Transcript Bernard`s Budget Briefing - Bernard Trottier, MP -

Etobicoke-Lakeshore 2014 Budget Brief
Bernard Trottier, MP
February 22, 2014
Economic Action Plan 2014
Economic Action Plan 2014: Three Key Themes
1. Working Towards a Balanced Budget
2. Promoting Jobs and Economic Growth
3. Supporting Families and Communities
2
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Theme 1: Working Towards a Balanced Budget
• Before global recession hit, our Conservative Government paid
down $37 billion in debt – bringing Canada’s debt to its lowest
level in 25 years.
• Fiscal responsibility and aggressive debt reduction placed
Canada in best possible position to weather the global
recession.
• When global recession hit, we made deliberate decision to run
temporary deficits to protect our economy and jobs.
• While other countries continue to struggle with debt that is
spiralling out of control, Canada remains in most enviable fiscal
position among all G-7 countries.
• Canada’s net debt-to-GDP ratio is 36.5%, lowest level among
G-7 countries – with Germany being the second lowest at
56.3%, and the G7 average at 90.2%.
3
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
The Government remains on track
to return to balanced budgets in 2015
Budgetary Balance After Measures
Sources: Public Accounts of Canada; Department of Finance
4
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Federal debt as a share of GDP is expected to
decline next year and to fall to 25 per cent of GDP by 2021
Canadian Federal Government Debt as a Percentage of GDP
Sources: Public Accounts of Canada; Statistics Canada; Department of Finance.
5
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Government is taking fiscally responsible action to achieve deficit
reduction
• Budget 2014 builds on previous efforts to reduce spending by announcing
an additional $9.1 billion in ongoing savings, including:
•
Making public sector wages and benefits affordable for taxpayers, by
ensuring compensation is fair and in-line with other public and private sector
employers.
•
Improving the fairness of the tax system, by closing tax loopholes and
strengthening tax enforcement to ensure low taxes for all taxpayers – not only
a select few.
• In addition, our Government is also:
•
Controlling the size and cost of government, by freezing departmental
budgets to ensure efficiency in government operations and administration.
•
Reviewing government assets, to ensure assets that can better create
wealth and jobs for Canadians if were owned by the private sector are
divested.
Our Government has reduced government departmental spending for
three straight years – a trend that has not been observed in decades.
6
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
The Government's restraint measures since Budget 2010
ensure a return to balanced budgets
Impact of Savings Measures Since Budget 2010 on Budgetary Balance
7
Source: Department of Finance.
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Spending reduction measures have been focused on
controlling direct program spending
Components of Federal Program Spending
Sources: Public Accounts of Canada; Department of Finance.
8
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Program expenses-to-GDP ratio to fall below
its pre-recession level
Program Expenses-to-GDP Ratio
Sources: Department of Finance; Statistics Canada.
9
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Transfers to provinces and territories have increased consistently
during our Government’s mandate
Federal Transfers to Provinces and Territories, 2006-2015
10
Sources: Department of Finance.
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Budget will be balanced while not cutting transfers to provinces
• Overall, since 2010, actions we’ve taken to make government more
effective and efficient are saving taxpayers roughly $19 billion a year.
• Unlike the previous Liberal government, we will NOT cut major
transfers to persons (i.e. seniors, pensions, children, etc.) or other
levels of government (i.e. health, education, social services, etc.).
• In fact, major federal transfers to provinces and territories for health
care and social services will reach a record high of almost $65 billion in
2014–15 – an increase of over 50% since 2006
11
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Making Public Sector Wages and Benefits Affordable for Taxpayers
• Continue to work with public sector bargaining agents in upcoming
negotiations to ensure that the public service is affordable, modern and
high-performing in all 27 collective agreements
• Already announced changes to employee pensions and are eliminating
severance benefits available to employees upon voluntary departure
• Modernizing disability and sick leave management system: introducing
short-term disability plan, removing banked sick days payout upon
retirement
• Transitioning from currently paying 75% of benefit costs to equal cost
sharing for retired federal employees, and increasing number of years
of service required to be eligible to participate in the plan from 2 to 6
• Estimated that phasing in equal cost sharing for retired employees and
increasing the minimum years of service required for eligibility would
result in fiscal savings of roughly $7.4 billion over 6 years under accrual
accounting
12
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Improving the Fairness of the Tax System
• A well-functioning tax system is essential to keep Canada positioned as
an attractive place to work, invest and do business
• EAP 2014 proposes a number of measures that reflect our ongoing
commitment to improve integrity of the tax system, including actions to
address international aggressive tax avoidance by multinational
enterprises (e.g. insurance swaps, back-to-back loans through
intermediaries, bogus foreign affiliates)
• EAP 2014 announces public consultations on income tax framework for
non-profit organizations (NPOs) to ensure that tax exemptions for
NPOs are appropriately targeted and not subject to abuse by
organizations that claim the exemption but are not operating in the
manner intended
• In total, measures in EAP 2014 to improve tax integrity will provide
savings of $44 million in 2014–15, rising to $454 million in 2018–19, for
a total of $1.8 billion over 2013–14 and the following five years.
13
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Controlling the Size and Cost of Government
• In November 2013 Update of Economic and Fiscal Projections,
Government reintroduced a 2-year freeze on departmental operating
budgets, beginning in 2014–15
• Operating budget freeze is expected to generate savings of roughly
$550 million in 2014–15 and $1.1 billion in 2015–16
• Operational efficiencies are expected by:
• Streamlining departmental information technology applications
• Simplifying processes and reducing administrative costs of
Government’s procurement system, while reducing administrative
burden on suppliers
• Modernizing federal office space management
• Rationalizing Government’s vehicle fleet
• Eliminate wasteful spending on late fees and interest charges for
delinquent payments to suppliers, on which approximately $5
million was spent in 2012–13
14
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Reviewing Government Assets
• Divestitures of Ridley Terminals Inc. and portions of the Dominion Coal
Blocks
• Plans to exit from holdings in General Motors in an expeditious manner,
while maximizing value for Canadian taxpayers
• Economic Action Plan 2014 continues to include a potential gain from
the sale of assets in the forecast for other revenues of $500 million in
2014–15 and $1.5 billion in 2015–16
Through its review of federal corporate assets, the Government intends
to sell assets that have the potential to generate more wealth and jobs
for Canadians if they were owned by the private sector
15
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Canada’s net debt is expected to remain the lowest,
by far, of any G-7 country
International Monetary Fund Forecast
for Total Government Net Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2018
Note: Total government net debt-to-GDP ratio is ratio of total liabilities net of financial assets of the central, state and local levels of
government, as well as those in social security funds, to GDP. For Canada, total government includes federal, provincial/territorial and local
government sectors, as well as CPP and QPP. For international comparability, adjustments are made to unfunded public pension liabilities.
Source: International Monetary Fund, Fiscal Monitor, October 2013
16
Economic Action Plan 2014: Balanced Budget
Benefits of Balanced Budgets
• Canada is only G-7 country to have a rock solid AAA rating with a
stable outlook from all the major credit rating agencies – Moody’s,
Fitch, and Standard & Poor’s
• Frees up taxpayer dollars that might otherwise be spent on interest
costs
• Instills confidence in consumers and investors, whose dollars spur
economic growth and job creation
• Strengthens Canada’s ability to respond to longer-term challenges,
such as population aging, and unexpected global economic shocks
• Ensure fairness and equity for generations to come by avoiding future
tax increases or reductions in services
17
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Theme 2: Promoting Jobs and Economic Growth
EAP 2014 remains focused on what matters to Canadians: jobs and
growth. We will do this by:
• Connecting Canadians with available jobs, by helping them to
acquire skills that will get them hired or help them get better jobs
• Fostering job creation, innovation and trade, by keeping taxes low
and continuing to provide Canadian businesses and investors with the
market access they need to succeed in the global economy
• Ensuring responsible resource development, by supporting the
mining, forestry and agriculture sectors
• Conserving Canada’s natural heritage, by investing in national parks
and conservation initiatives and expanding tax support for clean energy
• Investing in infrastructure, by continuing record investment in roads,
bridges, ports, and transit via the new Building Canada plan and other
measures
18
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Canada has outperformed all other G-7 economies
in job creation over the recovery
Improvement in Employment Over the Recovery
% Increase in
Employment
Note: Monthly data for Canada (July 2009 to Jan 2014), USA (Feb 2010 to Jan 2014), Germany (July 2009 to Dec 2013),
Japan (Dec 2012 to Dec 2013) and Italy (at its lowest as of Dec 2013). Quarterly data for France (2009Q3 to 2013Q4) and
the UK (2010Q1 to 2013Q3)
Sources: Haver Analytics; Department of Finance calculations
19
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Job creation during the recovery has been
in high-wage, full-time, private-sector employment
Change in Employment Over the Recovery, July 2009 to January 2014
Notes: Calculations are based on Statistics Canada data for 105 industries. High-wage industries are defined as those
with average hourly wages above the aggregate average. Totals may not add due to rounding.
Sources: Statistics Canada; Department of Finance calculations.
20
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Private sector economists expect both
real and nominal GDP growth to pick up this year and next
Canadian GDP Growth Outlook
Source: Department of Finance December 2013 survey of private sector economists
21
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Canada has performed better than most
other G-7 economies during the global recession and the recovery
Change in Real GDP Since Pre-Recession Peak
Note: Pre-recession peak was 2007Q3 for Italy; 2007Q4 for USA; 2008Q1 for UK, France, Germany and Japan; and
2008Q3 for Canada. Last data point is 2013Q3 for all countries except USA and UK, for which it is 2013Q4.
Sources: Haver Analytics; Department of Finance calculations.
22
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Difficulty in Hiring Over the Recovery Has Become
Significant in Certain Occupations
Job Vacancy Rate
Sources: Number of online job postings: WANTED Analytics. Employment: Statistics Canada (Labour Force Survey);
Department of Finance calculations.
23
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Connecting Canadians with Available Jobs: Highlights
• Launching the Canada Job Grant: so that Canadians can get the
skills training they need to get in-demand jobs
• Creating the Canada Apprentice Loan: which will provide
apprentices in Red Seal trades access to over $100 million in interestfree loans each year
• Launching a Job Matching Service: this new service will match
Canadians looking for work with employers looking to hire them
• More paid internships for young Canadians: investing $55 million to
create paid internships for recent graduates in both small and mediumsized business and high-demand fields
• Helping older workers get back to work: investing $75 million in the
Targeted Initiative for Older Workers program to support older workers
who want to participate in the job market
24
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Fostering Job Creation, Innovation and Trade: Highlights
• Landmark investments in research & innovation:
• $1.5 billion over the next decade for post-secondary research
through the Canada First Research Excellence Fund
• $500 million to support a competitive auto sector through the
Automotive Innovation Fund
• $46 million in new funding to the granting councils to support
research and scientific discoveries across Canada
• Cutting red tape for small business: eliminating the requirement for
800,000 payroll remittances by 50,000 small and medium-sized
businesses
• Modernizing Canada’s intellectual property framework to better
align it with international practices
• Promoting Canadian-made products: Developing a “Made-inCanada” campaign to promote high-quality Canadian products here
and around the world, while also working to reduce internal barriers to
trade
25
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Canada leads the G-7 with the lowest overall tax rate
on new business investment
Marginal Effective Tax Rate1 on New Business Investment, 2014
1Marginal
effective tax rate (METR) on new business investment takes into account federal, provincial and territorial statutory corporate
income tax rates, deductions and credits available in the corporate tax system and other taxes paid by corporations.
2 OECD average excludes Canada.
Source: Department of Finance.
26
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Sustained growth is pushing corporate tax revenues higher
Federal Corporate Income Tax Revenue and the
General Corporate Income Tax Rate
27
Sources: Public Accounts of Canada; Department of Finance projection for 2013–14 to 2018–19
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Substantial Tax Reductions for Small Businesses
Federal Corporate Income Tax Paid by a Small CanadianControlled Private Corporation with $500,000 of Taxable Income
28
Sources: Public Accounts of Canada; Department of Finance projection for 2013–14 to 2018–19
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Fostering Small Business
• Reduced small business tax rate from 12 percent to 11 percent
• Eliminated the corporate surtax for all corporations in 2008, which was
particularly beneficial to small business corporations as the surtax
represented a larger proportion of their overall payable tax
• In EAP 2014, maintaining the freeze on Employment Insurance (EI)
premiums
• Lifetime Capital Gains Exemption (LCGE) on qualified small business
shares was increased to $750,000 from $500,000 in 2007. In EAP
2014, increasing LCGE limit to $800,000 for 2014, and new limit is now
indexed to inflation
• No change to CPP contribution rate this year. Expanding CPP would
require an increase in contributions, which would impose a burden on
employers and employees. E.g., doubling CPP rate would result in
estimated increase in annual CPP contributions of up to $2,600 per
worker, shared equally by employers and employees. Self-employed
individuals would need to contribute the entire amount
29
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Ensuring Responsible Resource Development: Highlights
• Canada's natural resources sector represents 18% of the economy,
over half of our exports, and supports 1.8 million jobs
• EAP 2014 proposed new measures to support natural resources sector,
including:
• Supporting mineral exploration, by extending the 15-per-cent
Mineral Exploration Tax Credit for flow-through share investors
• Ensuring comprehensive and timely reviews of pipelines, such
as the TransCanada’s Energy East Project, by investing $28
million in the National Energy Board for such reviews
• Helping Canada’s North realize its economic potential, by
providing $40 million to the Strategic Investments in Northern
Economic Development program
• Supporting the forestry industry, by investing over $90 million in
the Forest Industry Transformation program to advance leadingedge technologies to enhance the competitiveness of Canada’s
wood products and pulp-paper sectors.
30
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Conserving Canada’s Natural Heritage: Highlights
Environmental protection goes hand-in-hand with economic growth. That’s
why EAP 2014 proposes measures to:
• Expand tax relief for green energy generation, to include watercurrent energy equipment and equipment used to treat gases from
waste
• Protect Canada’s national parks, by providing over $390 million to
make improvements to highways, bridges and dams located in our
national parks and historic canals
• Support conservation, by investing an additional $15 million in the
Recreational Fisheries Conservation Partnerships Program
• Improve and expand Canada’s recreational trails, by investing $10
million to improve trails across the country
• Encourage donations of ecologically sensitive land, by making taxrelief for such donations more generous and flexible
• Support family-oriented conservation, by providing $3 million to
allow the Earth Rangers Foundation to expand its ongoing work
31
Economic Action Plan 2014: Jobs & Growth
Investing in Infrastructure: Highlights
• In 2007, we launched the $33 billion Building Canada plan, supporting
over 12,000 infrastructure projects across Canada
• During the stimulus phase, we supported an additional 30,000
infrastructure projects that created immediate jobs
• We doubled the Gas Tax Fund to $2 billion per year, made it permanent
and indexing it at 2 per cent per year, beginning in 2014–15
• Invested $1.8 billion in affordable housing since 2006, and another $1
billion for renovations and energy retrofits for up to 200,000 affordable
housing units
• EAP 2014 maintains the commitment made in the 2013 Building
Canada plan, a $53 billion investment in predictable infrastructure
funding for the next ten years – the largest and longest federal
investment in job creating infrastructure in Canadian history
• EAP 2014 proposes new $305 million investment in broadband internet
in rural and northern communities and $200 million to establish a
National Disaster Mitigation Program
32
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Theme 3: Supporting Families and Communities
• EAP 2014 builds on previous actions by our Government to support
families and communities, improving the quality of life for hard-working
Canadian families
• Supports Canadians by encouraging a consumer-friendly marketplace
and better protecting financial consumers
• EAP 2014 supports Canadian families by keeping taxes low,
encouraging inclusive communities, and providing further tax
recognition of the costs of adopting a child and health-related expenses
33
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Building a Consumer-Friendly Marketplace: Highlights
• Invest $390 million over five years to strengthen Canada’s food safety
system
• Encourage competition and lower prices by introducing legislation to
cap wholesale domestic wireless roaming rates
• Introduce legislation to prohibit unjustified cross-border price
discrimination to reduce the gap between consumer prices in Canada
and the US
• Launch a review of the Canadian deposit insurance framework to
ensure continued protection for the savings of Canadians
• Eliminate the practice of pay-to-pay billing
34
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Investing in Families: Highlights
• $44.9 million over five years to expand the focus of the National AntiDrug Strategy from illicit drugs to also address prescription drug abuse
in Canada
• Enhance access to EI sickness benefits for claimants who receive
Parents of Critically Ill Children and Compassionate Care benefits
• Increase the maximum amount of the Adoption Expense Tax Credit to
help make adoption more affordable for Canadian families
• Restore the effectiveness of the excise duty on tobacco products in
support of the Government’s commitment to reducing tobacco
consumption
• Expanding health-related tax relief under the Goods and Services
Tax/Harmonized Sales Tax (GST/HST) and income tax systems to
better reflect the health care needs of Canadians
35
Canadian Families Keep More of Their
Hard-Earned Dollars as a Result of the
Government’s Actions to Reduce the Tax Burden
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Total Federal Tax Relief for a Family of Four, 2014
36
Source: Department of Finance
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Government’s Actions to Reduce the Tax Burden Are
Leaving More Hard-Earned Dollars in the Pockets of Seniors
Total Federal Tax Relief for a Senior Couple With
Pension Income, 2014
37
Source: Department of Finance
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Investing in Communities: Highlights
• $105 million per year in support of culture-related programs, $9 million
per year for the Canada Book Fund and $8.8 million per year for the
Canada Music Fund
• $10.8 million over four years to support the efforts of Special Olympics
Canada
• $25 million over five years to continue efforts to reduce violence against
Aboriginal women and girls
• $323.4 million over two years to continue the First Nations Water and
Wastewater Action Plan
• $8.1 million to create a DNA-based Missing Persons Index to match
DNA from missing persons and unidentified remains to the National
DNA Data Bank
• Proposing changes to the Public Service Employment Act and the
Public Service Employment Regulations to enhance employment
opportunities in the federal public service for veterans
38
Economic Action Plan 2014:
Families and Communities
Economic Action Plan 2014: Conclusions
• I encourage you to visit www.budget.gc.ca to look over the Budget in
detail to learn more about how it will make our economy stronger and
benefit Canadians
• We will eliminate the deficit in 2015; we will remain focused on the
economy; and we will make job creation our overarching priority
• We remain committed to keeping tax low
• We will not spend recklessly to pile on endless debt for our children and
grandchildren to worry about
• Remaining focused on these goals is the best way to ensure that
Canada’s future is a prosperous one, with a healthy, competitive
economy, sustainable for generations to come
39
Thank you!