Transcript Document
Public Procurement and Public Budgets –
Management and Transparency
Aleš Michl
Portfolio Strategist
[email protected]
www.rb.cz/modelove-portfolio
September 2011
Prague – Changchun
7 653 km
80’s in Changchun
Now!
China was the biggest economy in the
world for almost all of the past 2000 years
China failed to keep pace with the
Europe/US in the Industrial Revolution
Source: Paul Kennedy/The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, 1987.
CEO Marchionne: “Fiat would perform
better without its loss-making Italian plants”
Advanced Economies: Central
Government Public Debts (in % of GDP)
World
War 2
NOW
Source: Reinhart/Sbrancia: The Liquidation of Government Debt,
Working Paper NBER, March 2011.
http://www.nber.org/papers/w16893.pdf
Czech republic
Global Competitiveness Report 2011
Source: World Economic Forum, 2011
Czech republic
Unit Labor Cost indicators by economic activity
Unit Labor Cost - Total Economy (2005=100)
125
Unit Labor Cost - Industry (2005=100)
120
Unit Labor Cost - Construction (2005=100)
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
Source: OECD
Q4-2010
Q3-2010
Q2-2010
Q1-2010
Q4-2009
Q3-2009
Q2-2009
Q1-2009
Q4-2008
Q3-2008
Q2-2008
Q1-2008
Q4-2007
Q3-2007
Q2-2007
80
The UK government's new
transparency intitiatives
A letter from PM David Cameron to Government departments on
plans to open up Government data (31 May 2010):
“New items of central government spending over £25,000 to be
published online from November 2010.”
“All new central government contracts to be published in full from
January 2011.”
“New items of local government spending over £500 to be
published on a council-by-council basis from January 2011.”
Source: http://www.number10.gov.uk/news/letter-to-governmentdepartments-on-opening-up-data/
If we fail to keep pace with China Industrial
Revolution…
Disclaimer
All views, forecasts, and information, including investment recommendations and
trading ideas, as well as any other information contained in this announcement is
only for the purposes of information. It is non-binding and it represents the view of
Raiffeisenbank. This announcement is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sale
of any financial assets or other financial instrument. Prior to making any investment
decision Raiffeisenbank recommends to get detailed information on the planned
investment or transaction.
Raiffeisenbank elaborated this announcement with best professional care and in
good faith. However, it does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its
contents. Where the law permits, Raiffeisenbank and/or its employees may be
engaged in any transaction or investment referred to in this announcement, as well
as in any transaction or investment with the assets referred to in this announcement,
or in related assets. Raiffeisenbank does not bear any liability for any damage or
lost profit caused to any third parties through use of the information and data
contained in this announcement.
The investment recommendations created by the Economic Research Team and its
employees, as well as the model portfolios, trading ideas, views, and forecasts, are
only of a general character and intended for the public. They are not individualised
or intended for specific parties in a specific financial situation, and they therefore do
not constitute the service of investment consultancy as set forth in the Act 256/2004
Coll., on Capital Market Undertakings, as amended. For full information disclosure
in accordance with the Decree 114/2006 Coll., on Fair Presentation of Investment
Recommendations, see the Raiffeisenbank’s website, section Research –