Transcript Ukraine in Figures

MINISTRY FINANCE OF UKRAINE
KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE
Analytic information
Ukraine
Area
603,7 km2
Population
45,6 mln.
GDP 2010
nominal - $136,4 billion
real – 104,1%
GDP 2011
nominal - $165,2 billion
real – 105,2%
GDP 2012
(forecast)
nominal - $187,5 billion
real – 103,9%
Macroeconomic indicators, 2010-2014
Indicators
2010
2011
2012*
2013*
2014*
Nominal GDP
(bl. of ukr. hryvnias)
1082,6
1316,6
1500,0
1687,8
1854,1
Real GDP, %
104,1
105,2
103,9
104,5
104,2
Consumer prices (%, end of
period)
109,1%
104,6%
107,9%
105,9%
105,0%
Producer prices (%, end of
period)
118,7%
114,2%
109,4%
106,3%
105,5%
-3,98
-8,9
-6,62
-6,25
-6,06
8,1
7,9
7,2-7,7
7,0
6,8
Trade balance (bl.$)
Unemployment rate, %
* Forecast (pessimistic scenario)
Real sector of economy
The economy grew in 2011 by 5.2%, industry – 7.6%, agriculture - 17.5%,
construction – 11%, freight services – 7.4%
Prices
Since 2010 inflation has fallen by 4,6% (end of period) in 2011. From the beginning of
2012 CPI increased by 0.4%, producer prices by 5%.
CPI (monthly, % to December of previous year)
External trade
Billions U.S. dollars
Trade balance
Billions U.S. dollars
In 2011 Ukrainian export of goods and services
increased by 28.3% to $88.8 billions, import –
by 33.5% to $97.8 billions.
The deficit of trade balance was $9 billions
(2010: $3 billions).
Main groups of import: mineral products (gas,
oil) and investment import (machinery and
equipment).
Main groups of export: metals, chemical an
agriculture goods.
Export-import coverage ratio 0.91 in 2011 (0.95
in 2010).
Foreign trade transactions in goods Ukraine
carried out with partners from 222 countries.
International reserves (end of period)
•
•
•
Proceeds of foreign currency from non-residents in 2011 exceeded transfers by $16.9 billion.
Central Bank managed to minimize the reduction in international reserves (except funds of IMF):
$31.8 billion (equivalent).
During 2011 the Central Bank supported the charges Naftogaz of Ukraine for its external
obligations.
Key performance indicators of banks in Ukraine
Indicators
01.01.2008
01.01.2009
01.01.2010
01.01.2011
198
198
197
194
198
176
485 368
792 244
747 348
755 030
825 320
820 414
- loans granted to
economic entities
276 184
472 584
474 991
508 288
580 907
588 496
- loans granted to
individuals
153 633
268 857
222 538
186 540
174 650
165 456
Investment in
securities, bl. hryvnias
28 693
40 610
39 335
83 559
87 719
100 054
% of execution of
reserve formation
100.04
100.1
100.05
100.01
100.00
100.01
bl. hryvnias
18 477
44 502
99 238
112 965
118 941
111 357
Capital, bl. hryvnias
69 578
119 263
115 175
137 725
155 487
158 873
Number of registered
banks
Loans, bl. hryvnias
01.01.2012 01.06.2012
of which:
Foreign direct investment in Ukraine
Amount entered in the beginning of investment in the economy of Ukraine in foreign direct
investment (equity) on 1 April 2012 amounted to 50.8 billion $, in per capita – $ 1115.7.
The structure of foreign direct investment in Ukraine
In 2011, Ukraine receive the investments from 128 countries. The top investor countries
(accounting for more than 83% of total direct investments) include: Cyprus - $ 12.7 billion,
Germany - $ 7.4 billion., Netherlands - $ 4.8 billion, the Russian Federation - $ 3.6 billion,
Austria - $ 3.4 billion, United Kingdom - $ 2.5 billion, France - $ 2.2 billion, Sweden - $ 1.74
billion, Virgin Islands (GB ) - $ 1.6 billion and U.S. - $ 1.0 billion.
01.01.2012
Gross external debt
General government balance
6,3%
GDP
7,3%
GDP
2,7%
GDP
1,8%
GDP
Financing the State Budget of Ukraine, 2012
Billions hryvnias
Lending
(repayment of credits)
12,3
12,3
(giving credits)
29,6
Revenue
Lending
Public debt servicing
(payment of interest )
366,8
391,8
Expenditure
Financing:
The line of budget
balance
Privatization
10,0
25,1
(1,7% ВВП)
Deficit
-17,5
Loans
Active operations
98,5
65,9
Principal repayment
Revenue and Expenditure of the State Budget of Ukraine
Billions hryvnias
100,6 %
of the plan
Revenue
with official transfers
98,1 %
of the plan
Expenditure
Relations of state and state-guaranteed debt to GDP
70
60
State- Guaranteed debt to GDP
50
State debt to GDP
Relations of state and guaranteed debt to GDP
34.9
33.5
30
40
Critical level
40
5
35.9
35.2
8.8
7.9
27.1
27.3
2011
2012
budget
10.1
29
4.3
10
24.7
5.1
20
20
17.7
3.4
28.6
2.7
24.7
10
14.8
6.2
29.9
12.3
24.9
2.4
19.6
14.3
12.1
13.8
9.9
0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Comparative assessment of the State debt of Ukraine and other countries
170
153.1
150
Greece
142.8
127.1
130
110
101.8
Italy
Portugal
90
70
74.5
Hungary
52.5
Austria
50
34.9
Ukraine
30.6
27.2
30
24.9
29.6
Poland
10
2009
за даними IMF та Мінфіну
2010
2011
Canada
Netherlands
Ukraine
The public debt structure (repayment terms) on 31.05.2012
The average term to
maturity - 5,1 years
31.05.201231.12.2012
5,8%
2017-2046
36.7%
2013-2016
53.1%
The public debt structure (repayment currencies) on 31.05.2012
Japanese yen
0,5%
Ukrainian hryvnias
44,4%
US dollar
32,7%
euro
4,1%
Special Drawing
Rights
18,3%
The public debt structure (the types of interest rates) on 31.05.2012
LIBOR
7.9%
US Treasury Rates
0,1%
IMF rates
18,3%
FRG banks rates
0,0%
Fixed rates
73,8%