Transcript NOG INVULLEN

Right (and left) wing
populism
in the Netherlands
Jeroen Dijsselbloem
Member of Parliament
Elections in Holland
% of votes
18
16
14
12
10
Populist-right
8
6
4
2
0
1989
1994
1998
2002
2003
2006
Elections in Holland
% of votes
18
16
14
12
10
Populist-right
Populist-left
8
6
4
2
0
1989
1994
1998
2002
2003
2006
Elections in Holland
% of votes
35
30
25
20
Populist-right
Populist-left
PvdA
15
10
5
0
1977
1981
1982
1986
1989
1994
1998
2002
2003
2006
Changes at Dutch elections:
seats moved in one election
Until 1965
Until 1985
1994
1998
2002
2003
2006
always less then 9
always less then 20
34
25
46
24
30
Elections in Holland
% of votes
25
20
15
Populist total
10
5
0
1989
1994
1998
2002
2003
2006
Themes of populist right
Threats of migration / Islam
Euroscepsis
Decay of norms and values
Threats of migration
If I lived in a neighbourhood with a
lot of immigrants, I would move to a
more ‘white’ neighbourhood
48 % agrees
TNS NIPO 2004
Feelings towards Muslims
(TNS NIPO 2004)
Negative
36 %
Neutral
47 %
Positive
15 %
Attitude towards minorities
Woman wearing a burka should be
excluded from social security payments
Yes
No
75 %
20 %
Peil.nl 2005
Attitude towards minorities
There should be a ban on headscarfs
for public servants
Yes
No
63 %
32 %
Peil.nl 2004
Multiple nationality
Can migrants become Dutch nationals
without giving up their original nationality?
Yes
No
Total
Populist right
31 %
69 %
8%
92 %
Peil.nl 2006
Attitude towards minorities
Migrants must conform to the way of life
in the host country.
Holland
81,5 %
England
68,2 %
Germany
77,5 %
ESS 2004
Attitude towards minorities
As condition for migration I find it important
that migrants speak the national language.
Holland
75,3 %
England
65,0 %
Germany
76,0 %
ESS 2004
Attitude towards Europe
EU-sceptic
Total average
Populist right
Populist left
PvdA
55
88
72
50
%
%
%
%
Peil.nl 2006
Norms and values
Moral standards are deteriorating more and more.
1970
1980
1996
1998
YES
39 %
60
61
69
Norms and values
Tax fraud is unacceptable
Netherlands
Italy
UK
1991
45 %
74
73
1998
61 %
70
72
Norms and values
Tougher on law and order
Higher sentences: 90%
Tougher prisonregime: 70%
Norms and values

Feeling of insecurity related to islam&migration:

Migrant-youthgangs (68%)
Terrorist attack (53%)
Islamic law (41%)
Foreign languages in public (41%)
Headscarfs in public (13%)





TNS-NIPO 2004
Norms and values
Islam is compatible to our way of life
 No: 50%

Muslims can contribute to Dutch culture
 Yes: 34%


SCP 2005
Populist vote (left + right) 22 - 23 %
No to globalization
EU-sceptic
More priority for integration
Worries about norms and values
Cultural ‘clash’ islam
“OUR WAY OF LIFE”
24 %
23 %
23 %
69%
50 %
Hopes for the future
1.
 2.
 3.
 4.
 5.


More solidarity
Safety and security
Keeping to traditional norms&values
Safeguarding the welfare state
Remaining a prosperous country
THIS IS THE CENTRE-LEFT AGENDA!