Transcript Mexico - Expo Milán 2015

VIETNAM’S STRATEGIC PARTNER
September 6th, 2016
Mexico will become the 8th largest economy in 2050
RK
Country
2015
2
1
7
16
3
4
9
15
5
6
China
10,982.83
USA
17,947.00
15ª.
India
2,090.71
economia 858.953
Indonesia
Japan
4,123.26
Germany
3,357.61
Brazil
1,772.59
Mexico
1,144.33
UK
2,849.35
France
2,421.56
RK
Country
2050
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
China
USA
India
Indonesia
Japan
Germany
Brazil
Mexico
UK
France
105,916
70,913
63,842
15,432
11,367
11,334
10,334
9,826
9,812
9,671
Fuente: ProMéxico con información de FMI WEO abril 2016, Bloomberg y The Economist.
Fuente: ProMéxico con información de FMI WEO abril 2016, Bloomberg y The Economist.
2
Solid macroeconomic environment
Evolution of exports and international reserves in Mexico
(1995-2015)
Exports 2015
381 billion
USD
Manufactures: 89%
BUSD
Second biggest registered figure
Reserves 2015
177 billion USD
Figure has doubled in the last
6 years
Manufactures
Oil
Primary
Reserves
Source ProMéxico with information from Central Bank.
3
Mexico: Leading exporter in Latin America
Latin America
Advanced
manufactures
26.5%
Mexico
73.5%
A sophisticated economy
Exports of medium and high technology manufactures as
percentage of the GDP (2015)
1
Germany
2
South Korea
3
Mexico
4
E.U.
5
France
Fuente: ProMéxico con información de IHS – Global Insight; Análisis UIN ProMéxico, considerando únicamente países del G20.
Cifras en: US Real BDD; año base 2005
26%
25%
22%
16%
12%
5
Comparison of graduates in Mexico and other countries
Total graduates in the areas of engineering, manufacturing and
construction
20013
Brazil
Spain
Fuente: ProMéxico, con información de UNESCO.
USA
France
Italy
Mexico
UK
2011
2012
2009
2010
2007
2008
Mexico is one of the top 10 tourist destinations
in the world
9
7
12 Main Mexican exports to the world
Light vehicles
Auto parts
and accessories
Trucks
Oil
8.6% 6.6% 5.7% 4.9%
Telephones
and equipment
Electrical
conductors
4.2%
3%
Source: ProMéxico with information from Global Trade Atlas 2015.
Tractors
Medical and
surgical instruments
2.3% 1.7%
Computers
and parts
TV’s
4.8% 4.4%
Furniture
and parts
Refrigerators and
cooling systems
1.7% 1.2%
8
FDI flows into Mexico (1999-2016)
MDD
28,640*
30,461*
30,285
25,675
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: ProMéxico,with information of the Ministry of Economy. UNCTAD *Central Bank estimation (June 2015).
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Aggregated FDI by sector
(1999 - 2015)
Manufactures
Trade
48%
8%
Services
Mining
16%
6%
Source: ProMéxico with information from the Ministry of Economy.
Media and telecom
4%
Other
19%
10
Export platform
Through its network of free trade agreements, Mexico has privileged access to 46 countries
(more than 1,200 million people).
TPP
FTA’s with 46 countries
6 economic
complementation
agreements
With the TPP, Mexico will increase its presence in Australia, Brunei, Malaysia, New
Zealand, Singapore and Vietnam.
Source: ProMéxico with information from Brazil: OAS; China: Chinese Ministry of Commerce; Colombia: Colombian Ministry of Commerce; United States: Office of the US Trade
Representative; Chile: Direcon; Mexico: Ministry of Economy
11
Vietnam: highest competitiveness growth
Country
Singapore
Malaysia
Thailand
Indonesia
Philippines
Vietnam
Mexico
Source: ProMéxico, with information of WEF’s Global Competitiveness Index 2015-2016.
Ranking
2
18
32
37
47
56
57
Growth in places
vs. previous year
0
2
-1
-3
-5
12
4
12
Main Exports from Mexico to Vietnam
Nueces
Frozen fish
28
4
Shellfish
Auto-parts
24
5
Computers
6
10
Products exported
from Mexico
to Vietnam in 2015
(MUSD)
Source: ProMéxico with information from Trade Map 2016.
13
Telephones
Cotton
6
Leathery
Molluscs
7
Rough leather
9
9
13
Trade growth in Mexico
in the last 5 years (2010-2015)
Exports variation
Imports variation
34%
31%
28% 28%
28%
26%
28% 28%
7%
-5%
World
Latin
America
Source: ProMéxico with information from Banxico, 2015.
NAFTA
European
Union
Asia
Pacific
14
Exports and imports from Mexico to TPP
countries (2015)
Exports
Imports
328
230
USD
USD
billion
86%
Source: ProMéxico with information of the Banco de Mexico
billion
58%
15
Trade between Mexico and TPP countries
(2015 MUSD)
USA 495,693
2,332
Peru
Canada
20,493
1,851
Singapore
Japan
20,386
1,649
Australia
Malaysia
7,585
454
New Zeland
Vietnam
3,860
2
Brunei
Chile
3,342
557,646 Total TTP
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Long term impact of exports of the TPP
Mexico
Canada
Vietnam
TPP12
Malaysia
US
Peru
Australia
Japan
World
Singapore
Chile
European Union
New Zeland
China
% difference to no TTP
Source: ProMexico with information of Oxford Economics.
17
Long term impact on GDP of the TPP
Mexico
Malaysia
Canada
Vietnam
Japan
TPP12
New Zealand
Chile
Australia
Singapore
Peru
US
European Union
China
World
Source: ProMexico with information of Oxford Economics.
% difference to no TTP
18
Investment opportunities in telecom networks
The industry generates annual revenues of around 30 billion dollars. In the past three
years, annual investments exceeded five billion dollars.
1
Openness to
foreign
investment
New dealers or
traders
2
3
Investment on
infraestructure
Association
with existing
operators
4
5
Participation in
PPPs
Development
of content
and apps
6
The new legislation provides investment opportunities at the national, regional or local level.
Source: ProMéxico with information from SCT.
19
Telecom network infrastructure
Satellite network
Backbone network
Wired and wireless
ground
networks
98%
Satellite
networks
2%
Shared network
of
population
of
population
Semi-urban and
Rural zone
Rural zone
Urban zone
Source: ProMéxico with information from SCT.
20
Mexican leadership in the agrifood sector
1st
Exporter
3th
Exporter
1st
Exporter
and
producer
1st
Exporter
th
4
Exporter
3th
Exporter
nd
2
Exporter of
watermelon,
melon and papaya
1st
Exporter
Source: ProMéxico with information of the GTA.
4th Exporter
of vegetables
21
Mexico construction industry value forecast: $ billion (20142018)
$ billion
% growth
45
5
40
4
35
30
3
2
1
25
0
20
15
-1
-2
10
-3
5
-4
0
-5
Source: ProMéxico with information from Marketline.
$ billion
% growth
22
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