Apresentação do PowerPoint
Download
Report
Transcript Apresentação do PowerPoint
The Role of the State in Brazil
Duties of the Brazilian state
•
•
•
•
To promote individual and social rights
To promote social security
To induce sustainable development
To promote infrastructure
State and Development
• Importance of debunking myths about the state.
• State as a inducer of development.
• Centrality of the state in the development of
technologies and innovations, with great productive
impact (e.g.: aviation, nuclear energy, computers, internet, biotechnology)
• Specificity of Brazil: necessity of reconciling inducing
and innovative action by the State with the
distribution of income and the expansion of public
services (health, education, social security, sanitation, housing, public safety, etc.)
Example:
Partnership for Productive Development (PDP) in health
•
•
•
•
•
•
Public / private cooperation for development, transfer and
absorption of technology, production, productive and technological
training of the country in strategic products of the public healthcare
system.
Product development, transfer and absorption of technology, linked
to the acquisition agreement signed with the Ministry of Health.
98 partnerships established.
69 partners (50 private and 19 public).
6 vaccines, 60 medicaments and 27 products.
R$ 8.3 billion in projects, with savings of $ 1.8 billion (2010-2014).
Example:
Development of the Military Transportation Aircraft KC-390
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
EMBRAER project developed from Operational Requirement of the
Brazilian Air Force.
Technology developed with the support of Finep and BNDES.
Total investment of R$ 12.1 billion, with R$ 4.9 billion for the
development of the aircraft and R$ 7.2 billion for the acquisition of
28 units for the Brazilian Air Force.
Expectation of US$ 20.0 billion in exports, to up to 70 countries.
60 units with firm purchase intent (Argentina, Chile, Colombia,
Portugal and the Czech Republic).
FAB holds rights to the project and will receive royalties for each
unit sold.
12,000 direct and indirect jobs
Logistics Investment Program 2 (PIL 2)
Projected investments
R$ 198.4 bi
Roads
Railways
Ports
Airports
R$ 66.1 bi
R$ 86.4 bi
R$ 37.4 bi
R$ 8.5 bi
6
Reconciling Priorities
Induction of development
Reduction of inequalities
Expansion and enhancement
of quality of the services
Composition of the
Expenditure of the
Federal Government
Additional challenge of coordinating expenditures in a context of fiscal
restriction:
To preserve social conquests, improve the efficiency
of the public policies and ensure investments.
Participation
of the dos
Major
Groups
of Primary
Expenditure
the Federal
Government
em
Federal
Primária doofGoverno
de Despesa
Grupos
Grandes
Participação
in2014
2014
Capital
Capital
7.6%
7,6%
de
Transferência
Income
Transfers
to the Families
às Famílias
Renda
49.4%
49,4%
OtherDespesas
Current
Outras
Expenditures
Correntes
21.5%
21,5%
e Encargos
Pessoal
Personnel
and
21,5%
labor
costs
21.5%
Source: SIAFI.
MINISTÉRIO DO PLANEJAMENTO
Participação dos Gastos Sociais na Despesa Primária do Governo Federal em 2014
Other
expenditures*
Outras
despesas*
11.4%
11,4%
Investimento,
exceto
Investment,
except
educação
saúde
education
andehealth
6,9%
6.9%
Social
Gasto Social
Expenditure
67%
67%
Pessoal
inativo, except
exceto
Retired
personnel,
educação
saúde
education
ande health
7,1%
7.1%
Pessoal
ativo,except
exceto
Active
personnel,
educação
saúde
education
andehealth
7.8%
7,8%
Source: SIAFI.
Education
Educação
8.0%
8,0%
Previdência
Pension
38,0%
38.0%
Saúde
Health
9.5%
9,5%
Social
LOAS / RMV
Bolsa
Famíla
Assistance Law
“Bolsa
Família”
3,8%
2,5%
/ Lifetime
2.5%
Bonus /
Abono/Seguro
Monthly
Unemployment
Desemprego
Income
Insurance
5,1%
3.8%
* Em outras despesas, estão gastos como os com a desoneração da folha, CDE, Lei Kandir, despesas de custeio (exceto as 9.5%
relacionadas a
educação e saúde), transferências a DF e ex-territórios para pagamento de pessoal e Sentenças e Precatórios (exceto as relacionadas a educação e
* In other expenses, there are expenditures such as tax waivers over salaries, Energy Development Account (CDE), Kandir Law, operating expenses
saúde)
(excluding those related to education and health), transfers to the Federal District and former territories for payment of personnel and Sentences and
Ordered Debt Securities (except those related to education and health)
DEFICIT OF THE GENERAL SOCIAL
PENSION REGIME (R$ billions)
140
124.9
120
100
88.9
80
60
40
32.0
37.6
42.1 44.9
36.2
49.9
42.9 42.9
35.5
56.7
40.8
24.5
20
15.3
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 PLOA
Av. 3º 2016
Bim.
Source: MPOG.
DEFICIT OF THE PUBLIC PENSION SYSTEM
(R$ billions)
80
68.4 70.0
70
60
50
40
43.7
33.0 35.3
48.4
51.7
54.4
59.3
63.4
38.7
30
20
10
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: MPOG.
Proj PLOA
2015 2016
Expenditure with personnel and labor costs
(% GDP)
5
4.7
4.4
4.3
4.4
4.3
4.2
4.0
4.0
4.0
2012
2013
2014
4
3
2
2006
Source: SIAFI.
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
MANDATORY EXPENDITURES
(in % GDP)
15.5
15.0
14.9
14.5
14.0
13.5
13.0
12.5
12.0
Source: MPOG.
13
DISCRETIONARY SPENDING
(in % GDP)
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.0
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 PLOA
2016
Source: MPOG.
14
Discretionary Spending
(R$ billion)
300.0
259.1
250.0
250.4
233.9
220.7
196.6
200.0
171.2
153.2
150.0
124.7
109.8
100.0
76.6
78.6
2006
2007
50.0
Source: MPOG.
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Discretionary Spending
(R$ billions 2016 – adjusted by consumer price index IPCA)
350.0
298.8
300.0
270.6
256.0
250.0
224.3
248.2
250.4
2015
2016
234.9
191.7
200.0
177.0
150.0
135.2
134.0
2006
2007
100.0
Source: MPOG.
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
COMPOSITION OF THE PRIMARY EXPENDITURE
Itens of the “Financing Necessity of the Central Government”
Yearly Budget Law Project 2016
R$ bi
% of GDP
% of expenditure
Total Expenditure
1.210,6
19,4%
100,0%
Non impoundable total
1095,5
17,6%
90,5%
Despesas Obrigatórias
960,2
15,4%
79,3%
Pension
491,0
7,9%
40,6%
Personnel (except Constitutional Fund of the Federal District, FCDF)
252,6
4,0%
20,9%
Workers Support Fund (FAT)
55,0
0,9%
4,5%
Social Assistance Organic Law
46,1
0,7%
3,8%
Allowances
28,3
0,5%
2,3%
Tax waivers over salaries
18,5
0,3%
1,5%
Legislative and Judiciary
13,6
0,2%
1,1%
Constitutional Fund of the Federal District (FCDF)
12,0
0,2%
1,0%
Judicial Sentences
10,3
0,2%
0,9%
Other mandatory expenditures (including with control)
32,7
0,5%
2,7%
135,3
2,2%
11,2%
Impoundable discretionary expenditures
115,1
1,8%
9,5%
Note: Total Discretionary Expenditures
250,4
4,0%
20,7%
Non impoundable discretionary expenditures
17
LONG-TERM FISCAL PROGRAM
Main lines of action
Pension: legal and infra-legal measures for reducing the deficit
(forum begins this week)
Personnel: multi-year agreement for salary adjustment,
restructuring of cadres and reduction of civil service admissions
Health: revaluation of the sources and uses of funds, focusing on
the reduction of legal costs and increasing the quality of spending
Administrative reform: reassessment of the structure of Ministries
and commissioned positions, restriction of operational
expenditures, better property management, restructuring of state
departments and improvement of the governance of statecontrolled companies
18
Thank you!