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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Agenda
Item 3 b
Enlargement and Enhanced
Engagement: the impact on
OECDs trade statistics
Andreas Lindner
Head,
Trade and Globalisation Statistics
…, STD/SES/TAGS; 1st WPTGS Meeting 22.-24.09.2008, Paris
STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Introduction
• Heiligendamm Process (G8 2007 mandate)
for OECD to act as hub for globalization
analysis and advise G8
• Horizontal activity at OECD with central
guidance from the Cabinet of the SG
• The 5 enlargement countries will allow more
global coverage of OECD per se
• Increasing inclusion of the additional 5
Enhanced Engagement countries are
prerequisite for global analysis carried out by
OECD
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Enlargement
• Structured approach with coordination for
statistics to ensure synergies and avoid
overlap
• STD has a statistical coordination group,
headed by Tim Davis
• Each OECD activity manager will contact
accession countries and also tie closer
relations with enhanced engagement
countries
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Statistical Mandate
• The Chief Statisticians of the candidate countries have
asked that the OECD organise its reviews in a
coordinated way within the OECD and within the
countries themselves.
• All candidate countries have named a central contact
person to deal with the OECD on statistical reviews
and these individuals will also help to coordinate
communications with relevant officials outside the
NSOs.
• The Committee on Statistics has been assigned an
overall coordination role and the Statistics Directorate
has put a coordination team in place to assist the
process.
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Statistical requirements
• One of the tools that will be used to facilitate coordination is
the Statistical Requirements Paper which includes.
– Topics to be covered in the OECD statistical assessments;
– Detailed statistical items on which countries are required to
report;
– Method of collection used by the OECD (i.e. questionnaire or
other vehicle);
– Relevant concepts and standards or other metadata;
– The specific experts or reviewers involved within the OECD;
– The names and details about any outside consultants or peer
reviewers involved;
– The schedule and process to be followed for each subject area;
and,
– Plans for missions, meetings and other logistical arrangements
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
List of STD statistics covered:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
STD Activities and Topics
1.
Coordination, Accession Country Statistics (CACS)
2.
Review of Legal and Institutional Framework for Statistics
3.
Classifications
4.
National Accounts, including:
(i) Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs)
(ii) Productivity
5.
Financial Statistics
6.
Business Statistics
7.
International Trade in Goods and Services
8.
Annual Labour Force Survey (ALFS)
9.
Main Economic Indicators (MEI)
9.1. MEI-Production & Demand
9.2. MEI-Business Tendency Surveys & Composite Leading Indicators
9.3. MEI-Employment
9.4. MEI-Labour compensation
9.5. Prices
9.6. MEI-Short-term financial statistics
9.7. Balance of payments
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Enhanced Engagement
countries
• While accession countries are considered
near future OECD countries…
• Enhanced Engagement countries are
hoped to become future members
• The mechanisms in place are different for
these two groups,
• But OECD is putting in place closer ties in
many areas ( of which statistics is one)
with Enhanced Engagement countries
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
So we have a 30 + 5 = 5 country constellation. What does
this mean for GDP coverage?
GDP
2006 vs. 2000, share of total world GD
100
91
90
90
80
80
76
70
60
2000
50
2006
40
30
20
11
9
10
3
2
0
OECD
AC
EEP
OECD+AC+EEP
Source: UNSD National Accounts Database
Measurement: at current prices, US$
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
…Dynamic, growing economies
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Slovakia
Hungary
Spain
Luxembourg
Turkey
Poland
Iceland
Netherlands
Portugal
GDP growth rate
Finland
France
2006 vs. 2000, %
Austria
Sweden
Germany
United States
Russian Federation
Slovenia
Israel
China + Hong Kong SAR
South Africa
Source: UNSD National Accounts Database
Measurement: at current prices, US$
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
And for trade? OECD lost by -7%, while AC’s
increased their share by+1%, and EEC’s by +4%
World Export Market Shares, trade of goods and services,
2006 vs. 2000, % of total world exports of goods and service
90
83
81
80
71
70
64
60
50
2000
40
2006
30
20
13
9
10
2
3
0
OECD
Accession Countries
Enhanced Engagement Program
OECD+AC+EEP
Source: UNSD National Accounts database
Note: current prices, US$
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
AC’s and EEC’s are more dynamic trading
countries than the 30 OECD countries
Export growth G+S
2000-2006
180
Import growth G+S
2000-2006
160
167
141
151
160
140
140
120
120
100
82
100
80
148
82
80
72
69
60
60
40
40
20
20
0
0
OECD
Accession
Countries
Enhanced
Engagement
Program
Source: UNSD National Accounts database
Note: current prices, US$
OECD+AC+EEP
OECD
Accession
Countries
Enhanced
Engagement
Program
OECD+AC+EEP
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STD/PASS/TAGS
STD/SES/TAGS – –Trade
Tradeand
andGlobalisation
GlobalisationStatistics
Statistics
Thank you!
[email protected]
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