Transcript THAILAND REGIONAL AND PROVINCIAL PRODUCT

THAILAND
REGIONAL AND PROVINCIAL PRODUCT
16 March, 2010
Beijing, China
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Thailand
 513,115 Sq.Km.
 7 regions
 Northern
: 17 provinces
 North eastern : 19 provinces
 Southern : 14 provinces
 Eastern : 8 provinces
 Western :6 provinces
 Central : 6 provinces
 Bangkok Metropolis and vicinities : 6 provinces
 76 provinces
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Gross Provincial Product : GPP
 National accounts for the country
3 approaches :
Production, Expenditure and Income
 GDP estimation via the production approach is
necessary for the country.
 Top-down approach is used to disaggregate VA of each
activity of the country level to regional / provincial
level.
 GPP estimation normally bases on 2 methods
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
First method
 Use only for agricultural sector
 Because of basic data is relatively perfect
 Production, price are available in provincial level
 But intermediate cost structures are available in
regional level
 Compute VA of each agricultural commodity at
regional level and then disaggregate to provincial level
 VAregion i
= GOregion i - ICregion i
 VAprovince j = VAregion i x Prod. ratio ij
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Second method
 Use for all commodities in other sector
 No have data on production, price and intermediate
consumption at regional and provincial level
 VA of each commodity at the country level are
disaggregated to each province by proportion of
relative production indicators to the country
 VAprovince k
5
= VAcountry
x
Prod. Ratiok
National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
GPP & GRP presentation
 ISIC rev. 3 has been used
 16 economic sectors
(exclude: Extra-territorial organization)
 Current prices
 Constant prices at 1986 prices
 GRPi = sum of GPP in region i
 Population and per capita GPP are presented
 13 months lag for dissemination
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Problem
 It’s not technically perfect
 Because of
o
o
Not reflect prices in difference region / province
IC is same proportion in every region / province
 Accounting system can not be completed due to
unadequate data
 Many activities do not have a clear boundary,
producing places and marketing spots are far away
from each other.
o Transportation : mobile from one boundary to another, railroad
o Electricity generating, marine fishery, mining in the sea
o Mobile phone
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Bottom-up approach
 In order to get the economic situation in each area
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correctly.
Since 2004: NESDB encourage each province (exclude
BKK) to do GPP for themselves.
NESDB provide GPP concept and compilation
methodology to local agency’s staff.
Little by little of quality of GPP-Bottom up are observed.
NESDB still publicizes GPP officially (Top down).
GPP statistics of each province can be utilized for his
own provinces in term of primary economic report.
National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Problem of Bottom-up approach
 Incomplete of data collection
 Hard to get data in some activity eg. Trade: head office
locate at BKK , the branch which in another province
no have accounting data
 Very often changing the local staff who are responsible
for GPP compilation
 Budgetary constraint
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND
Thank you
www.nesdb.go.th
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National Accounts Office, National Economic and Social Development Board : THAILAND