Transcript Document

Ethiopian Renewable Energy Sector Development
program
Presentation for
37th Geothermal Resource Council Annual Meeting.
Las Vegas, Nevada, September, 2013
Gosaye Mengistie Abayneh
Director Energy studies and Development, MOWE, Addis
Ababa Ethiopia
Short Biography
• Educational Background: MSC Energy Economics,
University of Dundee, Scotland UK, 1995
• Employment Record
• 2001 - 2005
Department Head, Energy Expansion
and Development at the Ministry of Infrastructure
• 2005 - 2009
Department Head, Energy Expansion
and Development at the Ministry of Mines and Energy.
• 2010 - until now,
Director, Energy Studies and
Development, Ministry of Water and Energy.
• The Management Board Member, Ethiopian Electric
Power Corporation since 2005.
Some Factsheet
Area:
Population:
Rural/Urban:
GDP per capita:
Inflation:
GDP per sector:
Installed Capacity:
Energy Mix:
Consumption Per capita :
1.14 million km²
83 million
83.5% / 16.5%
USD 400m
2.8%
Agriculture - 41%
Industries - 13%
Services - 46%
2.178MW
Hydro - 93.1%
Ohter RE - 6.9%
<100 kWh
Macro situation and Vision
• The Ethiopian economy, non- oil-driven economy,
has grown more than 11% for the last 8
consecutive years.
• The economy is expected to double with an
expected yearly economic growth of a minimum
11 percent until 2015.
• Our Growth and Transformation Plan envisions a
major leap in terms of not only economic
structure and income levels but also the level of
social indicators.
Macro Situation and Vision
• The Climate-Resilient Green Economy Strategy
issued by the Government of Ethiopia in 2011,
aiming to protect the country from the
adverse effects of climate change and to build
a green economy.
• Ethiopia will achieve zero net carbon emission
by 2025.
• To reach a lower middle income country
status before the middle of the next decade.
Energy Sector status and Strategy
• Electricity demand growth rate well above 32% per
annum.
• About 88% of the population depend on biomass
Energy.
• Universal electricity coverage 53%
• Our strategy to generate all of our electricity from
renewable energy resources.
• The country deeply engaged in constructing
hydroelectric dams, which will serve as the backbone
of our power system, supplementing them with wind,
geothermal, biomass and waste-to-energy power
plants, to create a better energy mix for the country.
Power Demand Forecast
Target and Moderate forecast
According to the
Target
scenario
electricity demand
will be expected to
grow by 32% until
2020.
Energy Demand forecast Result
20,000
18,000
16,000
Energy (GWH)
14,000
12,000
Target
10,000
Moderate I
8,000
Moderate II
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2015
July 15
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Year
Energy Development Potential and Status
Exploited
Unit
Exploitable Reserve
MW
45,000
kWh/m2
4–6
Wind: Power
Speed
GW
m/s
1,035
7
171MW
Geothermal
MW
7,000
7.3 MW
<1%
Natural gas
Billion m3
113
-
0%
Million tons
253
-
0%
Resource
Hydropower
Solar/day
Oil Shale
Petroleum
Under exploration
Amount
Percent
~2100
<3%
<1%
<1%
Twelve different basins for power development
East African Countries Geothermal
Resources
Djibouti
Eritrea
Ethiopia*
Kenya* (largest
producer)
Malawi
Tanzania
Uganda
Zambia *
Rwanda
Burundi
DRCongo
Comoros Islands
*Plant installed
• Exploration began in 1969 (UNDP
& EG)
• 16 Geothermal Prospect areas
were identified for Electricity
generation in the whole ERV
(covers 13% of the country)
•The resource is also for direct
uses (agriculture, agro-industry etc)
CORBETTI
•About 250 Km S of AA
•Detailed Geoscientific including 8
TG wells
CTG-1
CTG-2
CTG-3
•Max. Temp = 300 ºC
CTG-4
CTG-8
CTG-5
CTG-7
C
Geological Map of Corbetti
Geothermal Prospect Area.
•. Survey has indicated potential
1000MW
Corbetti Geothermal Field
• Since the first half of 2011, Reykjavik Geothermal (RG)
has been working on developing the resource.
• The Head of Terms for Power Purchase Agreement is
now at final stage to sign. The generating capacity of
the Corbetti resource is estimated to be at least 1,000
MWe. At the initial stage 300 MWe will be developed
up to 2018. This first privately financed power project
will undoubtedly will open the door for others to
come.
• Up to 2030 it is planned to add at least 2,000 MW from
all geothermal resources.
• One of the major challenges in our energy
sector development program is financing.
Financing the projected electric power
generation scale up has to far proven to be
very challenging in realizing our ambitious
plan.
• Electricity sector alone will need more than 2
billion USD/year.
• currently the private sector participation is
very crucial in our power sector development
program specially to develop our geothermal
energy.
Generation Projects coming into the
system for the past year
Internationally awarded HPP arch dam
2010
300 MW Tekeze
HPP
420 MW HPP 26 KM Tunnel
Gilgel Gibe II Hydro Electric
6,000 MW Grand Ethiopian
Renaissance Dam Project under
construction (The nation’s project)
6,000 MW GERD PROJECT (35% completed)
GIBE III Dam
(1870 Mw Generating capacity) 81% completed
Distribution of Average Wind Speed, m/s (Height:
50m, 1980~2009) 1,035 GW potential for
exploitation
Phase I (120 MW) Operational
Alstom wind turbines
ADAMA WIND FARM 51 MW (each 1.5 MW
generating unit)
Regional interconnection (power and petroleum)
- Ethiopia- Djibouti
230 KV interconnector
operational since 2011. Replaced 80% of the fuel
based electricity consumption with AfDB Finance.
- Ethiopia –Sudan 230 KV transmission line
completed. Has operational at the end of 2012.
WB finance the Ethiopian Side .
- Border towns in Kenya Moyale interconnected.
- Ethiopia –Kenya 500 KV HV/DC transmission
interconnector construction started this year.
- Ethiopia-Southern Sudan signed an agreement.
- Ready to interconnect with other neighboring
countries.
Regional iNterconnection ….contd
- address both local and regional market
through sense of Urgency and leap frog
approach
Regional interconection..contd
-
We welcome you to invest to Ethiopia
the Capital city of Africa
I Thank you
29