Transcript Presentation

1
Why are Result & Impact Indicators Needed?
To better understand the positive/negative
results of EC aid.
The main questions are:
1. What change is needed?
2. For whom?
3. How to measure this change?
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Why are Result & Impact Indicators Needed?
1. Assist EC country teams to develop a
set of indicators for the programming
level (e.g. to guide development and
monitoring of a Country Strategy Paper)
2. To fill, as much as possible, the
'missing middle' between implementation
indicators and global impact indicators
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The Missing Middle
Outputs
Results
(Outcomes)
Implementation
Specific
Impacts
Intermediate
Impacts
Global Impacts
Programming
4
Agriculture & Rural Development Intervention Logic
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Specific
Impacts
Intermediate Global
Impacts
Impacts
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
MDG’s 2, 3, 4,
5, 6 & 7
Improved
Access
Markets
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Increased
Profitability of
Rural Business
Increased
Productivity
Poverty
Reduction
Increased
Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
MDG 1
Greater Food
Security
Increased
Production
Increased
Trade
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
Economic
Growth
Agri-Labour
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Higher Rural
Income
Non-Farm
Improved
Quality of
Products
Social
Development
Improved
Environmental
Sustainability
MDG 7
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Agriculture Based Economies (1)
Identified by:
• Agriculture provides basis for growth
(i.e. contributes over 30% of GDP)
• 70% of poor live in rural areas
Typical areas:
• Sub-Saharan Africa
• Regions within India & Mexico
Intervention focus:
• Improve smallholder competitiveness
• Ensure livelihoods and food security
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Agriculture Based Economies (2)
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Specific
Impacts
Intermediate Global
Impacts
Impacts
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
Markets
Agri-Labour
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Increased
Productivity
Poverty
Reduction
Increased
Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Greater Food
Security
Increased
Production
Increased
Trade
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
Economic
Growth
Increased
Profitability of
Rural Business
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Higher Rural
Income
Non-Farm
Improved
Quality of
Products
Social
Development
Improved
Environmental
Sustainability
7
Transforming Economies (1)
Identified by:
• Agriculture no longer driver of growth (i.e. 7%
of GDP) with rising urban-rural poverty gap
• 82% of poor live in rural areas
Typical areas:
• South/East Asia (e.g. China, India)
• Middle East and North Africa (e.g. Morocco)
Intervention focus:
• Comprehensive approach and multiple pathways
out of poverty to reduce the urban-rural divide
- shifting to high-value agriculture
- decentralising non-farm economic activities to rural areas
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Transforming Economies (2)
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Specific
Impacts
Intermediate Global
Impacts
Impacts
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
Markets
Agri-Labour
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Increased
Productivity
Poverty
Reduction
Increased
Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Greater Food
Security
Increased
Production
Increased
Trade
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
Economic
Growth
Increased
Profitability of
Rural Business
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Higher Rural
Income
Non-Farm
Improved
Quality of
Products
Social
Development
Improved
Environmental
Sustainability
9
Urban-Based Economies (1)
Identified by:
• Small agriculture sector (i.e. less than 0.5% of
GDP) with high urban poverty
• 45% of poor live in rural areas
Typical areas:
• Latin America
• Central Asia
Intervention focus:
• Link farmers to modern food markets
• Improve quality of agri-business and food industry
• Introduce market for environmental services
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Urban-Based Economies (2)
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Specific
Impacts
Intermediate Global
Impacts
Impacts
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
Markets
Agri-Labour
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Increased
Productivity
Poverty
Reduction
Increased
Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Greater Food
Security
Increased
Production
Increased
Trade
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
Economic
Growth
Increased
Profitability of
Rural Business
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Higher Rural
Income
Non-Farm
Improved
Quality of
Products
Social
Development
Improved
Environmental
Sustainability
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Result (Outcome) Indicators (1)
Output
Clusters
Results
(Outcomes)
1.
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
Markets
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Indicators
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
Support for consumers vulnerable to short-term
food price changes
Support for farmers vulnerable to short-term
food price changes
Access to road transportation
Access to land
Access to water
Access to seeds and fertilisers
Access to improved breeds of animals/fish
Access to extension services
Access to information on market
Availability of credit
Investment in rural areas
Establishing a rural business
13. Preservation of natural resources
14. Sustainable management practices
15. Environmental services
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Result (Outcome) Indicators (2)
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Indicators
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Non-Farm
16. Non-farm employment
17. Agriculture labour employment
Agri-Labour
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
Markets
Increased
Productivity
18. Land productivity
19. Labour productivity
20. Capital productivity
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Increased
Production
21. Production
22. Type of production/diversification
Improved
Quality of
Products
23. International marketing standards
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
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Specific Impact Indicators
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Indicators
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
Non-Farm
AgriLabour
Increased
Productivity
Markets
Increased
Affordability of &
Subsistence in Food
Farm Inputs
Information
Services
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
Increased
Production
Increased
Trade
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
Increased
Profitability of
Rural Business
Improved
Quality of
Products
24. Agricultural prices
25. Growth in agricultural
businesses
26. Growth in rural non-farm
businesses
27. Affordability of food
28. Subsistence in food
29. Agricultural trade
30. Rural non-farm trade
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Intermediate Impact Indicators
Results
(Outcomes)
Output
Clusters
Indicators
Efficient
Employment
Mitigating
Agricultural
Price Volatility
Provision of
Public Goods
Improved
Access
AgriLabour
Greater Food
Security
32. Undernourishment
Increased
Production
Increased
Trade
Capital
Better
Management of
Natural
Resources
Increased
Profitability of
Rural Business
Increased
Affordability of
& Subsistence in
Food
Farm Inputs
Enabling
Economic &
Regulatory
Environment
31. Rural Income
Increased
Productivity
Markets
Information
Services
Higher Rural
Income
Non-Farm
Improved
Quality of
Products
Improved
Environmental
Sustainability
33. Land
sustainability
34. Sustainable
extraction of
water
35. Adapting to
climate change
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The Missing Middle
Outputs
Results
(Outcomes)
Implementation
Specific
Impacts
Intermediate
Impacts
Global Impacts
Programming
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Attention
1. This is a simplified tool, not a template.
Intervention logic must be developed for each country
based on its context and existing government strategies
2. Indictors are not fixed but provide ideas on how to
set, monitor and evaluate CSP objectives
3. Crosscutting issues should be mainstreamed into
relevant indicators (e.g. disaggregation of data by gender)
4. Outcomes/Impact are not fully attributable to the EC
Outputs are 100% attributable to the EC but attribution
falls as you move up the chain of results
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Price Volatility Result (Outcome) Indicators
Production Result (Outcome) Indicators
1. Consumer vulnerability to short-term price changes
2. Farmer vulnerability to short-term price changes
21. Production
22. Type of production/diversification
Improved Access Result (Outcome) Indicators
Quality Result (Outcome) Indicators
3. Access to road transportation
4. Access to land
5. Access to water
6. Access to seeds and fertilisers
7. Access to improved breeds of animals/fish
8. Access to extension services
9. Access to information on markets
10. Availability of credit
11. Investment in rural areas
12. Establishing a rural business
23. International marketing standards
List of Key Indicators (with examples)
Natural Resource Result (Outcome) Indicators
13. Preservation of natural resources
14. Sustainable management practices
15. Environmental services
Profitability Specific Impact Indicators
24. Agricultural prices
25. Growth in agricultural businesses
26. Growth in rural non-farm businesses
Affordability/Subsistence Specific Impact Indicators
27. Affordability of food
28. Subsistence in food
Trade Specific Impact Indicators
29. Agricultural trade
30. Rural non-farm trade
Rural Income Intermediate Impact Indicators
Employment Result (Outcome) Indicators
16. Non-farm employment
17. Agricultural labour
31. Rural income
Food Security Intermediate Impact Indicators
32. Undernourishment
Productivity Result (Outcome) Indicators
18. Land productivity
19. Labour productivity
20. Capital productivity
Environment Sustainability Intermediate Impact Indicators
33. Land sustainability
34. Sustainable extraction of water
35. Adapting to climate change
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