Transcript Measuring Progress - National Statistical Service

Measuring Progress
Dr Paul Jelfs, Branch Head
Health Information and Social Analysis Branch
Australian Bureau of Statistics
Is life in Australia getting better?
• Who is it getting better for?
– Everyone?
– Some groups?
• Is it getting better for some at the expense of
others?
What is progress?
“the level of social progress or development in any country is a
matter of considerable conjecture and a high degree of
subjective appreciation” Donald J. Johnston, 2006
• Direct social influences on the changing wellbeing of a
population
• The structure and growth of the economy
• The environment – as a direct influence on the wellbeing of
people and the economy, as well as independent value
Perspectives on measuring progress
“… the gross national product measures everything, in
short, except that which makes life worthwhile.” Robert
Kennedy, 1968
“The better an electorate is able to hold its policy
makers accountable through evidence of their
performance, the greater the incentive for policy
makers to make better policy. And smarter indicators
of progress could help society to achieve more
relevant goals with fewer resources.” OECD
Measuring Progress
“Not everything that is important can be measured, and not everything that
can be measured is important.” Albert Einstein
There are many different approached to measuring progress, including:
•
Life satisfaction or happiness
•
A single composite indicator e.g. Human Development Index and Genuine Progress
Indicator
•
A set of integrated accounts that presents social economic and environmental data in a
unified system
•
Suite of indicators to inform judgements
MAP - A Brief History
• first released 2002
- Awarded The Bulletin’s Smart 100, 2003
• subsequent reports 2004 and 2006
• headline indicators updated annually on the ABS
website (from 2005)
• most recent update April 2009
Society
The Economy
Health
Education and training
Work
Culture and leisure
Family, community and social
cohesion
Crime
Communication
Transport
Democracy, governance and
citizenship
National income
Economic hardship
National wealth
Housing
Productivity
Competitiveness and openness
Inflation
The Environment
The natural landscape
The air and atmosphere
Oceans and estuaries
Recent results – Unemployment rate
Annual average unemployment rate - Australia
9.0
8.0
7.0
%
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
97 9 98 9 99 0 00 0 01 0 02 0 03 0 04 0 05 0 06 0 07 0 08
19
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Year
Unemployment rate by age
Annual average unemployment rate - Australia
25
20
15 - 19
15
%
20 - 24
25 - 44
45 - 64
10
65 & over
5
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
0
People working part-time or long hours
People working part-time or long hours (proportion of all employed)
25
20
FT — 50 hours or more per
week
15
%
PT — prefer more hours
10
PT — do not prefer more
hours
5
0
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
95 997 999 001 003 005
19
1
1
2
2
2
Year
Recent results – Economic Hardship
Average real equivalised disposable household income
140
120
Index
100
80
Low income group
Middle income group
60
40
20
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
Recent results – National wealth
Year (as at 30 June)
20
08
20
07
20
06
20
05
20
04
20
03
20
02
20
01
20
00
19
99
$285
$280
$275
$270
$265
$260
$255
$250
$245
$240
19
98
Thousands
Real national net worth per person
Recent results – Air Quality
Average no. of NEPM PM 10 one-day exceedences
Days on which fine particle health standards were exceeded
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
10-year change in headline indicators and GDP
Victims of hhld crime
Victims of personal crime
Greenhouse gas emissions per person
Greenhouse gas emissions
Air quality exceeded health standards
Annual area of land cleared
Threatened birds and mammals
Multifactor productivity
National net worth per capita
Disposable income of low income hhlds
National disposable income per capita
Unemployment rate
Vocational or higher qualification
Female - Life expectancy
Male - Life expectancy
GDP per person
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Comparative national and local initiatives
•
•
•
•
•
•
Community Indicators Victoria
Tasmania Together
NSW state plan
The Basin Plan (Murray-Darling Basin Authority)
COAG process
Spotlight on the Pilbara
International comparisons
• OECD Measuring the progress of societies
– OECD 3rd World Forum October 2009
• Canadian Index of Wellbeing
• Community Accounts: Government of
Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada
Conceptual development of MAP
Areas where development is required are:
• Housing – affordability, housing as an economic resource,
occupancy rates
• Environment – appropriate measures, data availability
• Democracy, governance and citizenship – measuring
attitudinal perspectives
• Crime and Security – broadening the focus to include
security measures at a national level, data availability
Wouldn’t it be good if…
• We could measure subjective indicators of
wellbeing
• Apply the MAP indicators to smaller populations or
interest groups
• MAP could be used as an evidence base for
change at a local level
Conceptual development
• An Expert Reference Group is being assembled to
discuss the conceptual development of MAP
• The Expert Reference Group will be made up of a
number of prominent experts in related fields
Turning MAP into an electronic product
Challenges:
• Presenting a complex report in a manageable way
• Keeping the relevant background information
accessible
• Meeting the needs of a broad range of clients
• Engaging a broad audience with varying levels of
statistical knowledge
Turning MAP into an electronic product
Advantages
• Improved navigation
• Improved graphing
• Key updates annually
Existing MAP website
Prototype of redevelopment
Questions?
• Visit our display
• Come to the ‘Measuring Progress’ workshop
• Visit our website
www.abs.gov.au/about/progress
Contact details
Paul Jelfs, Branch Head
[email protected]
Phone: 02 6252 6690
Tracey Chester, MAP Project leader
[email protected]
Phone: 02 6252 5609