Transcript English - United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
African Centre for
Statistics
Session 5: Progress Report for Phase I of African Project
on SNA (actions, achievements, challenges)
Katalin Bokor
Economic Statistics and National Accounts Section
African Centre for Statistics
AGNA meeting
12-15 May 2015
Outline of the presentation
• I. Actions and achievements
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Country plans and follow-up actions (Pillar 1)
Capacity building (Pillar 2)
Institutional strengthening (Pillar 3)
Compiling technical documents and practical guidebooks (Pillar 4)
Advocacy (Pillar 5)
Monitoring, evaluation, and reporting (Pillar 6)
• II. Challenges
– Countries’ needs for training, TA and financial assistance
– Challenges and actions to resolve issues (continental, country level)
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I/1. Country plans and actions
• As of March 2015, 22 countries reported to have already
formulated country plans
– Algeria, Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Egypt, Ethiopia, Kenya,
Lesotho, Liberia, Mali, Morocco, Mauritius, Niger, Nigeria, Uganda, South
Africa, South Sudan, Swaziland, Tanzania, Tunisia and Zimbabwe
• 16 countries are currently elaborating country plans
– Angola, Botswana, Central African Republic, Congo, Cote d’Ivoire, Gabon,
Gambia, Ghana, Madagascar, Mauritania, Mozambique, Senegal,
Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Togo and Zambia
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I/1. Country plans and actions (Cont’d)
• Most countries have already taken one or more of the following
actions:
– Strengthening the institutional framework and management structure for
national accounts;
– Adhering to international classifications (activities, products, etc.);
– Harmonizing with other statistical systems such as the balance of
payments, public finances, etc.;
– Administering statistical operations including censuses, surveys, studies,
etc.;
– Improving conditions to access different data sources;
– Updating the business register;
– Conducting training for national accountants;
– Changing to a new base year and software for compilation of national
accounts.
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I/1. Country plans and actions (Cont’d)
• Survey on countries’ needs assessment (Dec 2014 – March 2015)
• Survey on partners’ assistance provision (April-May 2015)
Matching demands to supply
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I/2. Capacity building
• AfDB:
– national accounts experts peer review missions on request (Kenya, Nigeria,
Zambia)
– international national accounts consultants to carry out specific TA
missions (Seychelles, Uganda)
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I/2. Capacity building (Cont’d)
• AFRISTAT: strategy to implement the 2008 SNA in its Member
States
– Progressive approach (3-5 years transitions period)
– Six pillars:
» (i) help Member States to migrate with success from the 1993 SNA to the 2008
SNA;
» (ii) reinforce institutional and organizational capacity of national accounts
sections;
» (iii) assist countries to put in place an operational and efficient system to
produce and analyse national accounts;
» (iv) develop an operational system for the publication of national accounts;
» (v) assist and monitor the implementation of the 2008 SNA; and
» (vi) coordinate assistance with other partners.
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I/2. Capacity building (Cont’d)
• AMU:
– members carried out meetings and agreed on a common classification
– work on a common base year and conduct surveys mainly on the informal
sector and employment
– discussing how to apply balance of payments manual (BOP 6), how to
allocate FISIM
• COMESA
– training on national strategies and plans held in Uganda and a training in
Zambia on accounting for financial services according to the 2008 SNA
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I/2. Capacity building (Cont’d)
• ECA:
– Training Workshop on the Implementation of the 2008 SNA (21-23 January
2014, Nouakchott, Mauritania)
» 31 participants from NSOs, Ministries of Planning and Central Banks of 11
francophone African countries.
– Training on the System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA)
» In collaboration with GIZ and the United Nations Statistical Division
» (i) an online training over 8 weeks and 5 modules during SeptemberNovember 2014;
» (ii) an on-site workshop on 2-5 February 2015 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
» 20 African countries have participated and completed the online training
course and on-site training workshop.
– Technical assistance mission to Senegal (March 2015) to finalize national
action plan
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I/2. Capacity building (Cont’d)
• ECCAS:
– Training workshop on the implementation of the 2008 SNA in November
2014. Participants discussed the different tables, rebasing
• ECOWAS:
– Development of an ECOWAS classification of activities and product in line
with ISIC rev 4. and CPC rev. 2, that the Council of Ministers adopted
– Adoption of a roadmap for the implementation of the 2008 SNA
– Roadmap for the implementation of the new common platform
– Regional statistical programme 2014-18 includes activities on national
accounts in line with the 2008 SNA
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I/2. Capacity building (Cont’d)
• IMF:
– FY 2015: 96 TA missions on national accounts and 13 regional workshops
– FY 2016: 95 TA missions on national accounts, 12 regional workshops
organized by RTACs, a three-week course on national accounts statistics at
HQ (July-August 2015), a two-week course on national accounts statistics
at the Africa Training Institute (February 2016)
• SADEC
– training workshop in Botswana about the implementation of the 2008
SNA, including the assessment of current status, challenges, and follow up
actions; the requisites including the different classifications and standards;
and the importance of improving business registers
• UNSD
– a number of meetings organized (i.e. Kampala, SADEC, etc.) where it
provides the tools for self-assessment
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I/3. Institutional strengthening
• ECA launched a “community of practice” on the compilation of
supply and use tables as well as the use of administrative data in
national accounts.
• The purpose is to produce country contributions, in the form of
case studies and sharing country experience for the two technical
documents and practical guidebooks.
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I/4. Compiling technical documents
• AFRISTAT:
– Member States are validating a Methodological Guide on the
Production of National Accounts in AFRISTAT Member States
(According to the 2008 SNA)
– On-going work on a Methodological Guidebook on the Back-casting
of National Accounts
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I/4. Compiling technical documents (Cont’d)
• ECA:
– Exhaustive survey on the use of administrative data in the compilation of
national accounts carried out among African countries
» December 2013-January 2014
» 46 responses
– Expert Group Meeting (EGM) on Administrative Data
» By ECA in collaboration with the Sub-Regional Office for Eastern Africa (SRO-EA)
» 23-27 June 2014, Kigali
» 16 countries
– Expert Group Meeting (EGM) on Supply and Use Tables
» ECA in collaboration with the Sub-Regional Office for Southern Africa (SRO-SA)
» 2-6 June 2014, Port Louis
» 25 countries
– Both documents are being finalized and handbook on the informal sector
is under preparation
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I/4. Compiling technical documents (Cont’d)
• UNSD:
– ongoing work on several technical documents:
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handbook on financial production is being finalized
Input-Output Tables
economic tenancy surveys
monthly accounts
business cycle indicators
non-profit institutions
back-casting methods
– e-learning facility with the Statistical Institute for Asia and the Pacific
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I/6. Monitoring, evaluation, and reporting
• Inaugural Meeting of the CSC in September 2013: CSC will meet
every 6 month during Phase I, and once a year in Phase II of the
Project
• ToRs of the CSC were established during its Inaugural Meeting
held in September 2013 in Addis Ababa.
• 2nd CSC Meeting (or the Friends of the Chair of the CSC) was held
on 2-4 April 2014 in Addis Ababa
• 3rd CSC Meeting convened on 8-9 December 2014 in Tunis
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I/6. Monitoring, evaluation, and reporting (Cont’d)
• Progress report template for the African Project endorsed by the
Friends of the Chair meeting
– Updated on a biannual basis by the Secretariat
– Presented to both AGNA and the CSC
• As part of the transition to Phase II of the project, consultation
with stakeholders about the experience, progress and gaps
observed so far
– Report will be circulated
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II/1. Challenges
Figure 1: Training needs of countries (by activity and planned date for moving to 2008
SNA)
Quarterly GDP
Sector accounts up to financial accounts
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5
7
Employment matrix
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GDP (P) by institutions
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6
Data Collection and processing
6
ISIC rev4 and CPC rev2
6
6
GDP (P) by industries
6
Already moved
12
5
2015-2018
5
8
4
7
5
9
4
8
5
9
5
GDP (E)
5
10
8
SUT
5
14
6
Production and generation of income accounts
IT tool for compilation
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16
SNA boundaries
Sector accounts up to capital account
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4
10
2
7
4
4
4
Undecided
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II/1. Challenges (Cont’d)
Figure 2: Technical assistance needs of countries (by activity and planned moving date)
Sector accounts up to financial accounts
SNA boundaries
Quarterly GDP
Employment matrix
GDP (E)
Sector accounts up to capital account
Data Collection and processing
SUT
GDP (P) by institutions
Production and generation of income accounts
IT tool for compilation
ISIC rev4 and CPC rev2
GDP (P) by industries
Already moved
9
18
6
7
4
17
15
9
12
11
11
10
9
2015-2018
5
3
14
6
6
6
7
7
6
5
7
5
4
9
9
11
8
6
Undecided
4
4
3
2
4
3
3
2
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II/1. Challenges (Cont’d)
Figure 5: Financial assistance needs of countries (number of countries by activity)
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II/2. Challenges and actions to resolve issues
At the continental and regional level:
1. Institutional coordination:
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avoid duplication of activities, improve communication
Secretariat has proposed to the three pan-African institutions (AfDB,
AUC, ECA) to sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to assist
African countries to implement the 2008 SNA
2. Reporting mechanism:
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a template has been developed to provide stakeholders a tool to follow
the progress made, AGNA account newsletter is prepared regularly
stakeholders are invited to report biannually to the Secretariat on
activities
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II/2. Challenges and actions to resolve issues
(Cont’d)
At the continental and regional level:
3. Supporting countries to play a key and central role in the project
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the report on the needs assessment of countries is expected to help to
match countries’ individual needs to partners capacity for assistance
provision
4. Financial resource mobilization
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the expected MoU can help pan-African institutions to show their
engagement for the project and pool together resources
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II/2. Challenges and actions to resolve issues
(Cont’d)
At the country level:
• funding issues
• lack of adequate basic economic statistics, proper business register, price
statistics (other than CPI), etc. paired with data reliability issues
• large differences in sub-regional communities make harmonization more
difficult
• lack of independence of NSOs
• lack of ownership by the authorities
• inadequate data coordination
• reluctance to release new series of national accounts
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United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
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Thank you
Participants are invited to:
• Comment on the progress that has been made
• Comment on challenges not mentioned above
• Provide advice on how to improve and strengthen the implementation of
the project