Transcript Chapter 2
Economics of Strategy
Fifth Edition
Besanko, Dranove, Shanley, and Schaefer
Chapter 12
Industry Analysis
Slides by: Richard Ponarul, California State University, Chico
Copyright 2010 John Wiley Sons, Inc.
Industry Analysis
Industry analysis facilitates
assessment
of industry and firm performance
identification of factors that affect performance
determination of the effect of changes in the
business environment on performance and
identification of opportunities and threats
(SWOT analysis)
Industry Analysis
Industry analysis helps with assessing generic
business strategies
Porter’s five forces framework is rooted in
microeconomics
Value net (Brandenburger and Nalebuff)
supplements the five forces framework to analyze
strategy
The Five-Forces Framework
Michael Porter’s Five-Forces framework
identifies the economic forces that affect
industry profits
The five forces are
Internal
rivalry
Entry
Substitutes
and complements
Supplier power
Buyer power
The Five-Forces Framework
Internal Rivalry
Internal rivalry is the competition for
market share among the firms in the
industry
Competition could be on price or some nonprice dimension
Price Competition erodes the price cost
margin and profitability
Internal Rivalry
Competition on non-price dimension can
drive up costs.
Non-price competition does not erode
profits as severely as price competition if
customers are willing to pay a higher price
for the improvements.
Internal Rivalry
Price competition heats up when
There
are many sellers
Some firms have cost advantage over others
There is excess capacity in the industry
Products are undifferentiated and switching
costs are low
Prices and sale terms are easily observable
Internal Rivalry
Other conditions that facilitate intense price
competition
Large
and infrequent sales orders
Absence of “facilitating practices”
Absence of a history of cooperative pricing
Strong exit barriers
Industry demand is elastic
Entry
Entry hurts the incumbents by
by cutting into the incumbents’ market share and
by intensifying internal rivalry and leads to a
decline in price cost margin
Barriers to entry can be
exogenous (nature of the industry) or
endogenous (incumbents’ strategic choices)
Factors that Affect the Threat of Entry
Minimum efficient scale relative to the size of the
market
Government policies that favor the incumbents
Brand loyalty of consumers and value placed by
consumers on reputation
Entrants’ access to critical resources such as raw
material, technical know how and distribution
network
Factors that Affect the Threat of Entry
Steepness of the learning curve
Network externalities that give the
incumbents the benefit of a large installed
base
Incumbents’ reputation regarding post-entry
competitive behavior
Substitutes and Complements
Availability of substitutes erode the demand
for the industry’s output
Complements boost industry demand
When the price elasticity of demand is large,
pressure from substitutes will be significant
Changes in demand can in turn affect
internal rivalry and entry/exit
Supplier Power
Supplier has indirect power if upstream
market is competitive. It sells to the highest
bidder.
Supplier has direct power if
the
upstream industry is concentrated or
the customers are locked into the relationship
with suppliers due to relationship specific assets
Buyer Power
Buyer power is analogous to supplier power
Buyers have indirect power in competitive
markets
Buyer concentration or relationship specific
assets can lead to direct power
Buyer power relative to upstream is
analogous to supplier power relative to
downstream
Supplier Power
The factors that determine supplier power are
Competitiveness
of the input market
Relative concentration the industry
Relative concentration of upstream and
downstream firms
Purchase volume by downstream firms
Availability of substitute inputs
Extent of relationship specific investments
Threat of forward integration by suppliers
Suppliers’ ability to price discriminate
Some Strategies to Cope with the Five Forces
To outperform its rivals firms can
develop
a cost advantage or
a differentiation advantage
Firms can seek an industry segment where
the five forces are less severe
Firms can try to change the forces
Some Strategies to Cope with the Five Forces
Facilitating strategies to reduce internal
rivalries
Moves that increase switching costs for the
customers
Pursuing entry deterring strategies
Tapered integration to reduce
buyer/supplier power
Five Forces and Value Net
The Five-Forces Framework tends to view
other firms - competitors, suppliers or
buyers - as threats to profitability
In the value net model (Coopetition)
interactions between firms can be positive or
negative
Cooperative Interactions Among Firms
Setting industry standards that facilitate industry
growth
Lobbying for regulation or legislation that favors
the industry
Cooperation with buyers/suppliers
to improve product quality
to improve productive efficiency
to improve inventory management
The Value Net Concept
The value net consists of
Suppliers
Customers
Competitors and
Complementors (producers of complementary goods and
services)
The value net complements the five forces
approach by considering opportunities posed by
each force.
The DVD Hardware Market:
A Five-Forces Analysis
Internal rivalry was intense. Brand name was the
main source of differentiation
It was easy for consumer electronics firms to enter.
Satellite TV could be a substitute. Streaming over
the internet was another possibility.
The DVD Hardware Market:
A Five-Forces Analysis
Movie studios (upstream) and big retailers
(downstream) had power.
DVD hardware makers, according to this
analysis, had reason to be pessimistic.
DVD format’s success can be attributed to
firms working together (value net).
The DVD Hardware Market: The Value Net
In the beginning DIVX was a major threat.
DVD manufacturers cut prices on some
models and advertised heavily.
Other members of the value net chipped in
to increase the size of the DVD “pie.”
Movie studios released popular titles in DVD format and
priced them moderately
Retailers promoted the DVD hardware and software
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing
Boeing and Airbus compete globally.
Fringe players in aircraft with capacity less
than 125 seats are excluded from the
analysis.
The market share (by revenue) of the fringe
players is small.
There are no meaningful submarkets.
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing:
Internal Rivalry
Boeing delivered its first commercial aircraft in
1958.
Airbus is younger.
Boeing enjoys economies of scope due to its
defense business.
Airbus gets government subsidies.
Stable market shares and reduced incentive for
price wars
Historically there has been little product
differentiation
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing:
Internal Rivalry
Airbus developed the double-decker mega
plane.
Boeing abandoned competing with its Sonic
Cruiser.
Airliners exhibit loyalty to suppliers
Economic slowdown has reduced the
demand for aircraft.
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing: Entry
Major barriers to entry are:
Huge
development costs
Experience-based advantages
Buyer reluctance to buy from startups
Customer loyalty to current suppliers
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing: Substitutes
Small plane manufacturers cut into demand
for Boeing and Airbus planes in regional
routes.
As demand for air travel increases airlines
switching back to larger planes in regional
routes.
Other forms of transportation could be
substitutes (High speed rail) for “regional
jets.”
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing:
Supplier Power
Parts market is competitive
Part suppliers deal directly with airlines.
But Boeing’s Global Airlines Inventory
Network (GAIN) gains leverage over
suppliers.
Jet engine suppliers are not numerous and
enjoy direct power.
Unionized labor has significant supplier
power.
Commercial Airframe Manufacturing:
Buyer Power
Buyers for aircraft are either airlines or
leasing companies. Neither have buyer
power.
Each order could be of the order of 15% of
annual sales revenue for the manufacturer.
Buyers may cancel orders during economic
downturns.
Five-Forces Analysis of the Commercial Aviation
Industry
Professional Sports: Market Definition
Major sports leagues in the U. S.
MLB
NBA
NFL
NHL
Five force analysis is also applicable to
major sports leagues elsewhere
Professional Sports: Internal Rivalry
Sports leagues require competitive balance
to keep the contests interesting
Athletic competition does not imply
business competition
Internal rivalry is low within leagues as
teams follow rules and share revenue
Teams do not compete in the labor market
Professional Sports: Entry
Each league has rules for admitting new
teams.
Current owners need to be compensated
when new teams are added.
Incumbent owners can veto new franchises
in their geographic market.
Starting an entire new league is risky.
Professional Sports:
Substitutes and Complements
Teams compete in the local markets with
other forms of entertainment
Elasticity of substitution is quite low
Important complements
Television
Sports
betting
Professional Sports: Supplier Power
Unionized players
For new players NCAA has been a benign
supplier
Cities spend tax dollars to build facilities to
attract sports teams.
As municipal finances get tighter,
subsidizing teams becomes more difficult.
Professional Sports: Buyer Power
Television networks and sports cable
systems compete with each other for
broadcasting rights
In negotiations regarding broadcast rights
leagues have the upper hand against
television networks
local television and
radio.
Five-Forces Analysis of Professional
Sports Leagues