Transcript GDP per capita 5 CE countries vs. Germany

Hubert Sawicki
Independent Consultant
AMT
The Expanded EU
What It Presents for AMT Members
&
How AMT Can Help
Market Update Breakfast
Central/Eastern Europe
September 9, 2006
What is Central Europe and where it ends
• Multinational – Multicultural – Multilingual. Just check
Norman Davies & his books on history of Europe
• Economically connected with the West stronger than ever –
the EU factor
- Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenia –
members of the EU from May 1, 2004. Impeccably Central
European
- Baltic countries, ie. Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania - members
of the EU from May 1, 2004. Since then counted as
Central European
- Romania, Bulgaria– members of the EU from January 1,
2007. Rather Eastern Central Europe
- Balkan countries (Croatia, Serbia, Montenegro, Bosnia
Herzegovina, Macedonia) – future less certain, as the
European Union displays little enthusiasm about their
membership. Rather Southern Central Europe
Some call it
Middle European Region
1st Circle – 200 km radius
2nd Circle – 500 km radius
Area 5 CE Countries vs. Germany
DE
Sk
Cz
PL
DE
Hu
All 5
Ro
Sk
Cz
Hu
Ro
PL
All 5
Population 5 CE Countries vs Germany
(Millions)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
DE
Sk
Cz
Hu
Ro
PL All 5
GDP 5 CE Countries vs. Germany
(Billions US Dollars)
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
DE Sk Cz Hu Ro PL All
5
What is the scope for AMT members in CE
Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania
are our region: its total population 86.5, total GDP $1,146.9
bn. To compare it with the German industrial powerhouse:
population 82.4 m, GDP $2,504 bn.
• One particular feature in common: significant automotive
sector, to the capacity of over 2 m cars per annum Peugeot-Citroen, Renault, Audi-Volkswagen, GM, Toyota,
Hyundai, Kia are all there, to name a few
• Well above 2000 factories are working for automotive
sector producing parts and components. And Tier1/Tier 2
suppliers are AMT points of interest
• Southern Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia form a
cluster of automotive sector plants within 200 km radius
2007 Automotive Output
Middle European Region
D
Opel
Volkswagen
BMW
Porsche
Volkswagen
Eisenach
Mosel
Leipzig
Leipzig
Dresden
Corsa
Golf, Passat
2-er
Cayenne (Final Ass.)
Phaeton
Voyager, Gr. Cherokee, Saab
A
Magna
Graz (Steyr)
Conv., BMW X3, DC G-Cl.
Pol
Opel (GM)
Gliwice
Agila
Fiat
Tychy
Seicento
Volksw. NFZ Poznan
T5, Caddy
CZ
Skoda
MB, Kvasiny Vchlabi Fabia, Oktavia, Superb
SK
Volkswagen
Bratislava
Touareg,Ibiza, Polo,Golf
Hun
Audi
Györ
A3, TT
Suzuki
Estergom
Ignis, Wagon R+, Alto
SLOVEN Renault
Novo Mesto
Clio
Ro
Dacia/Renault Colibasi (Arges C.)
Solenza
CZ
PSA-Toyota
Kolin
Aygo, P106,C106
Ro
Dacia/Renault Pitesti
Logan
SK
PSA
Trnava
P207
Hyundai
Žilina
Production of 3 m cars forecasted
What else is there for AMT members in CE
• Other industries of 5 countries requiring machine tools and
manufacturing technologies:
1. diverse general engineering - strong in all countries,
especially in Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary
2. aviation mainly in Poland and some in Czech Republic
3. oil industry in Romania
• Educated and skillful local workforce - no longer low-paid,
but still paid very competitively
• Overall competitive cost of manufacturing
• Americans are well received in all these countries
• Good outpost for future business in Eastern Europe proper,
ie. in Ukraine and Russia
Industries in 5 CE countries
•
•
•
•
•
• Czech Rep:
metallurgy, machinery and equipment, motor vehicles, aviation, glass,
armaments
• Hungary:
mining, metallurgy, construction materials, processed foods, textiles,
chemicals (especially pharmaceuticals), motor vehicles
• Poland:
machine building, motor vehicles, aerospace, iron and steel, metal products,
coal mining, chemicals, shipbuilding, food processing, glass, beverages,
textiles
• Romania:
textiles and footwear, light machinery and auto assembly, mining, timber,
construction materials, metallurgy, chemicals, food processing, petroleum
refining
• Slovakia:
metal and metal products; food and beverages; electricity, gas, coke, oil,
nuclear fuel; chemicals and manmade fibers; machinery; paper and printing;
earthenware and ceramics; transport vehicles; textiles; electrical and optical
apparatus; rubber products
GDP Composition
5 CE Countries vs Germany
(%%)
80
Agriculture
Germany
0.9
Industries
Services
34.3
64.8
70
60
50
Czech Rep
3.4
39.3
57.3
Poland
2.8
31.7
65.5
Agricult
Industry
Services
40
30
Slovakia
3.5
29.4
67.1
Hungary
3.9
30.8
65.3
Romania
31.6
30.7
37.7
20
10
0
DE Cz Pl
Sk Hu Ro
AMT in Central/Eastern Europe
• 2006 - renewed efforts in the region to make this
substantial market work for AMT members - reassessment
of prospects has been made
- a very successful 3-country Trade Mission in April,
- a 4-country visit breaking new grounds in July
- my appointment as “AMT’s man in the region”
• 5 main Central European countries to remain under AMT’s
particular scrutiny; efforts to develop markets there for the
benefit of AMT members
• Eastern Europe (Ukraine and Russia) watched closely
• AMT presence intended to intensify
What I can do for you (1)
Research, to identify and gather information for you
• Identify market potential and specific customers for
machine tool products
• Identify and pre-assess agents and distributors in your
areas of interest
• Assist you in identification and meeting companies with
prospects for potential development of strategic alliances,
especially in manufacturing
• Participate in updating the appropriate information on the
region and on AMT for the region
• Advise AMT on rationale of more structured AMT
presence in the region
What I can do for you (2)
Organizing events, participating and visiting, and travelling
with you
• Help to organize and participate in trade missions and
market investigation trips
• Promote AMT-sponsored shows and promote your
products, services and interests
• Participate in conferences/seminars in the region to
promote AMT and your activities
• Help to organize seminars, machine tools and tools
exhibitions with your interests in mind
• If required travel with you while you are in the region
What I can do for you (3)
Contacting people and organizations of importance
• Remain in contact with local machine tools and tools
associations (at present established in Czech Republic –
the strongest, also in Poland and Romania)
• Remain in contact with other associations of companies
representing potential customers for the AMT members
products, especially in automotive
• Co-operate with the US Commercial Services, and
American Chambers of Commerce in a given locality
• Assist in conferences/seminars concerning trade within the
region
GDP per capita 5 CE countries vs. Germany
(US Dollars)
& GDP per capita USA
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
DE
Sk
Cz
Hu Ro PL US
My contact details
Hubert Sawicki
[email protected]
+48 22 8616177 (office phone)
+48 22 8616178 (fax)
+48 502 751105 (mobile phone)
Location: Warsaw - Poland
YOU ARE MORE THEN WELCOME TO USE THEM AS REQUIRED
Please take into account 6 hours difference between Washington DC and my office
in Warsaw Poland as well as most of the countries in the region
Thank you for your attention!
