Transcript EEE Pattern
Model structure and data treatment of IMACLIM-CHINA Wang Yu Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy Tsinghua University 29 January, 2015 China’s Energy Balance China’s Energy balance Base year 2010: match with five-year plan of China Data Focus Industry: enlarge the industry sector in energy end-use into 42 sectors to describe the change between industry Transportation: reform the transportation sector according to the international statistical standards Non-fossil energy: list the may non-fossil energy in the table to simulate the contribution of energy structure improvement Data process-1 1. Adjustment in energy types—14 types Combined energy types from China’s Energy (4) White Gasoline KeroseneDiesel Oil Fuel Oil Naphtha Lubricants Petroleum spirit Waxes Bitumen Petroleum Coke Asphalt LPG Other Refinery Petroleum Products Gas Liquid fuel Coke Coke Oven Gas Blast Furnace Gas Converter Gas Coke Raw Coal Cleaned Washed Briquettes Gangue Total coal Natural Gas Gases LNG 3 Data process-1 1. Adjustment in energy types—14 types Original energy types from China’s Energy Balance (4) Renewable energy types (6) Crude oil Biomass Hydro power Heat Nuclear Electricity (thermal power) Wind power Solar Other energy Geothermal power and other RE 4 Data process-2 2. Adjustment in Total Primary Energy Supply--5 supplies Indigenous Production Indigenous Production Hydro Power Nuclear Power Wind Power Total Final Consumption Agriculture Industry Construction Transport, Storage and Post Wholesale, Retail Trade and Hotel, Restaurants Others Residential Consumption Electricity 10756.60 8875.49 907.99 548.40 48381.12 1200.11 34785.04 593.90 902.74 1587.87 3013.30 6298.17 Hydro Nuclear Wind Indigenous production 8875.49 907.99 548.40 Total final consumption 8875.00 908.00 548.00 Electricity 33790.94 5 Data process-2 2. Adjustment in Total Primary Energy Supply--5 supplies Recovery of Energy– no change Imports (Import and Domestic Airplanes and Ships Refueling) Exports (Export and Oversea Airplanes and Ships Refueling) Stock Change– no change Import Import Domestic Air planes & Ships Refueling in Abroad Export (-) Export Oversea Air planes &Ships Refueling in China 6 Data process-3 3. Adjustment in Input and Output of Transformation -- 8 transformations Separate coal to oil from petroleum refineries Merge natural gas liquefaction and briquettes to other transformation 二.加工转换投入产出量 Input(-) & Output(+) of Transformation 1.火力发电 Thermal Power Thermal Power 2.供 Heating Supply Heating Supply 3.洗 选 煤 Coal Washing Coal Washing 4.炼 Coking Coking 热 焦 5.炼油及煤制油 6.制 气 Petroleum Refineries and coal to oil Gas Works 7.天然气液化 Natural Gas Liquefaction 8.煤制品加工 Briquettes Petroleum Refineries Coal to oil Gas works Others * According to literature review: whole coal consumed in item 5 was assumed to be used to generate oil. The the production of coal to oil was 1.5 million tce in 2010 7 Data process-4 4. Adjustment in Transportation 100% of gasoline consumed in agriculture and residential sector, and 95% of gasoline consumed in industry, construction and service sectors were moved to transportation 95% of diesel consumed in agriculture and residential sector, and 35% of diesel consumed in industry, construction and service sectors were moved to transportation Total Final Consumption Gasoline Diesel Oil Agriculture 248.77 1758.33 2018.04 Industry 1014.34 2981.46 17321.90 Construction 404.19 714.27 3480.73 Transport, Storage and Post 4715.73 12412.39 27308.83 Wholesale, Retail Trade and Hotel, Restaurants 247.45 286.47 386.87 Others 1715.98 1875.56 3755.28 Residential Consumption 1785.77 1123.02 2582.46 8 Data process-4 4. Adjustment in Transportation—4 modes Transportation Road Public Railway Private Freight Flight Passenger * Urban Rural Freight Water Passenger Freight Separate according to Turnover Volume Passenger Data process-5 5. Adjustment in Industry 四.终端消费量 Total Final Consumption Mining and Washing of Coal Mining and Quarrying (6) Extraction of Petroleum and Natural Gas Processing of Food from Agricultural Products Farming, Forestry, Animal 1.农、林、牧、渔 Husbandry, Fishery 业 Conservancy 2.工业 Industry 3.建筑业 Construction 4.交通运输、仓储 Transport, Storage and Post 和邮政业 5.批发、零售业和 Wholesale, Retail Trade and Hotel, Restaurants 住宿、餐饮业 6.其他 Others 7.生活消费 Residential Consumption Manufacture of Non-metallic Mineral Products Manufacturing (30) Smelting and Pressing of Ferrous Metals Manufacture of Transport Equipment Manufacture of Electrical Machinery and Equipment Production and Distribution of Gas Gas and Water Production and Supply Production and Distribution of (2) Water Final Energy Consumption By Industrial Sector-2010 Data process-6 6. Adjustment between Input and Output of Transformation and final energy consumption in Industry Thermal Power Transformation Heating Supply Final consumption Production and Distribution of Electric Power and Heat Power Coal Coke 2272.11 19.78 Petroleum Crude Oil 121.71 Transportation 0.37 Natural Gas Heat Electricity 8.95 231.39 3833.58 Data process-7 7. Adjustment in Renewable Energy (6 types) Electricity Biomass Biogas Hydro power Biofuel Electricity Non-fossil energy Solar energy Heating Nuclear power Wind power Electricity Geothermal & others Heating Data process-7 I. Electricity generation Renewable Based on energy balance table TWh Hydro power 687 Wind power 49 Biomass 25 Solar power 0.1 Geothermal 0.15 Nuclear II. Gas generation III. Heating supply IV. Fuels 761 87 Biogas Solar water heater Geothermal Biomass pellets Bio-ethanol 108 m3 104 tce 104 ton Bio diesel 143 2128 460 300 186 50 V. Total National electricity generation RE & nuclear electricity/ total TWh % 42278 18.00% Data process-7 7. Adjustment in Renewable Energy (6 types) All the Renewable Electricity are connected to Grid All the Renewable Energy are consumed by Final Consumer 煤合计 焦炭 油品合计 原油 Coal Total Coke Total Petroleu Crude Oil Bio-mass m 59113.02 38721.15 56854.11 1151.25 生物质能 420.57 水能 核能 风能 太阳能 地热能及 其他RE 天然气 热力 电力 其他能源 Hydro Power Nuclear Power Wind Power Solar Power Other RE Natural Gas Heat Electricity Other Energy 8875.00 908.00 548.00 1.38 2.77 10986.96 9808.27 33790.94 Data process-7 7. Adjustment in Renewable Energy (6 types) -Bio-mass fuel includes Biomass Briquette, Bioethanol and Biodiesel -Bioethanol and Biodiesel → Transportation -Biomass Briquette → Industry and Residential Consumption in Rural Area (1:2) -Methane → First Industry and Residential Consumption in Rural Area (1:8) -Solar Water Heater → Third Industry and Residential Consumption in Rural Area (1:1) -Geo-Heating → First Industry, Third Industry and Residential Consumption equally in Rural Area and Urban Area (3:47:50) 15 Thanks!