Transcript Background
MINISTRY OF COUNTER NARCOTICS ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF AFGHANISTAN ENTERPRISE GIS SYSTEM & GIS PROCESSES Overview • MCN is tasked to produce the National policy on narcotics, conducts monitoring and evaluates eradication of narcotics production. • The National Drug Control Strategy states that eradication should be targeted to those areas that have the greatest opportunity for Alternate Livelihood • GIS is an integral part of the process, and is used in planning, monitoring and evaluation throughout the season. Background Extracts from the UNODC 2012 Afghanistan Opium Survey ‘The total area under opium poppy cultivation in Afghanistan in 2012 was estimated at 154,000 hectares, a 18% increase from the previous year. The vast majority (95%) of opium cultivation took place in nine provinces in Afghanistan’s Southern and Western regions, which include the country’s most insecure provinces. In mirroring the polarization in the security situation between the lawless south and the relatively stable north of the country, this confirms the link between security and opium cultivation observed in previous years. Based on preliminary results from other countries, opium cultivation in Afghanistan represented 64% of global cultivation in 2012. ƒ otal eradication of opium poppy increased by 154% in 2012 due to an increase in T Governor-led eradication (GLE) in all regions, which accounted for 9,672 hectares.’ Background CULTIVATION 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Cultivation (Planted) 2009 Cultivation (Planted) 2010 Cultivation (Planted) 2011 Cultivation (Planted) 2012 ERADICATION 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Eradicated 2009 Eradicated 2010 Eradicated 2011 Eradicated 2012 Systems • • • • ArcGIS for Server 10.1 Arc Editor 10.1 Erdas Imagine PostgreSQL DATA & Processes This process creates a national coverage dataset that graphically depicts where there is the greatest potential for Alternative Livelihoods for the purpose of Governor Led Eradication targeting. This will allow comparison between different provinces. Potential Access to Livelihoods (Rural) National Stability Program Data – Excel Lights @ Night – Proxy to Electricity Market Data - Vector Roads – Vector Quality of Agriculture District Level Data – Excel Distance to Provincial & District Centres Developed Model National Solidarity Program - Output Lights at Night Markets Roads District Data Quality of Agriculture Distance from District Centres • Buffer 1 to 10km Calculated from the polygon outline Potential for Alternate Livelihood National • Using Field Calculator, the processed raster's are merged to produce the National AL Dataset. Legend Potential Alternative Livelihoods Uruzgan Value High Low Provincial Level – Potential for Alternate Livelihoods • Each targeted Province, is then clipped to generate a provincial raster, which can be processed independently of the national level, due to differences at the provincial scale and is therefore relative to the Province. Legend Potential Alternative Livelihoods Uruzgan Value High Low Targeting • Using Poppy Probability and Historical Eradication data in conjunction with the AL data and socio/political data, target areas can be depicted, these are presented to the Provincial & District Governors. The target areas are used to plan the Poppy Eradication Campaign. Legend Poppy Probability 9 Year Trend Value Low Medium High Very High Summary • Data is Collected/Updated on an annual cycle and processed. • Multiple datasets are fused to create the final output, allowing target areas to be generated. • This process used to take many months to complete, using the model making capability in ArcGIS, it has improved the time it takes to create the final output to a several hours, but also removes the chance of human error in the inputs, and creates a consistent auditable output. Finally Thanks for your attention