Transcript LTE Market View

LTE
Market overview
beyond 2010
Bill Tsao / 曹維陵
[email protected]
Sales Manager
Rohde & Schwarz Taiwan, Ltd.
Agenda
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Wireless technology evolution path
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Wireless Broadband Market status
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Wireless technology evolution path
2005/2006
GSM/
GPRS
2009/2010
2007/2008
2011/2012
EDGE, 200 kHz
EDGEevo
VAMOS
DL: 473 kbps
UL: 473 kbps
DL: 1.9 Mbps
UL: 947 kbps
Double Speech
Capacity
2013/2014
UMTS
HSDPA, 5 MHz
HSPA+, R7
HSPA+, R8
HSPA+, R9
HSPA+, R10
DL: 2.0 Mbps
UL: 2.0 Mbps
DL: 14.4 Mbps
UL: 2.0 Mbps
DL: 28.0 Mbps
UL: 11.5 Mbps
DL: 42.0 Mbps
UL: 11.5 Mbps
DL: 84 Mbps
UL: 23 Mbps
DL: 84 Mbps
UL: 23 Mbps
HSPA, 5 MHz
DL: 14.4 Mbps
UL: 5.76 Mbps
cdma
2000
1xEV-DO, Rev. 0
1.25 MHz
1xEV-DO, Rev. A
1.25 MHz
1xEV-DO, Rev. B
5.0 MHz
DL: 2.4 Mbps
UL: 153 kbps
DL: 3.1 Mbps
UL: 1.8 Mbps
DL: 14.7 Mbps
UL: 4.9 Mbps
LTE (4x4), R8+R9, 20MHz
LTE-Advanced R10
DL: 300 Mbps
UL: 75 Mbps
DL: 1 Gbps (low mobility)
UL: 500 Mbps
DO-Advanced
DL: 32 Mbps and beyond
UL: 12.4 Mbps and beyond
Fixed WiMAX
scalable bandwidth
Mobile WiMAX, 802.16e
Up to 20 MHz
Advanced Mobile
WiMAX, 802.16m
1.25 … 28 MHz
typical up to 15 Mbps
DL: 75 Mbps (2x2)
UL: 28 Mbps (1x2)
DL: up to 1 Gbps (low mobility)
UL: up to 100 Mbps
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Wireless Broadband Worldwide
Customers by Technology
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Mobile Broadband Market
Real mobile broadband is happening now
Q2/2010:
530 million mobile
broadband
subscriptions
(WCDMA, HSPA)**
71% of the
German internet
users own an
internet capable
mobile user
device***
German mobile data increase 2005-2009*
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Sources:
*Bundesnetzagentur
**GSA (Global mobile Supplier Association)
***Accenture Mobile Web Watch
Wireless Broadband Worldwide
WiMAX operator/manufacturer broaden scope to (TD-)LTE
US WiMAX service provider Clearwire
announced plans to trial LTE technology
this year, August 2010
Beceem Ends 4G Debate with
integrated 4G LTE/WiMAX
Chip, February 2010
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Yota chooses LTE
over WiMAX for
new market
rollouts, May 2010
Sequans’ LTE solutions feature
high performance category 3
throughput, TDD and FDD for
global compatibility, August
2010
Strong rising LTE commitments
A global operator community is ready to start
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Up to 22 LTE networks in service by end 2010
Up to 45 LTE networks in service by end 2012
Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – June 7, 2010Slide
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LTE Commitments (status in Dec.2009)
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LTE Commitments (status in Jun.2010)
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LTE commitments
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LTE is commercially available
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LTE commercial
launch on Dec 14, 2009
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Two city networks in
Stockholm and Oslo
Gothenburg added in
August 2010
Population coverage at
launch: 400,000
Initially modems/USB
dongles for 4G only
Limited number of
modems to start with
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Germany – Digital Dividend
LTE 800 - Broadband Access in rural areas
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Deutsche Telekom starts nation wide LTE-Deployment
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Around 500 LTE-Sites on Band 20 planned until end 2010
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No mobility in the beginning
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Further Band 7 deployment will start in 2011
Vodafone Germany to deploy LTE network
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Nation wide LTE coverage by 2013
starting with Band 20
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Plans to have 1,500 base stations upgraded by
the end of 2011 in rural areas without access
to broadband services.
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LTE - front runners pushing the wireless industry
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Verizon providing coverage to about 100 million
people by the end of 2010. 2013 Verizon Wireless
expects to have same coverage with LTE as they do
have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A
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NTT DOCOMO is verifying its new commercial
LTE network in the Tokyo area, prior to the
full-scale launch of a commercial extra-high-speed
LTE service in December
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China Mobile TD-LTE trials currently running,
challenging timescales established for
prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices
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Verizon Wireless
Market update
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Seattle, WA
During the Verizon web case on
June 15, 2010 Verizon Wireless Vice President,
Tony Lewis, was concrete about their plans to launch
LTE in 25 to 30 markets providing coverage to about 100
million people by the end of 2010,
– Verizon will initially roll-out 10 cell sites in multiple key locations and will
increase the number of cell sites towards the end of the year to provide
more coverage,
– By 2013 Verizon Wireless expects to have same coverage with LTE as
they do have now with their 3G network based on 1xEV-DO Rev. A,
which is covering today approximately 95% of the US population,
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Verizon Wireless announced that Rohde & Schwarz has been
selected to provide test solutions for LTE device certification,
– http://news.vzw.com/news/2010/02/pr2010-02-16r.html
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Boston, MA
NTT DoCoMo
Market update
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NTT DOCOMO is the world’s leading mobile operator and provider of
advanced mobile services. The company serves over 56 million customers
in Japan, including 49 million using i-mode™, the world’s most popular
mobile e-mail/Internet platform, and 54 million using FOMA™, the world’s
original 3G mobile service based on W-CDMA.
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TOKYO, JAPAN, June 8, 2010 –
NTT DOCOMO, INC. announced today that
on June 8 it will begin verifying its new
commercial mobile network system based
on the Long Term Evolution (LTE) protocol
in the Tokyo area, prior to the full-scale
launch of extra-high-speed LTE commercial
service in December.
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TOKYO, JAPAN, July 29, 2010 - NTT DOCOMO, INC. today unveiled the
brand name and logo of its forthcoming LTE next-generation mobile
service for the Japanese market, which is scheduled
to launch in December. The brand name is written
Xi™ and read “crossy.”
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LTE ETWS application
Source: 3GPP TS 22.168 version 8.1.0
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China Mobile
Market update
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Li Yizhong, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated that TDSCDMA subscribers in China are expected to reach 80 million by 2011. The
China Mobile TD-SCDMA system covered 284 cities by end 2009. China
Mobile had 7.69 million 3G/TD-SCDMA subscribers total at end March 2010.
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China Mobile internet page:
„We undertook efforts to upgrade our core network to become fully IP-based, and
established a 2G and 3G soft switch IP network that offers superior quality and is the
world's biggest. We are committed to network quality improvement and TD technology
innovation. ... We also promoted the international standardization of TD-LTE in several
international organizations, paving the way for the continuous and healthy development
of the TD industry. We will debut our TD-LTE showcase network at the World
Expo Shanghai 2010.”
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TD-LTE trials now
Timescales established for
prototype, dual-mode and
multimode devices
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In-service estimated as 2012-2013
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The LTE eco-system is building up
LTE FDD and TD-LTE
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Several LTE platforms have been announced
by device and chipset manufacturers and were
demonstrated to carriers and at trade shows,
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1st commercial LTE handsets are data cards,
majority LTE-only, limited to one frequency
band/bandwidth,
Next wave is going to be dual-mode or even triple,
supporting several frequency bands,
Various field trials are ongoing, using selected
infrastructure provider and device
manufacturer,
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Close to 20
chip set and
terminal
manufacturers
reported
platforms into
GSA
LSTI Activities - Progress
Source: LSTI
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LSTI – Initial Results
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Certification test status
GCF FDD
GCF&PTCRB
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GCF TDD
GCF on schedule to start the LTE certification test
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Band 13
Estimate to start with GCF CC V3.40 before the end of 2010
Certificate band includes:
Band 20
Band 3
825
~
~
760
Band 1
1790
2050
Band 40
Band 7
Band 38
~
~
~
2350
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2600
MHz
Certification test status
GCF&PTCRB
l PTCRB plans to start the LTE certification test in Q1/2011
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Band 12
Band 17 Band 13
PTCRB FDD
Band 4
~
720
760
1950
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MHz
LTE/LTE-A Frequency Bands (FDD/TDD)
E-UTRA
Operating
Band
Uplink (UL) operating band
Downlink (DL) operating band
FUL_low – FUL_high [MHz]
FDL_low – FDL_high [MHz]
1
1920
–
1980
2110
–
2170
2
1850
–
1910
1930
–
1990
3
1710
–
1785
1805
–
1880
4
1710
–
1755
2110
–
2155
5
824
–
849
869
–
894
6
830
–
840
875
–
885
7
2500
–
2570
2620
–
2690
8
880
–
915
925
–
960
9
1749.9
–
1784.9
1844.9
–
1879.9
10
1710
–
1770
2110
–
2170
11
1427.9
–
1452.9
1475.9
–
12
698
–
716
728
13
777
–
787
14
788
–
17
704
18
E-UTRA
Operating
Band
Uplink (UL) operating band
Downlink (DL) operating band
FUL_low – FUL_high [MHz]
FDL_low – FDL_high [MHz]
33
1900
–
1920
1900
–
1920
34
2010
–
2025
2010
–
2025
35
1850
–
1910
1850
–
1910
36
1930
–
1990
1930
–
1990
37
1910
–
1930
1910
–
1930
38
2570
–
2620
2570
–
2620
1500.9
39
1880
–
1920
1880
–
1920
–
746
40
2300
–
2400
2300
–
2400
746
–
756
798
758
–
768
–
716
734
–
746
815
–
830
860
–
875
19
830
–
845
875
–
890
20
832
-
862
791
-
821
21
1447.9
-
1462.9
1495.9
-
1510.9
22
3410
-
3500
3510
-
3600
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Voice over LTE
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LTE is likely deployed focus on data service only
Voice service of LTE will be introduce in second step
One Voice initiative
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Introduce by GSMA in Feb.2010
Using IP Multimedia System (IMS) base one 3GPP spec.
GSMA is driving both SMS and Voice service
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What Analyst say about LTE
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Strategy Analytics forecasts the global LTE handset market will
reach 150 million by 2013.
ABI Research forecasts by 2013 operators will spend over $8.6
billion on LTE base stations infrastructure.
IDATE Consulting & Research
“LTE subscribers to reach 380 million by 2015”
Pyramid Research predicts LTE will grow faster than 3G.
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Thank you
for your attention!
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