Transcript Shifting Power: A New Information Infrastructure

Shifting Power: A New
Information Infrastructure
Bonnie Lawlor
ICSTI
January 15, 2004
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
The Information Environment
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Where we are now
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How we got here
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Challenges/Opportunities for the
Future
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Google Statistics:
Index 3.3 billion Web pages
10,000 computers
200 million searches daily (75% of web
searches)
88 languages, 6 years old
1 billion estimated revenues in 2003*
4 billion dollars to be raised via IPO in 2004*
Objective: Organize the World’s Information
U.S.A Today, August 26, 2003, page 1D
*Bloomberg.com, January 5, 2004.
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
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“For the Next Generation of online users,
established firms may have lost mindshare”…
Stephen Arnold, President,
Arnold Information Technology (12/2000)
“The enemy is Google, the lazy student and time
the constrained worker”….
Derk Haank, CEO
Elsevier (2/2003)
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
TECHNOLOGY:
Online: <1M searches
1972
~60M
1992
PC’s:
2.1M units
1981
589M
2001
Web:
130 hosts
1993
171.6M
2003
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Societal Acceptance of Information
Technology:
U.S Households
With PC’s
8 - 10%
70%
1984
2003
Today:
22% have more than 1 PC
7-10% are networked
>50% have Internet Access
68% children use it for school
64% adults use it for Information
32% children (6-8yrs) have or
plan to build a personal web site
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Economic Factors:
Increase in Journal Prices
11.3% annually 1963 – 1990; 9% currently
Increase in Number of Journals
140% increase since 1972
Decline in Library Purchasing Power
40% of ARL libraries will cancel “Big Deal” Contracts in 03/04
UK investigating price/accessibility of scientific journals
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Political/Policy Issues:
•
Public Awareness/Acceptance of
Copyright
•
Lack of Global Information Policies
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Convergence of Factors:
Technology
Society
Economics
2003
Policy
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
U. S. Student Behavior (2002):
79%: Use the web for all/most assignments
50%: Use the library portal
66%: Believe they are best able to judge the
quality of web information
4%:
Believe the quality of web information is poor
88%: Believe that they will not use a feebased web service
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
U.K. Student Behavior (2001):
72%: Web is the information source of first
choice
45%: Google is the search engine of choice
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Medical Student Behavior (2000):
6%: Never used Medline
29%: Never used MD Consult
73%: Never used CINAHL or Current
Contents
74%: Never used PsycInfo
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Web Information vs. Traditional Sources:
. Discipline Dependent
MEDLINE vs. Inspec
•
Value determined by the User, not the
Information Provider
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Open Access Publishing:
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BioMed Central
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PubMed Central
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Public Library of Science
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arXive.org e-Print Archive
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Institutional, Discipline-specific & Individual
Repositories
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Electronic Journals
1991:
7 peer-reviewed journals
2003:
5,000 electronic journals with no print
counterpart
34,27 journals in print & electronic form
(44% are “scholarly”)
Ulrich’s, Private Communication, May 2003
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Market Perspective:
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Decline in use of Library and Traditional A&I services
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Demand for more content – not more technology
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Request more collaboration among information providers
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Information Linking – media independent
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New business models based upon user needs
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Ideal Information System
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Easy to Access and Use
Available 24 Hours
Offer Broad Spectrum of Resources
Reliable
Pleasurable
Reasonably Priced
User Perception: The web fulfills the above
criteria; A&I services do not
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Challenges:
•
Visibility
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Content
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Access & Retrieval Methods
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Business Models
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Visibility:
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Collaboration with Librarians and Library
web sites
Emphasis on Services (free and feebased)
Presence on the Web
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Content:
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Multimedia
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Relevant Web-based information
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Open Access Scholarly Journals
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Linking
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Legacy data – new uses (micro-content/mining)
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Information Access & Delivery:
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Voice Recognition
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Data Visualization
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Tools for Data Mining/Evaluation
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Adaption to New Information “Appliances”
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
Business Models:
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iTunes
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British Library
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Open Access Publishing
•
?????
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
2004 NFAIS Annual Conference
The Battle for Mindshare: Information
Access & Retrieval in the Year 2010
Date:
Location:
Information:
February 22 – 24, 2004
Ritz Carlton, Philadelphia
http://www.nfais.org
Shifting Power: A New Information
Infrastructure
New Publication
The 2003 OCLC Environmental Scan*
100 Interviews
29 countries
Environmental issues
Technology drivers
http://www.oclc.org/membership/escan/default.ht
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