Transcript Senior Seminar Fall 2008

ISP 4860: Senior Seminar 2
Winter 2011
Section 001 (Bowen)
Class 1, January 10
Course web site: www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11
Starting Off
• Things to do:
 Initial the signin sheet (every week)
• If “No” for email, log on to Pipeline to activate
o pipeline.wayne.edu
 Pick up a copy of the Syllabus and Topics
• Review of Syllabus
 Meeting next two weeks in Computer Lab C
(Room 3150) in the Undergraduate Library
 Semester assignment: 25-page research
paper
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• Suggested format: five Chapters with suggested
topics, each Chapter averaging five pages
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Review of Syllabus
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Contact information for David Bowen
Office hours
Textbooks and other references
Assignment schedule
Listing of normal Chapter topics for paper
Grading scale
 10% means one letter grade
 Strong push to get drafts in, keep up to date
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Review of Syllabus
• Grade Appeals
• Accommodations
• Plagiarism
 What it is
 Consequences
 When it usually happens
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Paper Topics
• Overall – “the human footprint” on earth
• Your paper zeroes in on one subtopic
 List in right column of assignment schedule
on Pg 2 of Syllabus
 Seven sections, five Chapters – also Pg 2
• Footnotes not in MLA style
• Part of each class on information for each
subtopic
• Read “your” Chapter in SOP ASAP
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During Each Class…
• Info on human footprint and subtopics
• Research requirements
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Number and quality of references
Research notebooks
References and citations
You will find large numbers of references in
any these areas
• Writing
 One aspect each week
 Class writing activity
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During Each Class…
• Also some time on the US / World financial
crisis – why?
 Something to do with Economy and
Development
 But also a large system that we do not
understand
• Like the ecosystem
• We depend on the ecosystem – Ecosystem
Services
• We do not understand it as well as we think we do,
so we should be cautious here
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Course Website
• http://www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11
• What is/will be there:
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All handouts and class notes
Link to Moodle
Link to Libraries
News stories related to course
Original documents related to course
• Miss a class? Download materials, review,
ask questions before next class
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Course Website and Moodle
• Look at course website
 http://www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11
• In this course, turn work in and get it back
online using Moodle (alternative to
BlackBoard)
 http://tools.comm.wayne.edu/moodle
• Pictures for Moodle this week and next
week – be ready, or use your own
• How to use – two weeks, UGL Comp Lab 3
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The Human Footprint
The Human Footprint
• Quick review of subtopics – all interlocked
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Population
Handout
Urbanization
Development / disease
Food / fish
Institutional Capacity and Failed States
Water
Ecosystem services
Energy / Global Warming
Sustainability
Consumption & waste
Land: dwelling & food
Tragedy of Commons
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The Human Footprint
• Refers to total human impact on earth
 Includes how we affect ourselves
• US is not typical – we are at the rich end
• Many systems world depends on are
stretched now
• Will get worse
 Earth’s population 6.6 B now, headed for
9.4 B – ↑ 50%
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Human Population (Billions)
Region
World
China
India
US
Europe
More Developed
Less Developed
Least Developed
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2007 Pop
6.6
1.3
1.0
0.31
0.73
1.2
5.4
0.80
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2050 UN est.
9.1
1.4
1.5
0.41
0.65
1.2
7.8
1.7
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The Human Footprint
• Footprint will get larger
 Rest of humanity wants to be like developed
world
 US ~4.5% of population
 For example, we consume 20 M Bbl/day of
petroleum, whole world consumes 80 (US
25%)
 Factor of 5.6 greater if they achieve our
current lifestyle
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The Human Footprint
• Will get worse
 Plus safety factor because systems are
stretched now, maybe 1.5
 Total increase in consumption:
1.5 (population) × 5.6 (consumption) × 1.5
(safety) = 12.6
 No one knows how to produce this much
more in any aspect
 THEREFORE: future will be VERY different
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Your Research Paper
Scope: Three Aspects
•
The range or scope for each topic has six
aspects:
a. Adequacy of current supply
b. Adequacy if current trends continue
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Population, development
c. New technology and methods
d. Sustainability
e. Subtopic scope: all types (e.g. for food), a class of
types (e.g. grains) or one type (e.g. rice)
f. Geographical scope: worldwide, regional or
national? (NOT local, e.g. Detroit))
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Choosing Your Scope
• On your own, you can narrow one of f or g
by one level
• If you want to narrow two aspects or more
than one level of the scope, you need to:
 Describe what you want to do
 Get my approval
• If, when you submit your topic on Moodle,
you just use the one-word topic, you are
choosing the full scope (all 3 aspects)
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Stick With Your Choice
• In the past, many people said they kept
changing their topic because they “found
more research resources” on another topic
 They did not finish the paper (did not even get
a good start)
 You will be able to find more than enough
resources on any one of these topics
 If you do change topic, you have to repost on
Moodle.
• Do not erase old topic, just put the new one
underneath
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Financial Crisis
The Economy
• The $1 economy
• The economy as a wheel – the money
wheel
 If the money moves quickly, we all get more of
it, but we have to spend it quickly
 If we stop spending, the wheel stops
 If we slow our spending, everyone slows
down, everyone gets poor and anxious
• Theory of capitalism – let people buy what
they want, the buy more, we get prosperity
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The Economy
• Our economy relies on credit
 All electronic money is credit, for example
 Credit can be moved around the money wheel
much faster than cash
 If we had to use cash, the money wheel would
turn much more slowly – we would all be
much poorer
• Banks must work to lend money quickly if
the money wheel is to spin quickly
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Recession
Brief history:
1. High investor demand for mortgages
2. Risky mortgages sold, then resold to
investors such as banks (“toxic assets”)
3. “Housing bubble” burst, house prices fell
4. Foreclosures, bank sales at low prices,
more foreclosures
5. House buyers wait for lower prices, sales
fall, house prices fall again, etc.
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Recession
Brief history:
6. Banks can’t sell toxic assets, don’t know how
much they are worth, don’t know how much the
banks are worth, get nervous, hoard cash
7. Banks stop lending, money wheel slows down
for everyone
8. “Real economy” starts downward spiral
9. Job losses, more foreclosures, housing prices
drop, people walk away from houses
10. If people get used to this, gets hard to stop
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Recession
• If everyone spends their money the way
they see fit, does the economy work well?
 Yes: Milton Friedman, 1912 - 2006.
Dominated recent economics. If government
borrows money, that drives up interest rates,
innovation slows, economy slows
 No: John Maynard Keynes, 1183 – 1946.
Government is “the spender of last resort” and
must tax/borrow and spend to kick-start the
money wheel, to stimulate the economy
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Recovery
• China and US were/are coupled together
 China has large migration to cities, needs jobs
• No social safety net, citizens save for health crises,
retirement and children’s education
• So low consumption
• Must export
 US (comparatively) high labor costs, much
manufacturing outsourced
• Larger retired/retiring population
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Recovery
• China and US were/are coupled together
 US economy 70% consumption, 30%
manufacturing
• must borrow to finance consumption
 China 30% consumption, 70% manufacturing
• Buys US debt by issuing new renminbi (yuan)
• One of underlying causes of mortgage bubble
 Long-term, both must move to 50-50
• China needs to add high-value manufacturing
• US must control deficits, manufacture more
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Costs
• China and India have new prosperity,
growing economies, need raw materials
 China very aggressive on long-term contracts
world-wide
• Prices for raw materials world-wide are
growing
• Can prosperity based on material
consumption keep going long-term?
 Probably need a new type of consumption
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Writing
Teaching Writing
• In the past, I spent a lot of course time and
on writing, and grading time on correcting
writing problems
• It didn’t seem to make any difference
 Those who wrote well coming in, did well
 Those who could not write, didn’t seem to
apply anything we went over
• What to do?
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#1 Reason for Writing
• To organize your own thinking
#1 Way to Good Writing
• Have something you want to say
#1 Way to Find Mistakes
• Read your Essay out loud to yourself, and
listen
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More Examples and Details
• www.is.wayne.edu/olgt then link to Writing
Guide, or use The Everyday Writer
• Writing Center in 2310 UGL / 313-5772544
• The OWL at Purdue (link on website)
• Many of you have heard this before, but
the problem is applying this stuff
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Common Writing Problems
• Functional grammar
 Rules of grammar have a purpose – to
transmit meaning
 Rules of grammar are always changing
 Different grammars for different groups
 Get too far from the group’s grammar and
you are not understood (must change with
changes)
 The further you get from the group’s
grammar, the harder it is to understand you
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Common Writing Problems
• Functional grammar
• Being able to use good standard grammar
is like dressing well for a job interview
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Writing
• Write one-half page on how this year is starting
out for you – fifteen minutes
 Give a clear overall impression of your experience
 Give specific examples in an organized manner
 No spelling or grammar standards as long as
meaning is clear
• Group critique – read yours aloud to the group
• Whole group discusses each piece and makes
suggestions for improvements, you take notes
• Rewrite, turn both in
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For Next Week…
• Have:
 Three-ring research binder
 3½-inch floppy diskette labeled with your
name, or a USB flash drive, any capacity
• Next two weeks: class meets in Computer
Lab C (Room 3150) UGL, then back here
 A way to access an email account using a
web browser – do you know your password?
• Be ready for Moodle picture
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