Transcript Air Quality Modeling of 1999 August Episode for the Fall

Air Quality Update
Georgia EPD
Jimmy Johnston
Georgia Environmental Protection Division
August 5, 2011
Environmental Protection Division
Topics
•
•
•
•
•
NAAQS Revisions and Impact on Georgia
Nonattainment Re-designations
Revisions to VOC Regulations
Calendar Year 2010 Fee Structure
Permitting
– GHG
– PSD Permitting Guidance
Environmental Protection Division
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
Pollutant
Carbon
Monoxide
Lead
Pre-2008 Levels
9 ppm (8-hr)
35 ppm (1-hr)
3
1.5 µg/m (3-months)
New Levels
Proposed to Retain Existing
Standard - 2/11/2011, Finalize
August, 2011
3
0.15 µg/m (3-months) - 2008
Nitrogen Dioxide 0.053 ppm (Annual) (100 µg/m3 ) 0.10 ppm (1-hr) - April 2010
Particulate Matter 15.0 µg/m3 (Annual)
3
(PM2.5)
35 µg/m (24-hr)
Propose 2011 - Finalize 2011
Ozone
0.075 ppm (8-hr) - 2008
0.060-0.070 ppm (8-hr) Proposed Jan. 2010 - Final
2011???
Sulfur Dioxide
NO2/SO2
Secondary
0.08 ppm (8-hr)
0.03 ppm (Annual)
0.14 ppm (24-hr)
0.5 ppm (3-hr)
NO2: 0.053 ppm (Annual)
SO2: 0.5 ppm (3-hr)
0.075 ppm (1-hr) - June 2010
Proposed to Retain Existing
Standard, Add New Standards
Identical to New Primary
Standards - 7/11/2011,
Finalize March, 2012
Anticipated NAAQS Implementation Milestones
Pollutant
Pb
NO2
(primary)
SO2
(primary)
Ozone
NAAQS
Prom. Date
Oct 2008
Jan 2010
June 2010
Governor’s
Rec. Due to
EPA
Designations
Effective
(approximate
date)
Oct 2009
Nov 2010/2011
(extra time for
new monitors)
Jan 2011
June 2011
Oct 2011
June
2012/2013
Jan 2013
June 2013
Aug 2013
Jan 2014
Attainment
Date
Notes & Impacts to GA
Nov
2015/2016
1. Required to Add 1 monitor at Cartersville Steel
Mill.
2. Columbus Monitor relocated.
3. Waiver requested for Plant Bowen monitor.
3. All areas in GA meeting this standard.
Feb 2017
1. Required to add 3 roadside NO2 monitors (2 in
Atlanta and 1 in Augusta) by Jan. 2013
2. All areas in GA meeting this standard
3. Permitting new NO2 (combustion sources) more
difficult.
4. Roadside monitors could show nonattainment
July 2017
1. All areas in GA meeting this standard
2. 110(a) SIP expected to require us to model all
large SO2 sources. Could result in industry/utility
SO2 reductions.
3. Permitting new SO2 sources more difficult.
???
???
???
Not applicable
Not applicable
Not
applicable
Not
applicable
1. Designations not Required if Standard Remains
as is.
2. Proposal to add roadside CO monitors in
Atlanta) by January 1, 2013
Oct 2012
Dec 2013
Oct 2014
Dec 2016
Dec
2018/2023
Preliminary indications are that standard will
become more stringent again.
Not
applicable
Not applicable
Not applicable
Not
applicable
Not
applicable
1Designations not Required if Standard Remains as
is.
2012?
CO
Aug 2011
Not
applicable
PM2.5
(2011)
Oct 2011
March 2012
Secondary
July 2012
Attainment
Dem. Due
1. Expect standard to be 65ppb or 70ppb
2. More nonattainment areas: Macon, Athens,
North GA affected at 70, more at 65, all at 60.
3. Some areas classified as “moderate” or above by
EPA required to implement I/M programs.
4. Proposed rule may require more monitors by
2012 (Whitfield, Floyd, Hall, Houston, Dougherty,
Liberty, Lowndes, Coffee)
2011?
NO2/SO2
Feb 2012
Attainment Plans
Due (3 yrs after
NAAQS
promulgation)
???
Ozone NAAQS
• Promulgation Date – 2011?
• Governor’s Recommendation Due to EPA – 2012?
• Designations Effective – 2013?
– Based on 2010-12 data?
• 110(a) SIPs Due – 2014? (3 years after NAAQS
promulgation)
– Transport Rule II (son of CSAPR?) may satisfy interstate
transport element
• Attainment Demonstrations Due – 2016?
– not required for marginal areas
• Attainment Dates:
– Marginal: 2016?
– Moderate: 2019?
– Serious: 2022?
Environmental Protection Division
Ozone Ambient Monitoring Data
Monitor
2008
2009
2010
‘08-’10
DV
2011 to
date
‘11 crtical
‘11 crtical
‘11 crtical
‘11 crtical
60
65
70
75
Augusta
0.077
0.065
0.072
0.071
0.071
0.044
0.059
0.074
0.089
Evans
0.075
0.064
0.068
0.069
0.071
0.049
0.064
0.079
0.094
Columbus
0.073
0.065
0.068
0.069
0.066
0.048
0.063
0.078
0.093
Macon
0.080
0.070
0.071
0.074
0.078
0.040
0.055
0.070
0.085
Ft. Mountain
0.077
0.069
0.073
0.073
0.073
0.039
0.054
0.069
0.084
Dawsonville
0.075
0.067
0.073
0.072
0.066
0.041
0.056
0.071
0.086
Summerville
0.068
0.065
0.067
0.067
0.062
0.049
0.064
0.079
0.094
Leslie
0.068
0.060
0.069
0.066
0.066
0.052
0.067
0.082
0.097
Brunswick
0.067
0.057
0.066
0.063
0.063
0.058
0.073
0.088
0.103
Savannah
0.067
0.062
0.065
0.065
0.063
0.054
0.069
0.084
0.099
Athens
0.077
0.067
0.073
0.072
0.075
0.041
0.056
0.071
0.086
Atlanta
0.086
0.077
0.080
0.081
0.084
0.024
0.039
0.054
0.069
Gwinnett
0.081
0.073
0.072
0.075
0.082
0.036
0.051
0.066
0.081
Conyers
0.090
0.070
0.076
0.079
0.079
0.035
0.050
0.065
0.080
McDonough
0.086
0.074
0.078
0.079
0.079
0.029
0.044
0.059
0.074
Douglasville
0.080
0.072
0.074
0.075
0.073
0.035
0.050
0.065
0.080
Decatur
0.087
0.077
0.075
0.080
0.080
0.029
0.044
0.059
0.074
Newnan
0.075
0.065
0.065
0.068
0.069
0.051
0.066
0.081
0.096
Kennesaw
0.079
0.076
0.079
0.078
0.077
0.026
0.041
0.056
0.071
Yorkville
0.073
0.067
0.071
0.070
0.073
0.043
0.058
0.073
0.088
SO2 NAAQS
• Final SO2 NAAQS in FR (75 FR 35520) on June 22,
2010 (signed June 2, 2010)
• Governor’s Recommendations Submitted to EPA
- June 2011
– Recommends that all counties be designated attainment
• Designations Effective – July 2012
• 110(a) “Infrastructure” SIPs Due – June 2013
Environmental Protection Division
SO2 NAAQS –Section 110(a)(1)
“Infrastructure SIP”
• In final rule preamble, EPA says:
Traditionally, for areas that were designated
‘‘attainment’’ or ‘‘unclassifiable’’, we accepted State
submissions of prevention of significant deterioration
(PSD) permitting programs and other
‘‘infrastructure’’ SIP elements contained in CAA
section 110(a)(2) as being sufficient to satisfy the
section 110(a)(1) SIP submission requirement. (75 FR
35552)
Environmental Protection Division
SO2 NAAQS –Section 110(a)(1)
“Infrastructure SIP”
We currently anticipate that our projected post-designation
implementation approach would look to robust CAA section
110(a)(1) SIPs, ….for the new SO2 NAAQS would serve as
substantive ‘‘attainment’’ SIPs. …states must use “refined
air quality modeling” on “any individual sources with the
potential to emit 100 or more tons per year of SO2, and
other sources that may also cause or contribute to
violations of the new SO2 NAAQS.” …We expect to
develop guidance for the States’ use on how best to identify
and assess the impact of sources that may have this
potential. … we intend to provide an opportunity for
notice and comment on this guidance before finalizing it.–
(75 FR 35553)
Environmental Protection Division
PM2.5 – 2007-2009 Design Value (µg/m3)
Highest Monitor in Area
standard
Environmental Protection Division
Ozone – 4th Highest 8-Hour Value
Highest Monitor in Area
1997 standard
2008 standard
Environmental Protection Division
NAAQS Have Been Attained
• Floyd County PM2.5 Nonattainment Area
– Clean Data Determination Finalized 4/5/2011
• Macon PM2.5 Nonattainment Area
– Clean Data Determination Finalized 6/2/2011
• Chattanooga PM2.5 Nonattainment Area
– Clean Data Determination Finalized 5/31/2011
• Atlanta Nonattainment Areas
– Ozone – Clean Data Determination Finalized 6/23/2011
– PM2.5 – EPA replied to Clean Data Determination request
on 4/26/2011, waiting on FR notices
Environmental Protection Division
Redesignation
• 6/29/2011 - EPD withdrew the Chattanooga, Floyd County, and
Macon Attainment SIPs
• EPD Developing Maintenance Plans/Re-designation Requests
•
•
•
•
•
Attainment-Year Inventory
Projected Future-Year Inventories
Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget
Verification of Continued Attainment
Contingency Plan
Environmental Protection Division
Redesignation
• One Specific Part D Provision for Ozone Moderate
Ozone Nonattainment Areas still needs EPA
Approval
– VOC Reasonably Available Control Technology (RACT)
Plan
Maintenance Plan Submittal & Approval
• Propose Maintenance Plan
– 30 day public notice & comment period
– Public hearing
• Submit Maintenance Plan & Redesignation Request
to EPA
• EPA Approval
– 6 Months for Completeness Determination
– 12 Months after Completeness Determination to Approve
– EPA proposes approval in Federal Register with opportunity
for comment
– EPA publishes final approval in Federal Register
Advantages of Redesignation
• No additional nonattainment requirements, such as:
– Additional controls
– 3% per year “rate of progress” reductions for ozone
• Nonattainment New Source Review provisions can
be removed
– Ozone nonattainment NSR provisions will likely remain
• However, Transportation Conformity Still Applies
New and Revised VOC Rules
• Group II CTG Rules
– Surface Coating of Flat Wood Paneling - revision to existing
GA rule
– Graphic Arts Systems1 - revision to existing GA rule
– Industrial Cleaning Solvents – new GA rule
– Offset Lithography & Letterpress – revision to existing rule
Environmental Protection Division
New and Revised VOC Rules
• Group III CTG Rules
– Large Appliance Surface Coating - revision to existing GA
rule
– Metal Furniture Coating - revision to existing GA rule
– Paper Coating - revision to existing GA rule
Environmental Protection Division
New and Revised VOC Rules
• Group IV CTG Rules
– Surface Coating of Miscellaneous Metal Parts and Products–
revision to existing GA rule
– Surface Coating of Miscellaneous Plastic Parts and Products
– new GA rule
– Auto and Light-Duty Truck Manufacturing– revision to
existing GA rule
– Fiberglass Boat Manufacturing – new GA rule
– Use of Miscellaneous Industrial Adhesives Use – new GA
rule
– Pleasure Craft – negative declaration (i.e., no known
affected sources)
Environmental Protection Division
New and Revised VOC Rules
• 20 County Atlanta Ozone Nonattainment Area
• Stakeholder Process Almost Complete for Group IV
• Stakeholder Process About to Begin for Groups II
and III
• All Rules and Rule Changes will Go Through Formal
Rulemaking at Same Time
• If Atlanta Re-designated to Attainment for Ozone
Standard Prior to Compliance Date for New &
Revised Rules – New Requirements No Longer
Applicable
Environmental Protection Division
Calendar Year 2010 Permit Fees
• Dollar per Ton Rates:
– Increased to $35.84 for Coal-Fired Electric Generating Units
– Remains $34 for All Other Sources
• Fixed “Ton” Amounts Set for NOx. SO2, and PM from
Coal-Fired Electric Generating Units
• Title V Minimum Fee Increased from $3500 to $4100
• Synthetic Minor Fee Increased from $1500 to $1700
• NSPS Fee Remains at $1500
• Fee Reports Due September 1, 2011
Environmental Protection Division
GHG Permitting
• PSD and Title V Deferral for CO2 emissions from
Bioenergy and Other Biogenic Sources Applies in
Georgia.
• Synthetic Minor permit applications for GHGs need to
be submitted by October 1, 2011
• Title V sources application deadlines:
– For sources already subject to Title V, report GHG PTE
(greater than, or less than, 100,000 tpy CO2e) in any
application submitted after July 1, 2011
– July 1, 2012 for 100,000 tpy CO2e sources that are not
currently Title V sources.
Environmental Protection Division
GA EPD PSD Guidance
• Specific Processes for Submitting Modeling
Protocols, Pre-Application Meetings, and PSD
Applications
– Incorporates references to recently-issued EPA PSD
guidance
• Promotes Submission of Complete PSD Applications
and Timely Permit Issuance
• Based on Draft Guidance Prepared by Georgia
Industry Environmental Coalition
• Draft Guidance from EPD Expected by End of
Summer, 2011
Environmental Protection Division
Contact Information
Jimmy Johnston
404-363-7014
[email protected]
www.georgiaair.org
Environmental Protection Division