Transcript Future Climate Change Policy in the New Member States

ecologic.eu
Future Climate Change Policy in the New
Member States:
Project Findings
Project commissioned by the European Commission
Nils Meyer-Ohlendorf
Andrzej Kassenberg
INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
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Partners
• Institute for Sustainable Development (ISD), Warsaw,
• Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) at the Free
University of Amsterdam,
• Foundation for International Environmental Law and
Development (FIELD), London,
• German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), Berlin,
• network of experts.
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25./26. April 2006
Riga
23./24. January 2006
Warszawa
16 October 2007
11./12. April 2007
Praha
Budapest
Ljubljana
11./12. October 2006
Sofia
14./15. June
2006
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Main Project Findings: General (1)
• Climate Change as a threat and costs of inaction
outweigh costs of action (Stern Review),
• European Action on Climate Change welcomed,
• NMS on track to meet KP targets
• NMS ready to reduce further (reduction=increase?)
• Opportunities in NMS for GHG emission reduction and
avoidance by promoting high efficiency and innovation.
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Main Project Findings: General (2)
• Climate change policies as a burden on NMS economies,
• Concerns that NMS will be confronted with climate change policies
and reduction targets at the eleventh hour,
• Limited awareness on Climate Change: public, business and
administrations,
• Limited culture of awareness for international negotiations
• Integrate Climate Change: energy, transport, taxes, cohesion and
structural funds.
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Integration: opportunities for the energy sector in Poland (1)
Poland
EU 15
Efficiency of electricity production by power stations
36,5
%%
46,5
Energy-intensity of the economy
462
toe/mllion € GDP
170
Thermo – isolation of flats
150 - 350
kWh/m2/year
40 - 90
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Integration: opportunities for the energy sector in Poland (2)
•
the share of renewable in energy production is less than 5% but the
potential technical capacity is 47%;
•
if Poland reaches in 2030 the same level of energy efficiency as EU 15
(1% increase yearly following SDS) GDP can grow 3,5 half time without
increase of energy use
BUT
•
10.4 % of household expenditures are spend on energy compared to
3.0 % of expenditure for EU15.
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Main Project Findings: Future International Regime
• A new regime:
• obligatory targets,
• include other countries and sectors,
• greater role of adaptation but not substitute measures activity,
• exchange the technologies,
• flexible mechanism, ecological tax reform.
• NMS contribution:
• burden sharing: fair criteria and transparent way,
• more progressive climate policy integrated with economic development,
especially energy and transport sectors,
• participation in international negotiations: capacities.
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Final conclusions and lessons
• EU27 needs to provide climate policy much more integrated and
comprehensive with others polices specially structural funds and
transport ones
• NMS and CC need to be seen as partners with different starting
points, capacities and concerns to climate change policy
• COP 14/ MOP 4 in Poznań (Poland) gives the chance to express
positions and interests of NMS and CC
• Constant dialogue among ALL relevant stakeholders in each NMS
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Thank you for attention !
Nils Meyer-Ohlendorf – Ecologic
[email protected]
Andrzej Kassenberg – Institute for Sustainable Development
[email protected]
More about project you can find on:
http://www.ecologic-events.de/climate2012/en/index.htm
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