Preparedness for ICP Price Surveys

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Transcript Preparedness for ICP Price Surveys

ICP REGIONAL COORDINATORS’
MEETING
7-11 March 2005
Washington, D.C., USA
ICP ASIA PACIFIC
Regional Report
Outline of the ICP Asia Pacific Report
I. Preparedness of ICP Asia Pacific for ICP
Surveys
II. Level of GDP Participation
III. Other Activities Undertaken in the Asia
Pacific Region
IV. ToolPack Matters
Preparedness for ICP Price Surveys –
PREPARING for SURVEYS
RO assisted 18 participating countries in the
conduct of in-country training for their price
collectors for ICP price surveys and ToolPack.
ICP Asia Pacific consultant reviewed sampling
plans submitted by the countries. A few countries
accordingly revised their sampling plans based on
comments & re-submitted these to the RO.
Preparedness for ICP Price Surveys –
STARTING DATES of SURVEYS
Twenty-one of 23 participating countries have
started their surveys as of January.
India undertook a pilot survey in December 2004
but its main survey is expected to start in the 2nd
half of February due to the tsunami calamity.
Sri Lanka will start 2nd half of March as many of
its statistical officers are assisting in the tsunamiaffected areas.
Preparedness for ICP Price Surveys –
FREQUENCY of SURVEYS
Weekly/Monthly surveys
Cambodia; PRC; Fiji; Hong
Kong; Lao PDR; Malaysia;
Singapore; Taipei; Thailand;
Vietnam & Macao
Weekly/Monthly/Quarterly
surveys
Bhutan; India; Iran; Maldives;
Mongolia; Pakistan; Sri Lanka &
Brunei
Quarterly surveys
Bangladesh; Indonesia; Nepal &
Philippines
LEVEL of GDP PARTICIPATION
 At the onset of ICP 2005, participating countries in the Asia
Pacific Region were divided into two groups based on their level
of GDP participation.
 Group 1 - Full GDP: Bangladesh; Fiji; Hong Kong; India;
Indonesia; Malaysia; Mongolia; Nepal; Pakistan; PRC;
Philippines; Singapore; Sri Lanka; Taipei; Thailand & Vietnam
 Group 2 - Final Consumption of HHs: Bhutan; Cambodia; Lao
PDR & Maldives
 The recently held National Accounts workshop, however, showed
the capability of almost all participating countries in providing
the required weights for the 155 BHs, for the full GDP
comparison.
Preparedness for ICP Price Surveys –
COVERAGE of SURVEYS/LEVEL of
DETAILS for SUBMISSION of PRICE DATA
Nationwide coverage with urban/rural
dimension for all ICP Price Surveys in the Asia
Pacific Region. All capital cities are included in
the surveys.
The 3rd ICP Asia Pacific RAB meeting agreed
that it would request countries to submit raw
data. However, confirmation from countries is
yet to be received.
Other Activities
 Ring List Workshop
The GO held the ring list workshop for Hong Kong,
China; Malaysia; Philippines and Sri Lanka from 31
January to 11 February 2005 at the ADB HQ.
 Comments on Pharmaceutical SPDs
Two countries gave specific comments on the specific
drugs available in their countries.
Other Activities
 National Accounts Workshop
Conducted on 15-17 February to provide guidance on
estimating expenditure weights & to exchange
information & experience among the participants.
Countries still using 1968 SNA to review the extension
of the asset boundary by the reclassification of outlays
on dual-purpose military assets software & mineral
exploration from intermediate consumption to GFCF &
if are found to be significant, countries should adopt
the 1993 recommendations both in their official NA &
in the expenditure weights to be used for ICP2005.
Other Activities
 National Accounts Workshop
Countries need to look at a number of items (e.g. own
consumption of crops and livestock products, smuggled
goods, etc.) to be included in the NA to ensure
comparability of GDPs.
Discussed & agreed on how to fill up data gaps &
disaggregate data into the required BHs.
17 countries gave preliminary GDP weights for private
final consumption expenditures based on latest data
available. Revised figures to be sent by 3 March. RO will
assist other countries for the computation of expenditure
weights.
Other Activities -
Comments on the Education SPDs
ICP Heading
Additional Price-Determining
Factors/Comments
Pre-primary & primary education
Age of child; membership in the institution; level
Secondary education
Level
Tertiary education
Resident or not/origin; 3 or 4 year degree; principal
subject
Other education programs
Specific language level; duration of lessons
Day care and early childhood
care
Specify the type of staff (e.g. trained nurses, general
staff, etc.)
Music Course
Specify musical instrument; duration of lessons; add
music theories as an option
Education SPDs in general
Quantity/packaging and Seasonal availability irrelevant
for education.
Not certain on how “Number of children in family
enrolled” relates to pricing.
Difficult to obtain information from the price surveys for
“Reliability of service”.
ToolPack (TP) Matters
GO funded the purchase of 26 CPUs given to 17 countries.
TP 1.1 was tested in all CPUs before being sent to the
countries. TP is installed only in these CPUs in most
countries.
Problems encountered by the ADB ICP staff regarding TP
1.2 have been communicated with the GO.
A number of countries have completed the first round of
surveys & are ready to submit their data to the RO. An
urgent request is being raised on the need for training ADB
staff on TP 1.2, especially on data validation procedures
and data analysis & additional training for countries.
ToolPack (TP) Matters
More direction is requested from the GO for data
validation to ensure that all the regions adopt the same
data validation procedures in TP. A detailed step-bystep guide, in addition to Chapter 7 of the ICP
Handbook, is strongly recommended.
Hong Kong, China; Malaysia; Taipei,China; Thailand;
Vietnam; Brunei; Iran; & Macao will use their CPI/other
systems for data entry. The RO needs to introduce the
Batch Utility program to the countries & wait for their
feedback.
THANK YOU