, characterized by:
Collaborative Consumption
Crowd-based Capitalism
Using idle assets
Mutualization of ownership
Principle: Access is more important than ownership
What’s different:
Sharing with strangers
Technology at its core
Examples:
• Airbnb—living space rental
• Getaround, Car2Go,Zipcar-- Car-sharing
• Uber, Lyft--Ridesharing
• Wework, LiquidSpace, REGUS—shared space for small businesses
• Kickstarter, Indiegogo—crowdfunding services
• Prosper, LendingClub—person to person loans
• TaskRabbit, LivePerson—part-time work sharing
• And hundreds more
Drivers:
• Recessionary pressures
• Environmental protection
• Anti-materialism
• Smart phones and apps (advances)
• Pricing models for legacy systems
Crime factors:
• Rising crime?—Multiple actors, participants, opportunties
• New forms of crime? Collaboration?
• Complex perpetrator picture—operator, owner, technology
• Jurisdictional issues with corporate participation
Justice impacts:
• Reduced tax revenue
• New regulations
• Increased litigation
• Essential need for computer forensic expertise
• New enforcement challenges
Opportunities:
• Support for disaster management (Airbnb, Uber contracts)
• Sharing government facilities with businesses, citizens
• Replacing vehicles with Uber, Lyft contracts (ambulances?)
• Using TaskRabbit for supplemental staffing needs
• Sharing parking spaces
• Consolidating central services across departments
• Cloud computing
• Building the Information Sharing Environment
• Open criminal history inquiry capabilities
The Law of Accelerating Returns
An analysis of the history of
technology shows that
technological change is
exponential, contrary to the
common-sense "intuitive
linear" view.
Dr. Ray Kurzweil
www.KurzweilAI.net/pps/KurzweilPowerPoint/
10
So we won’t experience
100 years of progress in
the 21st century
– it will be more like
20,000 years of progress
(at today’s rate).
11
One Nation,
Indivisible
One World,
working in concert
Paul Wormeli
Innovation Strategist, Wormeli Consulting
And
Executive Director Emeritus, IJIS Institute
It will soon shake your windows and rattle your walls,
For the times they are a-changin’
-----Bob Dylan