Today and Tomorrow of CODATA -Our Missions and Roles of DSAO

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Transcript Today and Tomorrow of CODATA -Our Missions and Roles of DSAO

Yesterday、Today and Tomorrow of CODATA
-Our Missions and Roles of DSAOShuichi IWATA
CODATA President
16th DSAO at Bangkok, Thailand
Abstract
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Productivity of data has been increasing drastically in these 40 years since the
beginning of CODATA. The number of substances registered in 1965 is 211,934,
which have been piled up to 78,289,324 substances on file at 2004 year end. On
December 29th of 2005 at 06:33:37 EST, CAS Registry System have 27,122,081
organic and inorganic substances, and 57,070,162 sequences. These substances
and materials can create a wide variety of products and reactions, which can create a
wide variety of environments, which can create different issues, e.g., divides between
the north and the south and sustainable developments.
As a consequence of market mechanisms, decreasing returns from data and
increasing values of mining methods are going in parallel, which reconfirm the
importance of data quality as well as the customization of data even if calculated
ones. Thus as Henri Poincare pointed out in his book “Science et Methode” about
one hundred years ago, universality of data and models become important. This
trend activate developments of visualization and data mining methods, and also
computational methods.
As Asian and Oceanic areas have big diversities with respect to economical and
cultural contents if compared with US and European countries, there are new
challenges to go beyond industrial capitalisms by taking advantage of collected and
compiled data. Fusion of two big movements WSSD and WSID, and regional
implementations require us to work together, which may create new paradigms for
this century.
Abstract of Abstract
• Mass Production Paradigms from
Manufacturing to Data & Information
• Value Additions on “Mass”
• Innovations beyond “Average and
Universality” based on “Limits” and
“Diversities”
Changes from Yesterday to Today
C : Velocity of Light
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Georg Simon Ohm
James Clerk Maxwell
Jean-Baptiste-Joseph de Fourier
Peter Gustav Lejeune-Dirichlet
Felix Klein
David Hilbert
Wilhelm Eduard Weber
Bernhard Riemann
…
Human beings、Energy and Time
Discovery Trends of Energy Resources (Oil)
Oil, Gas and Carbon Dioxides
C. Campbell & Global Commons Institute: 2003
Serendipity in
Materials Design
1
MN(B)
100
MN(A)
不
射
而
射
100
CN
CN 1-3
Non-former 4
CN 6 (-11)
CN 12 (-13) CN 14(-18)
Former (no 1:1)
Post-competitive actions
Education and Training
How to solve issues at competitive phases? Rules of games!
Get-the-Smaller-Picture
Get-the-Smaller-Picture
Get-the-Smaller-Picture
Get-the-Precise-Picture
Get-the-Precise-Picture
http://www.pref.kagawa.jp/haitai/teshima/project/epdf.htm
Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Reduce by half the proportion of people living on less than a dollar a day
Reduce by half the proportion of people who suffer from hunger
Achieve universal primary education
Ensure that all boys and girls complete a full course of primary schooling
Promote gender equality and empower women
Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005, and at all levels by 2015
Reduce child mortality
Reduce by two thirds the mortality rate among children under five
Improve maternal health
Reduce by three quarters the maternal mortality ratio
Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS
Halt and begin to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases
Ensure environmental sustainability
Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programmes; reverse loss of environmental resources
Reduce by half the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water
Achieve significant improvement in lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers, by 2020
Develop a global partnership for development
Develop further an open trading and financial system that is rule-based, predictable and non-discriminatory. Includes a commitment to good
governance, development and poverty reduction—nationally and internationally Address the least developed countries’ special needs.
This includes tariff- and quota-free access for their exports; enhanced debt relief for heavily indebted poor countries; cancellation of official
bilateral debt; and more generous official development assistance for countries committed to poverty reduction
Address the special
needs of landlocked and small island developing States
Deal comprehensively with developing countries’ debt problems through
national and international measures to make debt sustainable in the long term
In cooperation with the developing countries, develop
decent and productive work for youth
In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in
developing countries In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies—especially information and
communications technologies
Lessons from Failures
(1994-2003)
Hull Losses per Million Sectors by IATA Region
EU
NA
NE
FE
AF
SA
Global Average 1.1
Human Dimensions
リソース・マネジメントなんて簡単さ。
おまえがリソースで、俺がマネジメントだ!
We are repeating mistakes.
Is it our intrinsic feature?
To be brave enough for
making challenges
(=mistakes and/or
challenges) .
Successes by total quality
control let people stop
thinking together and
differently.
How to go beyond a domain differentiated discipline
ensuring universal access to scientific knowledge ?
System of collected surgical events
Strategic desk
LAN
Surgical events recording server
VPN-LAN
Comparison between the Present Time
and the Edo Era by Murakami
Distributions of Ground Surface Temperature
40
℃
38
40
℃
38
32
30
36
30
32
34
34
36
34
34
36
32
32
28
(1) Edo Era
28
30
30
28
28
26
26
(summer,3:00 p.m. )
(2) Present
Visions for Future
Evolution of Society
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Controllable?
Invisible hands?
Moral?
Workmanship?
Mission?
Digital Technology?
• Sharing Scientific Data and Information and
in situ Decision Making for better governance
Rearrangement of Three Buildings for Increasing the Wind
Velocity at the Space of Ventilation Path by Murakami
How to link scientific contents and social needs?
Someone(system) needs to take care for solution.
CO 2 濃度
[ppmv]
Concentration
Atmospheric
(ppm)
380
380
360
360
340
340
320
320
300
300
280
1900
280
1920
1940
1960
年
Year
Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Organization
1980
2000
2000
World Consumption
(billion tonnes,
oil equivalent)
10
9
Nuclear
8
Hydro
7
6
Natural Gas
Coal
Oil
5
4
3
2
1
0
1900
1920
1940
1960
Year
Sources: UN Statistical Yearbook, BP Statistical Review of the World Energy
1980
2000
Get-the-Practical-Picture
-Holistic Approaches
• 3R(Reduce, Reuse and Recycle) and “Mottainai”
projects
– Challenge to Establish a Sound Material-Cycle Society
– Promotion of Science and Technology Suitable for 3Rs
• Green Design and Green Product
– Eco-”Brand”
– Innovative Design
• “Open” Access
– Information Sharing and Networking
MISSING LINKS FOR
THE SUSTAINABLITY
• Leaving Problems to the next generation
• Exporting “Public Bads” to “Outsides”
• Big changes are required
– Industrial CapitalismNeo Capitalism?
• Industrial Ecology
• Natural Captalism
• …….
Problem Definition
-Design of Environments• Commons of 10G people
– Earth, Environment, Community…
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Collaboration of 10G people
Commitments of 10G people
Connections of 10G people
Emergences by 10G people
岩田修一
Toward Global Knowledge Sharing
• Not to simply continue compiling data
but….
• It may happen if you feel it is necessary to
get
– Mission: environment
– Users: empowerment
– Values: energy, economy
– Good stories: ethics
TOWARD THE FUTURE
• Global Promotion of 3Rs
• Spirit of “mottainai” “もったいない”
• Global Establishment of Sound MaterialCycle Societies
Linkage among specialized domains
through data and IT
INDIVIDUAL
GROUP
EXPLICIT
Knowing
(as action)
We have a role here!
TACIT
Bridging Epistemologies(J.S.Brown)
Connections
岩田修一
Eudaimonea?
Communications are made through heart to heart
resonance! -------Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
→Incentives
→Views(atmosphere/environment+mission)
→Design and Working Together
→Commitments
→Stories
→Histories and Cultures
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Articulation of Design Problems on
Environment
Get-the-Big-Picture
Get-the-Precise-Picture
Get-the-Relational-Picture
Get-the-Practical-Picture
– Bottom-up and top-down
approaches
– Reactive and proactive actions
– Economical incentives
岩田修一
Not transcendental by A.Sen(1)
• Assume that my wife and I have had
dinner allone as we usually do. For
dessert two cakes have been purchased.
They are very different, but both are very
fine cakes and expensive-according to our
standard. My wife hands me the tray and
suggests that I help myself. What shall I
do?
Not transcendental by A.Sen(2)
• By looking up my own utility function I find
that I very much would like to devour one
particular one of the two cakes. I will
profound that this introspective
observation is completely irrelevant for the
choice problem I face.
Not transcendental by A.Sen(3)
• The really relevant problem is:which one
of the two cakes does my wife prefer? If I
knew that the cake would be easy. I would
say “yes please” and take the other cake,
the one that is her second priority.
----Ragnar Frisch:The originator of
Econometrics,
We have been emerging with mistakes and successes,
and we need to make our experiences into public goods.
It starts from our collaboration fighting against public bads!
Abstract of Abstract
• Mass Production Paradigms from
Manufacturing to Data & Information
• Value Additions on “Mass”
• Innovations beyond “Average and
Universality” based on “Limits” and
“Diversities”
• Let’s start to work together from now!