Transcript Jim Michalko

Equilibrium & Opportunism:
information strategies and the
new environment
eLib Conference
York, 2-4 December 1998
James Michalko, Research Libraries Group
OVERVIEW
• Caveats
– OUR PLACE, IGNORANCE & METAPHOR
• Ecology as a metaphoric device
• Population, community and
symbiosis
• Ecological succession
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OUR PLACE, IGNORANCE &
METAPHOR
•
•
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Rarefied air
Deep ignorance
Dim understanding
Metaphors and analogies
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How Rarified?
6 Billion World Population
ONLINE
Worldwide
2%
119.5 million Online Worldwide
70 million Online North America
23 million Online Europe
17.25 million Online
Asia/Pacific
7 million Online
South America
1 million Online
Africa
.75 million
Online
Middle East
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Total
Population
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Worldwide Annual Income
per Family Member
6
6
5
3.8
4
3
2
1.1
1
0
1.1
GREATER
THAN $7500
MIDDLE
INCOME
LESS THAN
$700
Total World
Population
World Population in Billions
U.S. Consumer spending per person was about $482
in 1998 for Communications and Entertainment
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OUR PLACE, IGNORANCE &
METAPHOR
•
•
•
•
Rarefied air
Deep ignorance
Dim understanding
Metaphors and analogies
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•
•
•
•
Ecology as a Metaphoric
Device
Grounding our metaphors
Baseline concepts
eLib as context
Ecology: Study of the relationship
between living things (within species
and between different species) and
between them and their environment
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Ecology - Relationships
Biosphere
Biome
Ecosystem
Community
Population
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Individual
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Food Webs???
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Food Webs???
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Ecology - Relationships
Biosphere
Biome
ECOSYSTEM
COMMUNITY
POPULATION
Individual
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Population -- Limits &
Capacities
• Equilibrium
• Rapid reproduction, short life span
• Opportunism
• Slow reproduction, long life span
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Community and Symbiosis
• Symbiosis
• Parasites and predators
• Beneficial mutualism
• Competitive exclusion
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Ecological Succession
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•
•
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Transformations of communities
Successive species
Diversity of species
Climax vegetation
• Matter increases
• More niches to be exploited
• Production rate slows
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"Towards the Hybrid Library"
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Equilibrium and
Opportunism
• Population strategies and
implications for eLib, The Library,
the Information Economy
• Relationship to the Hybrid Library
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Symbiosis
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•
•
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•
Change in principal relationships
Collaboration and mutualism
Peace between sectors
Adaptation to new expectations
Exploitation of unique assets
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Ecological Succession
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Stability vs. catastrophe
Climactic ecosystems
New species
Environment of continual change
Mass extinction or adaptation?
• The next metaphor...
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Consilience
A jumping together of knowledge as a
result of the linking of facts and fact-based
theory across disciplines to create a
common groundwork of explanation.
Edward O. Wilson
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