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BUDGET FORUM
Jeremy Meyers, Superintendent
Robbie Montalbano, Deputy Superintendent
SEPTEMBER 23, 2015
2
2015-16 State Budget
The National Economy
3
The U.S. economy continues to add jobs
280,000 jobs added in May
On average, about 200,000 jobs per month have been
added during the past year
Professional and business services, leisure and hospitality,
and health care account for most of the gain
Unemployment is still a challenge
© 2015 School Services of California, Inc.
The California Economy
4
The California economy continues to show strength
Added 54,200 jobs in May, outperforming the U.S. average
If the state had added only its proportionate share of jobs based on population, it would
have gained 35,000 jobs
California’s unemployment rate in May was 6.3%, still above the U.S. average
One year ago, the State’s unemployment rate was 7.5%
The State’s housing market continues to strengthen
The statewide median home price in April was $481,800, up 7.4% from April 2014
Residential building permits are up almost 21% for the first four months of 2015,
compared to the same period one year ago
© 2015 School Services of California, Inc.
The California Economy
5
It was a great year for the State’s highest income earners, whose
income and capital gains taxes make up a significant part of the growth
in General Fund revenues
Proposition 30 continues to be a strong and steady source of State
income
$7 billion to $8 billion in combined sales and personal income taxes
Continued concerns
The economic effect of the drought is still unknown
Rising gas prices could hinder domestic consumer spending
Job growth in the innermost California communities still lags way behind the
nation and other areas of the state
© 2015 School Services of California, Inc.
The California Economy
6
© 2015 School Services of California, Inc.
Highlights in the Education Budget
7
The budget includes Prop. 98 funding of $68.4 billion
for 2015-16, an increase of $7.6 billion over the 20142015 budget
Since 2011-12, Prop. 98 funding for K-12 education
has grown more than $18.6 billion
The Prop. 98 maintenance factor will be reduced to
$772 million by the end of 2015-16
Highlights in the Education Budget
8
Funding for the LCFF of $5.994 billion, 2015-16 gap funding 51.52%
Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) of 1.02% to categorical programs
outside of LCFF
$3.2 billion one-time to pay down past unpaid state mandates
The funding is unrestricted and may be used by LEAs to meet local
needs as determined by their governing board
Legislative intent is to prioritize funding for investments necessary to support
implementation of Common Core, English Language Development and Next
Generation Science standards
Highlights in the Education Budget
9
Establishes the Career Technical Education (CTE)
Incentive Grant Program
Provides $900 million in one-time Prop. 98 funding over the
next three years to establish new or expanded high-quality
CTE programs
$400 million is provided in 2015-16
Competitive, matching grants
Highlights in the Education Budget
10
Adult Education funding of $500 million
$375 million is provided to School Districts and County
Offices of Education for Adult Education Maintenance of
Effort on the basis of the 2012-13 Maintenance of Effort
certification
Preschool and Child Care received Prop. 98 and nonProp. 98 funding totaling $2.851 billion.
Highlights in the Education Budget
11
$60.1 million directed to Special Education in response to
recommendations from the statewide Special Education
Task Force
$50.1 million is on-going and $10 million is one-time
Does not increase the amount of money allocated through the
AB 602 process
Routine Restricted Maintenance Account (RRMA) now has
extended flexibility delaying full implementation of the 3%
requirement until 2019-20
12
2015-16 EDCOE Budget
Local Control Funding Formula
13
County
Office
LCFF
Funding
LCFF Funding for our organization includes
sources/support for the following major
programs:
Juvenile Hall/Court Schools
Mandatorily expelled students
Community Day Schools
AB 1200 (fiscal oversight) activities and support
to school districts
Other Funded Student Programs
14
Additional
programs
outside of
the LCFF
Preschool
Head Start/Early Head Start
Special Education
Adult Education
Preschool
15
COLA of 1.02%
A 5% increase to the reimbursement rate for State
Preschool and other direct-contracted child care and
development providers
Challenge – with the increase in minimum wage
some families will no longer qualify for subsidized
slots
Head Start/Early Head Start
16
Year two of a five year grant
Flat funded
Possibility of small COLA (less than 1%) if approved in
federal budget in October
Challenge – with the increase in minimum wage
some families will no longer qualify
Special Education
17
SELPA revenues continue to decline as enrollment
declines
Costs are not declining
Deficit factor in 2015-16 of 0.9707
Deficits each year since 2012-13
So far, all have eventually been restored when final property tax
allocations came in
If this does not occur, the deficit will be funded out of special needs
pool for 2015-16
Adult Education
18
The Governor’s 2015-16 budget proposal calls for $500 million
in ongoing Prop. 98 funding for a new Adult Education Block
Grant supporting activities such as:
$350 million for ongoing maintenance of effort of programs
Elementary and secondary basic skills
Citizenship, English as a second language, and Workforce
Preparation for immigrants
Education for adults with disabilities
Career Technical Education and Apprenticeships
Adult Education Block Grant
19
From the $500 million appropriation, LEAs will directly receive
an amount equal to the amount they spent in 2012-13
$53,838 for EDCOE
After those allocations have been made, any remainder of the
$500 million will be allocated to the Adult Education consortia
Career Technical Education (CTE)
20
The Governor’s Budget Proposal includes $250 million for each of the next
three years for a Career Technical Education (CTE) Incentive Grant
The grant is established as a State Education and Workforce Development
Initiative with the goal of providing pupils in kindergarten through grade 12
with the knowledge and skills necessary to transition to employment and
postsecondary education
School districts, County Offices and Charter Schools interested in this
program will need to complete an application for this competitive grant
program
The grant requires a dollar for dollar match and priority for these State funds
will be given to LEAs applying in partnership with other LEAs
CalPERS
21
■
The employer contribution to CalPERS is increasing from 11.771% in
2014-15 to 11.847% in 2015-16
■
Estimates of the resulting future contribution rate increases for
school employers are as follows:
Actual
Projected
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
11.847%
13.05%
16.6%*
18.2%*
19.9%*
20.4%*
*CalPERS provided these estimates in 2014 and has not yet issued revised
estimates
CalSTRS
22
Year
Employer
PrePEPRA*
Employees
PostPEPRA*
Employees
2015-16
10.73%
9.20%
8.56%
2016-17
12.58%
10.25%
9.205%
2017-18
14.43%
10.25%
9.205%
2018-19
16.28%
10.25%
9.205%
2019-20
18.13%
10.25%
9.205%
2020-21
19.10%
10.25%
9.205%
■
Consistent increases up to
final implementation
■
Once the statutory rates
are achieved, CalSTRS will
have the authority to
increase or decrease the
employer and state
contribution rates
Other Factors
23
■
Additional Factors
■
■
■
■
Affordable Care Act
Increase in Minimum Wage
AB 1522 – Healthy Workplace Healthy Families Act
Declining enrollment
% of
2009
change
% of
2010
from PY
change
% of
2011
from PY
change
% of
2012
from PY
change
% of
2013
from PY
change
% of
2014
from PY
change
from PY
EDCOE
1,077
3.5%
1,122
4.2%
1,079
-3.8%
1,029
-4.6%
1,001
-2.6%
985
-1.6%
SELPA
28,408
-1.2%
28,060
-1.2%
27,639
-1.5%
27,232
-1.5%
27,099
-2.0%
26,960
-0.5%
2015-16 Net Position
24
NET POSITION
Income
2014-2015
2nd Interim
Budget
$ 43,243,511
2014-2015
Current
Budget
$ 43,218,596
2015-2016
Proposed
Budget
$ 43,824,357
$
605,761
Expenditures
$ 44,313,066
$ 45,103,540
$ 45,401,099
$
297,559
$ (1,069,555)
$ (1,884,944)
$ (1,576,742)
$
308,202
Beginning Balance
$ 14,216,868
$ 14,216,868
$ 12,331,924
$ (1,884,944)
Ending Balance
$ 13,147,313
$ 12,331,924
$ 10,755,182
$ (1,576,742)
Income Less Expenditures
(see note 1)
Change
2014-2015
2nd Interim
Budget
$ 43,243,511
2014-2015
Current
Budget
$ 43,218,596
2015-2016
Proposed
Budget
$ 43,824,357
Adjust for targeted or restricted revenue
set aside in ending balance reserves
(1,481,463)
(699,130)
(429,222)
269,908
Other Adjustments for one-time income
funding on-going expenses
(23,516)
(67,348)
(67,348)
-
Income
Adjustments
for One-Time
Revenues
and
Expenses
Expenditures
$ 44,313,066
$ 45,103,540
$ 45,401,099
(807,512)
(500,388)
(517,784)
(17,396)
-
(740,121)
(12,504)
727,617
$ 43,505,554
$ 43,863,031
Adjusted Expenditures
Adjusted Income/Expenditure Variance
25
605,761
$ 41,738,532
Other adjustments for one-time
expenditures
$ (1,767,022)
$ (1,410,913)
$ 43,327,787
$
Adjusted Income
Adjust by one-time expenditures funded by
beginning balance reserves
$ 42,452,118
Change
$ 44,870,811
$ (1,543,024)
$
875,669
$
297,559
$ 1,007,780
$ (132,111)
Final Thoughts
26
Many factors impact our budget
US economy, California economy
State budget
Enrollment
Increasing costs
Negotiated settlements
Questions?
27
Robbie Montalbano [email protected]
Diane Lacombe [email protected]