Evacuation Planning - Spatial Database Group

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Transcript Evacuation Planning - Spatial Database Group

Spatial Computing: Recent Trends
Smarter
Planet
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SIG
SPATIAL
Group Members
Faculty
Professor Shashi Shekhar
Current Ph.D. Studnets
Pradeep Mohan
Mike Evans
Dev Oliver
Xun Zhou
Abdussalam Bannur
KwangSoo Yang
Viswanath Gunturi
Zhe Jiang
Jeff Wolff
Changqing Zhou
Others/Visitors
Lydia Manikonda
Ivan Brugere
Ongoing Projects Overview
• Applications
Transportation, virtual environments, Earth science,
epidemiology and cartography.
• Spatial Data Mining
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Flow anomalies
Teleconnection
Cascade pattern discovery
K-Main-Route (KMR) summarization
Pattern of life
Abrupt change detection
• Spatial Database
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Eco-Routing
Evacuation planning
Courses
CSCI 8715 – Spatial Databases and Applications
Topics
Application Domains
Conceptual Data Models
Logical Data Models
Physical Data Models
Spatial Networks
Spatial Data Mining
Others
Course Website
http://www.spatial.cs.umn.edu/Courses/Fall11/8715
CSCI 5980 – GIS: a computational perspective
Topics
Data Model
Representation & access
Architecture
Others
National Research Council
Flow Anomalies
Sensor 5
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Problem
– Discover dominant time
periods that exhibit
anomalous behavior
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Why is it hard?
– A single dominant time
period may have subsets
that are not anomalous
Sensor 2
Sensor
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http://www.esri.com/news/arcuser/0405/ss_crimestats2of2.html
Sensor 1
Sensor 4
(Source: Shingle Creek, MN Study Site)
 No Dynamic
Programming
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Contributions
– A SWEET (Smart Window
Enumeration and
Evaluation of persistentThresholds) Approach
Ex. An
Oil Spill
J. M. Kang, S. Shekhar, C. Wennen, P. Novak, Discovering
Flow Anomalies: A SWEET Approach, In the Eighth IEEE
International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM '08), pp. 851856, Pisa, Italy, December 15-19, 2008.
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(Source: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/news/oilspill/busan)
Teleconnections
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Problem
– Find remote
connections
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Example
– El Niño in Pacific
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Global Influence of El Nino during the
Northern Hemisphere Winter
(D: Dry, W: Warm, R: Rainfall)
Why is it hard?
– Large spatial
dataset
– Long time series
Dead Zone, Gulf of Mexico
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Cascading spatio-temporal patterns (CSTPs)
Time T1
Time T2 > T1
Time T3>T2
Aggregate(T1,
T2,T3)
 Input: Crime reports with location and
time.
a
Output: Cascading spatio-temporal
patterns
Bar
Closing(B)
Why are CSTPs important ?
Courtsey: www.startribune.com
Contributions
 Interest measure: Cascade
participation index lower bound on
conditional probability.
 Computational Structure
 Compute measure efficiently
 Avoid unnecessary measure
computations
Assault(A
)
Drunk Driving (C)
Why is discovering CSTPs hard ?
 Trade off between computational
efficiency and statistical interpretation.
 Pattern space exponential in
number of event types.
Why are CSTPs Novel/better ?
 Current STDM literature ignores
spatio-temporal semantics(e.g. partial
order) Bar closing a generator
Results: for crime related CSTP!
CSTP: P1
C
B
A
{Bar Closing}
{Vandalism} {Assault} Bar locations in Lincoln,
NE
CPI = 0.022; CPI-Downtown = 0.11
•Pradeep Mohan, Shashi Shekhar, James A. Shine, James P. Rogers. Cascading spatio-temporal pattern discovery: A summary of results. In Proc. of 10th SIAM International
Data Mining (SDM) 2010, Columbus, OH, USA
•Pradeep Mohan, Shashi Shekhar, James A. Shine, James P. Rogers. Cascading spatio-temporal pattern discovery. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and data
engineering(Accepted, In Press).
A K-Main Routes Approach to Spatial Network Activity
Summarization
Dev Oliver, Shashi Shekhar, James M. Kang, Renee Bousselaire, Abdussalam Bannur
Problem Statement:
The spatial network activity summarization
(SNAS) problem: Given a spatial network and
a collection of activities (e.g., crime reports,
emergency requests), find a set of k paths to
summarize the activities.
Importance:
SNAS is important for crime analysis and
disaster response.
Challenge:
Computational Complexity
• Choose(N,2) paths, given N nodes
• Exponential number of k subsets of paths
Related Work:
Input
K-MeansOutput
K-Means
Output
KMR Output
KMR
Output
KMR uses paths instead of ellipses in summarizing activities
Contribution
The K-Main Routes (KMR) algorithm
• Discovers k paths to summarize activities.
• Generalizes K-means for network space but uses paths
instead of ellipses to summarize activities.
• Improves performance by using a network voronoi
technique to assign activities to summary paths and a
divide and conquer method to recompute summary paths.
Results
• Proposed two new algorithms for improving the
performance of KMR: Network Voronoi activity
Assignment (NOVA) and Divide and conquer Summary
PAth REcomputation (D-SPARE).
• Validation via case studies, experiments and analytical
evaluation to verify correctness in context of real
workloads.
• Successfully transferred software for direct evaluation
by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency.
Abrupt Change Interval Detection
Given:
Vegetation cover in Africa, August 1-15, 1981.
A path S in a Spatiotemporal Dataset
A unit-interval change abruptness threshold a
A sameness degree threshold sd
Find:
Dominant ST sub-intervals of S with
persistently abrupt change
Objective:
Reduce Computational Cost
Constraints:
Correctness & Completeness
Results:
Temporal intervals of
abrupt rainfall change in
Sahel, Africa.
 Longitudinal spatial
abrupt change of
vegetation cover in Africa.
Publication: Xun Zhou, Shashi Shekahr, Pradeep Mohan, Stefan Liess, Peter K. Snyder, Discovering
Interesting Sub-paths in Spatiotemporal Datasets: A Summary of Results. In Proc. 19th Intl’ Conf.
Advances on Geographical Information Systems (ACM GIS 2011), Nov 2011, Chicago, IL, USA.
Abrupt vegetation cover change in Africa,
August 1-15, 1981.
Fuel Efficient Routing
INPUT: Road network; a source and
destination; a time interval
OUTPUT: A path between source and
destination for each start time
OBJECTIVE: The path should be fuel
efficient.
Venkata M. V. Gunturi, Ernesto Nunes,
KwangSoo Yang, and Shashi Shekhar. 2011. A
critical-time-point approach to all-start-time
lagrangian shortest paths: a summary of
results. In SSTD'11, pp 74--91
Evacuation Planning
University of Minnesota 2006 Annual Report
(http://www.research.umn.edu/communications/publications/documents/OVPRAnnualRpt06.pdf)
Evacuation Planning System in Cloud Environment
Why Evacuation Planning?
Hurricane Andrew Florida and Louisiana, 1992
System Architecture for Cloud Environment
Lack of effective evacuation plans
 Traffic congestions on all highways
 Great confusions and chaos
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( National Weather Services)
Hurricane Rita
Gulf Coast, 2005
( www.washingtonpost.com)
"We packed up Morgan City residents
to evacuate in the a.m. on the day that
Andrew hit coastal Louisiana, but in
early afternoon the majority came back
home. The traffic was so bad that
they couldn't get through Lafayette."
Mayor Tim Mott, Morgan City,
Louisiana (
http://i49south.com/hurricane.htm )
A Real Scenario (Monticello): Result Routes
( National Weather Services)
Problem Statement
( FEMA.gov)
Hurricane Rita
evacuees from
Houston clog I-45.
Given
 Transportation network with capacity constraints
 Initial number of people to be evacuated and their initial locations
 Evacuation destinations
Output
 Routes to be taken and scheduling of people on each route
Objective
 Minimize total time needed for evacuation
 Minimize computational overhead
Constraints
 Capacity constraints: evacuation plan meets capacity of the network
 Network data size is too large. (Data are stored into secondary storage)
 Utilize cloud environment for scalability
Spatial Computing in Government
Economy & Spatial Computing
Group Alumni
Academia:
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Mete Celik (Erciyes Univ.)
Jin Soung Yoo (IU-Purdue Univ. Indy)
Hui Xiong (Rutgers Univ.)
Yan Huang (Univ. of North Texas)
Wei Li Wu (U. of Texas, Dallas)
Chang-Tien Lu (Virginia Polytechnic Univ)
Sanjay Chawla (Univ. of Sydney)
Du-Ren Liu (National Chiao Tung Univ.)
Andrew Yang (Univ. of Houston).
Government Agency:
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James Kang (USDOD)
Ranga Raju Vatsavai (USDOE-ORNL)
Industry:
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Betsy George (Oracle Spatial)
Qingsong Lu (Microsoft Research)
Sangho Kim (ESRI)
Baris Kazar (Oracle Spatial)
Pusheng Zhang (Microsoft Virtual Earth)
Xuan Liu (IBM TJ Watson)
Siva Ravada (Oracle)
Mark Coyle (Appirio)
Babak Hamidzadeh (Boeing Research)
Spatial/Spatio-temporal Data Mining: Representative Project
Location prediction: nesting sites
Nest locations
Vegetation
durability
Spatial outliers: sensor (#9) on I-35
Distance to open water
Water depth
Co-location Patterns
Tele connections
(Ack: In collaboration w/V. Kumar, M. Steinbach, P. Zhang)
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Spatial Databases: Representative Projects
Evacutation Route Planning
Parallelize
Range Queries
only in old plan
Only in new plan
In both plans
Shortest Paths
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Storing graphs in disk blocks
Co-location Patterns
Given:
A collection of different
types of spatial event
Find:
Co-located subsets of
event types
Objective:
Minimize computation
time
Yan Huang, Shashi Shekhar, and Hui Xiong, Discovering Co-location Patterns from Spatial
Datasets: A General Approach, IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering (TKDE),
16(12), pp. 1472-1485, December 2004. (Earlier version appeared in SSTD ’01)
Spatial Outlier Detection
Given:
A spatial graph G={V,E}
A neighbor relationship (K neighbors)
An attribute function f : V -> R
An aggregation function : faggr :R k >R
Confidence level threshold 
 Find:
O = {vi | vi V, vi is a spatial outlier}
Objective:
Correctness: The attribute values of vi
is extreme, compared with its
neighbors
Computational efficiency
 Constraints:
Attribute value is normally distributed
Computation cost dominated by I/O
op.
S. Shekhar, C.T. Lu, and P. Zhang. A unified approach to
detecting spatial outliers. GeoInformatica, 7(2), 2003
(Earlier version appeared in SIGKDD ’01).
Location Prediction: Spatial Auto-regression
Given:
Spatial Framework S={s1,…,sn}
Explanatory functions: fxi : S->R
A dependent class: fy : S->[0,1]
A family ζ of function mappings:
R x…x R -> [0,1]
 Find:
Classification model: f
^
y
Є ζ
Nest locations
Distance to open water
 Objective:
Maximize classification accuracy
 Constraints:
Spatial Autocorrelation exists
S. Shekhar, P. Schrater, R. Vatsavai, W. Wu, and
S. Chawla, Spatial Contextual Classification and
Prediction Models for Mining Geospatial Data, In
IEEE Transactions on Multimedia (special issue
on Multimedia Dataabses) p174-188, 2002.
Vegetation durability
Water depth
Eco-Routing
Do you idle at green light during traffic congestion?
U.P.S. Embraces High-Tech Delivery Methods (July 12, 2007)
By “The research at U.P.S. is paying off. ……..— saving roughly three million gallons
of fuel in good part by mapping routes that minimize left turns.”
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Minimize fuel consumption and GPG emission
– rather than proxies, e.g. distance, travel-time
– avoid congestion, idling at red-lights, turns and elevation changes, etc.
Evacuation Planning: A Real Scenario, New Plan Routes
Experiment Result
Total evacuation time:
- Existing Plan: 268 min.
- New Plan: 162 min.
Monticello Power
Plant
Source
cities
Destination
Routes used only by old plan
Routes used only by result plan of
capacity constrained routing
Routes used by both plans
Congestion is likely in old plan near evacuation
destination due to capacity constraints. Our plan
has richer routes near destination to reduce
congestion and total evacuation time.
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Twin Cities