Transcript WP4 - Ocean DMI

WP4
“Integration to European
global/regional forecasting
capacity”
P.Bahurel - Mercator Ocean
ECOOP Consensus Meeting
Erdemli, 16-17 March 2005
WP4: Motivation
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
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set up an integrated strategy between “open
ocean” and “coastal” operational
oceanography : show it is feasible, and worth
doing
ensure full connection and integration of the
regional/coastal seas forecasting capacity
considered in ECOOP to the global/regional
capacity, existing or developed under GMES
projects such as MERSEA
WP4: Objectives
1.
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
2.
3.
demonstrate – both on scientific and
operational sides – our capacity to ensure full
downscaling from open ocean to shelf/coastal
areas,
build through practical examples reference
areas of successful coupling between
global/regional operational forecasting
systems and regional/coastal forecasting
systems
show how coastal application fields (coastal
pollution, HAB monitoring, etc) could benefit
from an efficient connection between these
different systems.
WP4: Main Deliverables
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
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Practical and successful examples of
implementation of the MERSEA / ECOOP joint
vision for Integrated Coastal Oceanography
– For the Users (to raise / develop interest in “our” operational
oceanography)
– For the Supporting Agencies (for further projects)
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Well assessed methodologies and tools to
ensure downscaling / coupling between open
sea and coastal systems
– For development teams (for further developments)
WP4: Approach/Strategy
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put Application needs first : Algae Bloom, Oil Spill, Sea Level
– not considered if not connected to
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select a limited number of areas, where global ocean meets
european shelf and coastal seas
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
– see criteria next slide
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start from pre-existing systems and improve through integration
: integration of systems, integration of Research inputs
– 2-way connection with e.g. WP10
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run end-to-end experiments, starting from the open ocean
information to reach coastal practical applications and end-users
(e.g. HAB alert), with involvement of coastal models, local
observations, downscaling tools ; show sustainable examples
– Involve operational agencies
WP4: Criteria for the
selection of Pilot Areas
ECOOP Pilot Areas are:
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
1. on coastal areas, but influenced by the open
ocean (downscaling required)
2. with a pre-existing effort
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already covered by a long series of observations
already covered by a first version of a coastal
monitoring and forecasting system (with at least a
modelling capacity)
3. of interest for targetted coastal applications (at
least one)
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oil drift, sea level, algae bloom, ...
with a first version of the application tool ready
EuroGOOS regions
NOOS - North West shelf
MERSEA NW Shelves
open ocean
& shelf
Regional OOS
MERSEA areas
BOOS –Baltic
MERSEA Baltic
Black Sea
GOOS
opened on
deep ocean
MedGOOS – MOON
MERSEA Med Sea
IBIS EuroGOOS
MERSEA Global
WP4: Targeted areas (tbd)
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
IBIS EuroGOOS region (Atlantic shelves)
 Areas
– South: Iberian Shelf
– East: Gulf of Biscay
– North: South Irish Shelf
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Application
– Oil Spill (post-Prestige effort, ...)
– Algae bloom (HABIT consortium, ...)
– Sea Level (met agencies, ...)
Irish
shelf
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
Iberian
Shelf
IBIS EuroGOOS
MERSEA Global
3
1
2
Bay of
Biscay
Algae Bloom
Oil Spill
Sea Level
Example
Area: « Iberian shelf »
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ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
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Partners: Puertos del Estado, ICM, MeteoGalicia, IEO, IST, Univ.
de Vigo, Météo-France, AZTI, IPIMAR, Hydromod
Existing effort: Coastal Circulation model : MOHID model +
assimilation; operational observations ; WQ + oil modules
Downscaling: Coupling with Mercator & ESEOO open sea
systems
Applications :
–
–
–
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HAB (biochemical lead : IST ; K. mikimotoi , dynophisis lead: IEO)
Oil Spill Drift, including Prestige area (lead : Puertos)
Storm surge (lead: Puertos)
Downscaling to bays
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Bilbao bay : model TRIMODENA, coupling, ecoogical model (lead: AZTI)
Ria de Vigo, Baixas : HAB (Dynophisis,Gymnodium Catenatum).
Modelisation : MOHID, monitoring HAB in the ria. Leader : Univ. Vigo
Tage estuary : MOHID model + assimilation ; coupling Mercator/ESEOO
; HAB ; Sea Level ; Oil Spill (lead IPIMAR).
Bay of Biscay
 HAB
Examples
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
Iberian shelf
 Oil spill
Galician shelf
 HAB
Sea Surface Temperature : 11/2003:2/ 2004
Tagus
 Storm surge,
HAB
Bilbao Harbour
 Water pollution
Development needed:
Iberian
coastal system
MERSEA global /
Regional system:
Regional system :Atlantic front
Regional model in physical
sense (includes Gibraltar)
coupling
Tides
Shelf/slope interaction
Biscay
 shelf
…
Irish
Coastal system
PAN-European
(format, database,Obs.
availability):
Obs.
Coupling :
Obs. of coupling tools
 adaptation
Pollution/accident:
To
be used by the downscaling/application
:
Water quality :HAB systemWater
quality : HAB
Oil spill
Coastal systems :
Bathymetry
Diminution of layer thickness
River fluxes
Turbulence parametrisation
Atm.
Forcings
coupling
Assimilation
Data base (obs. + satellite)
Bilbao
…
…
coupling
Obs.
coupling
Water quality :
Rias de Vigo
Iroise
coupling
To be fed by the dowscaling/application
system:
harbour
Obs.
Obs.
Safety at sea:
Data files fromWater
regional
system
Tagus
quality :
Obs.
Storm surge
Coupling tools
HAB
Water quality :
Pollution:
Data files from coastal systems (model
+ obs.)
HAB
Oil Spill
Safety at sea:
Data files from local systems (model + obs.)
Storm surge
WP4 Core activities
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Define and run operational Test cases for application experiments
(algae blooms, oil spill, sea level) in the selected areas
– Prepared to use different versions of the « MERSEA-ECOOP » systems
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
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Organize and improve integration of pre-existing systems and build
up the « MERSEA-ECOOP » system in the selected areas
– Strenghten the connection between systems, following ECOOP inputs
– Conduct a specific work on downscaling/coupling (application of
advanced methods, considered in more details in WP10) ; envisage
different scenarios (inline/online ; permanent or not ; unstructured
grids vs trad. coupling ; …)
– Assess then our capacity to get from the MERSEA system the
information requested by ECOOP application end-users
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Assess impact on targeted applications of the different scenarios ;
lessons for sustainability of the MERSEA-ECOOP offer ; lessons for
exportation in other areas
WP4: Issues
ECOOP Meeting – WP4 – P.Bahurel
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Number of areas to consider
– Is WP4 the only place where « pilot areas »
are considered ?
– Are WP4 criteria considered here OK ?
– Consider other regions
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Level of « Research » activity in WP4
– e.g. downscaling activity with WP10
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Connection with users