Transcript Bulldozer Process

1- Context
2- Monitoring and
evaluation tools
Benjamin Herzberg
CICIC
BiH political context: stability - coexistence
STATE
Brcko
Federation of
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Republika Srpska
10 cantons
Office of the High Representative:
Implement the 1995 Dayton peace accord
IMF
WB
EC
USAID
BiH economic context: on the road to better climate
Infrastructure mostly there
$5 billion dollars spent on BiH
Declining donor assistance
GDP (KM 9B) 5,5% growth rate
Current account deficit: exports = 1/3 imports
Debt KM 5B
2002 FDI = 120% 2001
Average salary: KM 470
Transition to market economy
Competitive
business
environment
to attract investment
and increase exports
+
Stable currency, natural resources, low wages, educated workforce
Key growth sectors:wood, textiles, organic farming, energy, water
-
Inherited red-tape laws
Cumbersome Dayton structure (Single Economic Space)
Corruption (as in Central & East European transition countries)
Large gray market (40%), no incentive to enter legitimate market
Poor institutions: inefficient courts, heavy administration
Lack of political will
Lack of advocating constituencies
Some salt into the conventional recipe
Structural reforms – Classic model
Macroeconomic stability
TOP
hard budget constraint,
currency board (IMF)
Private sector
privatization, banking/credit, debt,
labor market, tax (WB, USAID)
Institution/capacity building
Rule of law
eg state revenue authority, veterinary
institute, standards and
measurements, competition (ALL)
courts, legislation, police
(OHR/UN/EU)
+
DOWN
OHR coordinating and monitoring role
Define the
market
Methodology
Create a
brand
Create a
product
Create a value
proposition
UP
“50
economic
reforms
in 150
days”
ENTREPRENEURS
BOTTOM
BULLDOZER
ROADBLOCK
SLOGAN
Monitoring tool: publicly available timeline
Bulldozer Committee
1st Plenary Session
Vetting 8 reforms
Bulldozer Committee
2nd Plenary Session
Vetting 15 reforms
BC
Public meeting
MOSTAR
BC
Public meeting
BRCKO
BC
Public meeting
BANJA LUKA
3 Govts
give their
amendments
package
to PAs
under
“urgent
procedure”
BC
Public meeting
ORASJE
HR meeting Young
Entrepreneurs
TRAVNIK
Dec 17 Jan 16
50
Reform
Enactment
by
3
Parliaments
Joint
Parliament
Meeting in
National
Theatre
with BC
BC presents
50 reforms to
CoM, RS, FBiH
in JOINT
GOVERNMENT
SESSION
BC
Public meeting
ZENICA
BC
Public meeting
TUZLA
Nov 12
Bulldozer Committee
50 REFORMS
PUBLISHED
IN PRESS
Bulldozer Committee
3rd Plenary Session
Vetting 27 reforms
Jan 27
Jan 29
Feb 07
E C O N O M I C
HR Press Conf.
To Present BC
50 reforms
Feb 12 Feb 13
Feb 20
Feb 25
R E F O R M S
Mar 03
I N
Mar 12
150
Mar 24
Mar 25
D A Y S
Apr 3
Apr 22
Evaluation tool: quantifiable outputs – 50 “roadblocks”
R01 Harmonization of LLC Minimum Capital Requirement
R06 Removing mandatory fee for shelter in FBiH
R20 Statewide amendments to provisions on training
and volunteer labor
R24 Easing export of drugs and medicines from BiH
R28 Removing need for registration of foreign
representative office in both entities
R35 Transform Chambers Membership in RS from
Compulsory to Voluntary
R43 Easing collateral transferability
R47 Liberalization of Inter Entity Transport Regulations
for Helping Refugee Return Tansportation
Roadblock submission form
R01: Harmonizing minimum capital requirement for LLC
Evaluation tool: detailed tracking, official gazette check
Monitoring tool: Transparency, legitimacy, accountability
Forms
distributed by
committees
Proposals
Received by
committees
Proposals
pre-selected
by committees
Selected
Proposals
sent to
Bulldozer
Board
Selected
proposals by
Bulldozer
Board
Proposals
vetted by IMF,
WB, EC,
USAID, OHR
Proposals selected
in First Plenary
Session for inclusion
into final book of 50
Proposals
on hold for
further
review
Northwest
500
29
27
8
7
6
6
1
Northeast
700
40
20
10
5
4
4
Banja Luka Region
600
70
40
10
4
2
2
2
Sarajevo Region
450
132
32
12
9
7
5
3
Herzegovina
200
15
10
4
3
1
1
2
Central Bosnia
1200
80
25
10
3
1
1
4
Total
3650
366
154
54
31
21
19
12
 100%
42%
15%
8.5%
6%
5%
BULLDOZER
PHASE II – FIRST
PLENARY
SESSION
Ratio
Review and analyze
1
Dialogue and process
1
2
Enact and publish
1
2
3
Implement and follow-up
1
2
3
4
Verify and measure
1
2
3
4
9
5
Evaluation tool: loose indicators, quantifiable evidence
M&E through public
disclosure
Brochure 1:
100,000 copies, 3 languages,
5 newspapers and magazines
Brochure 2:
200,000 copies, 1 languages,
5 newspapers and magazines
Phase II
Bulldozer reform process