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Chris Tuppen [email protected] +44 7710 039337 Advancing Sustainability LLP 100 90 80 70 60 Aviation & Shipping Surface Transport 50 Industry Residential 40 Electricty 30 20 10 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Advancing Sustainability LLP 60 50 business as usual G Tonnes CO2 40 30 20 10 blue map lowest cost pathway to 450ppm 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives, 2010 Advancing Sustainability LLP 20% reduction in CO2 (against 1990 levels) 20% of energy from renewables 20% energy efficiency “the EU will achieve only half of the 20 % [energy efficiency] target in 2020” COM(2011) 370 Proposal for a Directive on Energy Efficiency Advancing Sustainability LLP Cut energy consumption per unit of economic growth by 16 percent Reduce carbon dioxide emissions per unit of economic growth by 17 percent Increase the use of non-fossil fuels from 8.3 percent in 2010 to 11.4 percent China’s Long Term Target Reduce carbon intensity by 40 to 45 percent by 2020 from 2005 levels while GDP continues to grow at 7-8% pa Advancing Sustainability LLP Energy • Power Economy • Buildings ICT Climate Change • Transport • Data ALIGN-O-METER Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER SMART GRID € per tonne CO2e Decarbonisation Peak Oil 100 UK proposed carbon floor price 50 0 2010 2020 2030 http://www.peakoil.net/GiantOilFields.html Middle Class Consumers Essential Investment Image: Pixomar / FreeDigitalPhotos.net Europe needs to spend € 1 trillion on its energy infrastructure over the next decade. EC Communication, Energy 2020: A strategy for competitive, sustainable and secure energy Image: Savit Keawtavee / FreeDigitalPhotos.net Source: World Bank 2009 Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER Goldman Sachs estimates smart grids will be a $750 billion [total]global market for equipment makers. http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE68T2T020100930, Sept 2010 Cumulative global investment in smart grids … will approach $46 billion by 2015. http://www.abiresearch.com/ China's smart meter boom will lead to 1billion [global] installations by 2020 http://www.greenbiz.com/news/2011/08/10/chinas-smart-meter-boom-will-lead-1b-installations-2020 Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER Energy Costs Regulation • 3% of total floor area of publicly owned buildings over 250m2 renovated annually to minimum energy performance requirements set in current building regulations. • Published inventory of energy performance of publicly owned buildings. • Independent energy audit for large companies by 30 June 2014 and every three years thereafter. • Promote the availability of energy audits and encourage SMES and households to undergo an audit. SMART BUILDINGS UK Electricity Market Reform Consultation, Dec 2010 Smart Grid Demand management Source: Arup Distributed Renewables COM(2011) 370 Proposal for a Directive on Energy Efficiency Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER homes commercial IDC predicts the global market for smart building systems will grow at a rate of 26.6% per year to reach a $10.2b market in 2015. http://www.information-age.com/channels/data-centre-and-it-infrastructure/perspectives-and-trends/1620768/smart-buildings-the-killer-app-for-smart-grid-says-idc.thtml Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER Urbanisation Decarbonisation SMART TRANSPORT UN World Population Prospects, 2008 Congestion Image: Paul Martin Eldridge / FreeDigitalPhotos.net Peak Oil http://www.peakoil.net/GiantOilFields.html Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER Source: Intelligent Transportation Society of America, August 2011 Advancing Sustainability LLP ALIGN-O-METER SMART GRID SMART TRANSPORT SMART BUILDINGS data optimisation city dashboard apps creation Advancing Sustainability LLP • New ways of thinking Engineers, planners, architects etc have often not been trained to consider ICT solutions to their problems. • Breaking down the silos ICT solutions often require a more holistic approach. • Business Case There is very little publicly available hard business case data available at an individual project level. Too much dependency on volatile public funding. • Retrofit It’s often difficult to retrofit smart solutions into existing buildings, systems and infrastructure. • Standards A lack of agreed technical standards is delaying the implementation of smart technologies. Advancing Sustainability LLP Standards are Essential • • • • Rio de Janeiro Operations Centre monitoring transport, water, weather and energy. Features Upgradeability Privacy Security • Protocols for loosely coupled databases: • access • metadata • internet • web services • Open access • Privacy • Commercial Confidentiality Energy, Economy, ICT and Climate Change Improving alignment but still a way to go Smart Grids lead the way Initial focus on large smart buildings Smart transport integral to efficient cities Smart data behind C21city management Systems thinking with open source data Standards are essential Advancing Sustainability LLP