Transcript Market Research - PowerPoint Presentation

Introduction, Nature & Scope
of Marketing Research
Dr. A. K. Dey
Reference Books
• Business Research Methods
– Cooper & Schindler
• Marketing Research an Applied
Orientation
– Naresh Malhotra
• Marketing Research – Text & Cases
– Boyd, Westfall & Stasch
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Objectives
• Understand Marketing Research (MR)
• Understand relevance of MR for
marketing decisions
• Develop appreciation of MR & its
applications
• Know the procedure of conducting
• Develop familiarity with each step of
procedure
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What is Business Research?
• A systematic Inquiry whose
objective is to provide information
to solve managerial problems.
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Why Study Research?
• Research provides you with the
knowledge and skills needed for
the fast-paced decision-making
environment
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Why Managers need Better
Information
• Global and domestic competition is
more vigorous
• Organizations are increasingly
practicing data mining and data
warehousing
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The Value of Acquiring
Research Skills
• To gather more information before
selecting a course of action
• To do a high-level research study
• To understand research design
• To evaluate and resolve a current
management dilemma
• To establish a career as a research
specialist
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Types of Studies Used for Research
• Reporting
• Descriptive
• Explanatory
• Predictive
Types of Marketing Research are
different from type of studies
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Types of Studies
• Reporting
– To provide an account or summation
of some data or generate some
statistics
• Descriptive
– To discover answers to questions
who, what, when, where and
sometimes how
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Types of Studies
• Explanatory
– It goes beyond description and
attempts to explain the reasons for
the phenomenon that the descriptive
study only observed
– Correlation Study or Hypothesis
testing
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Types of Studies
• Predictive
– To predict when and in what
situations the event will occur
– To also control a phenomenon once
we can explain and predict it
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Different Styles of Research
• Applied Research
– Emphasis on solving practical (specific) problems
– It could be exploring opportunities also
• Rectifying an inventory system that is resulting into
lost sales
• Opportunity to increase stockholder wealth by
acquiring another firm
• Pure Research/Basic Research
– Emphasis on problem solving but of a general nature
(not specific)
• Effect of coupon as against rebate to stimulate demand
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What is Good Research?
• Following the standards of the scientific
method
– Purpose clearly defined
– Research process detailed
– Research design thoroughly planned
– Limitations frankly revealed
– High ethical standards applied
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What is Good Research?
(cont.)
• Following the standards of the
scientific method (cont.)
– Adequate analysis for decisionmaker’s needs
– Findings presented unambiguously
– Conclusions justified
– Researcher’s experience reflected
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The Manager-Researcher
Relationship
• Manager’s obligations
– Specify problems
– Provide adequate background information
– Access to company information gatekeepers
• Researcher’s obligations
– Develop a creative research design
– Provide answers to important business
questions
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Manager-Researcher Conflicts
• Management’s limited exposure to
research
• Manager sees researcher as threat to
personal status
• Researcher has to consider corporate
culture and political situations
• Researcher’s isolation from managers
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When Research Should be Avoided
• When information cannot be applied to
a critical managerial decision
• When managerial decision involves little
risk
• When management has insufficient
resources to conduct a study
• When the cost of the study outweighs
the level of risk of the decision
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Need for MR
• A manager takes decisions
• His responsibility is to reduce risk of failure in
decision making
• Risk arises due to lack of relevant information
• A manager always seeks information to
improve quality of decision making
• Information can be collected through MR
• Hence, MR is an important tool for managerial
decision making
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MR & Marketing Decisions
• For Production, Finance, Personnel
– Most of the required info are available within the
organization; Hence easy to collect & analyze
– Formal procedures are used to improve quality :
Stats Methods for QC, PERT & CPM, Queuing Theory,
Optimization Techniques etc
• For Marketing – information mostly exist
outside the organization
–
–
–
–
In
In
In
In
consumer behaviour, perception, minds
competitive moves
new government rules & regulations
social & political changes
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MR & Marketing Decisions
• Other problems for collecting
information required for marketing
decisions are
– Being external – collection is cumbersome &
expensive
– Variables are often qualitative & dynamic –
making measurements difficult & inaccurate
– Variables are complex & interact with each
other
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Risk of using wrong information
• Choice of wrong information may
lead to
– Excessive expenditure
– Decision going astray
– Becoming uncompetitive & losing out
– Market may vanish all of a sudden –
fashion garments
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Sources of Knowledge
• Empiricists attempt to describe, explain,
and make predictions through
observation
• Rationalists believe all knowledge can
be deduced from known laws or basic
truths of nature
• Authorities serve as important sources
of knowledge, but should be judged on
integrity and willingness to present a
balanced case
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The Essential Tenets of Science
• Direct observation of phenomena
• Clearly defined variables, methods, and
procedures
• Empirically testable hypotheses
• Ability to rule out rival hypotheses
• Statistical justification of conclusions
• Self-correcting process
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Ways to Communicate
• Exposition
– descriptive statements that merely
state and do not give reason
• Argument
– allows us to explain, interpret,
defend, challenge, and explore
meaning
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Important Arguments in
Research
• Deduction is a form of inference
that purports to be conclusive
• Induction draws conclusions from
one or more particular facts
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The Building Blocks of Theory
• Concepts
• Constructs
• Definitions
• Variables
• Propositions and Hypotheses
• Theories
• Models
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Understanding Concepts
• A concept is a bundle of meanings
or characteristics associated with
certain events, objects, conditions,
situations, and behaviors
• Concepts have been developed
over time through shared usage
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Understanding Concepts
• The success of research hinges on:
–how clearly we conceptualize
–how well others understand the
concepts we use
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What is a Construct?
• A construct is an image or idea
specifically invented for a given
research and/or theory-building
purpose.
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Types of Variables
• Independent
• Dependent
• Moderating
• Extraneous
• Intervening
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Types of Variables
• Independent & Dependent
– Leadership style & Employee performance
or Job satisfaction
– Price of a product & Demand
• Independent
– Cause, Stimulus, Predictor, Antecedent
• Dependent
– Effect, Response, Criterion, Consequence
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Types of Variables
• Moderating
– In each relationship there is one
Independent Variable (IV) & one Dependent
Variable (DV)
• Four day work week (IV) will lead to higher
productivity (DV)
– Moderating variable is a second
independent variable that has significant
effect on the originally stated IV–DV
relationship
• Four day work week (IV) will lead to higher
productivity (DV), especially among young
workers (MV)
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Types of Variables
• Extraneous
– Infinite number of extraneous variables
(EV) exist that might effect the relationship
– Most of such variables have little or no
effect on the given situation and these may
be ignored
– Others may have highly random occurrence
as to have little impact
– For productivity example: election of a new
mayor, rainy days, bird flu, strike etc
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Types of Variables
• Intervening
– Intervening variable (IVV) is defined
as a factor which theoretically effects
the observed phenomenon but can
not be seen measured or manipulated
– Its effect can be inferred from the
effects on the observed phenomenon
• Four day work week (IV) will lead to
higher productivity (DV) by increasing
job satisfaction (IVV)
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Propositions & Hypotheses
• Proposition
– A statement about concepts that may
be judged as TRUE or FALSE if it
refers to observable phenomenon
– Proposition formulated for empirical
testing is Hypothesis
– Example
• Infosys employees have higher than
average achievement motivation
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The Role of the Hypothesis
• Guides the direction of the study
• Identifies facts that are relevant
• Suggests which form of research
design is appropriate
• Provides a framework for
organizing the conclusions that
result
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Characteristics & Types of a Good
Hypothesis
• A good hypothesis should fulfill
three conditions:
– Must be adequate for its purpose
– Must be testable
– Must be better than its rivals
• Hypothesis types
– Descriptive
– Relational: Correlation & Causal
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Types of Hypothesis
• Descriptive
– Describes the existence, size, form or distribution of
some variables
– Eighty percent of shareholders of HLL favour
increasing the company’s cash dividend
• It can also be stated as research question
– Do shareholders of HLL favour an increased cash
dividend?
• Either form is acceptable, but descriptive
hypothesis format has advantages
– Encourages researcher to crystallize thinking
– Encourages to think about implications of either an
accepted or rejected finding
– Useful for testing statistical significance
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Types of Hypothesis
• Relational
– Statements that describe the
relationship between two variables
with respect to some case
– Foreign (variable) refrigerators are
perceived to be of better quality
(variable) by Indian consumers
(case)
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Types of Relational Hypothesis
• Two types: Correlation & Causal
• Correlation
– Merely states that variables occur
together without implying that one
causes the other
• People in Kerela give more importance to
education than people in Punjab
• In an office old employees are more
responsive than young employees
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Types of Relational Hypothesis
• Causal (or Explanatory)
– There is an implication that existence
of (or a change in) one causes or
leads to a change in the other
• Causal variable is called Independent
variable and the other Dependent
variable
• Advertisement causes higher sales
• Increase in income leads to higher
savings
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The Value of a Theory
• Narrows the range of facts we need to
study
• Suggests which research approaches
will yield the greatest meaning
• Suggests a data classification system
• Summarizes what is known about an
object of study
• Predicts further facts that should be
found
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Definition of Marketing Research
• American Marketing Association
MR is the systematic gathering, recording and
analyzing of data about problems related to
the marketing of goods & services
• Philip Kotler
MR is the systematic design, collection,
analysis & reporting of data & findings
relevant to a specific marketing situation
facing the company
It may be relevant to add the word “continuous” to the
above definitions
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Purpose of MR
• To improve quality of decision making
process by providing information
• To help reduce the risk associated with
managerial decision making
– Risk due to two types of uncertainties:
• About the expected outcome
• About the future environment
Example : FORD Edsel – car for youth
• To discover opportunity & exploit
profitably
For example : Frooti, Velvette, Mother Dairy, Dhara,
Pan Parag
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Scope of MR
• Consumers of products & services
Buyer behaviour, Influencers, Buying habits, Incentives
• Product & product design
Pricing, Sourcing, Physical attributes
• Distribution Channels
Performance, Dealer Satisfaction, Own vs Multi-brand
• Advertising Impact
Image, Positioning, Media Planning, Message Content &
Prioritizing
• Macro Level Phenomenon
Govt spending. Mood of the Industry, State of Economy
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MR Procedure
• Five Steps
1.Problem Definition
2.Research Design
3.Field Work
4.Data Analysis
5.Report Preparation & Implementation
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The Management-Research
Question Hierarchy
6
Management Decision
Measurement Questions
Investigative Questions
5
4
3
2
1
Management Questions
Research Questions
Management Dilemma
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The Management-Research
Question Hierarchy
6
Management Decision
Conduct an employee survey for
outcomes of change in compensation
structure
If compensation scheme is changed,
will good sales persons leave?
5
4
Introduce individual incentive? Quota
based incentive? Advertise more?
How can we improve sales in
south?
3
2
1
Why are sales declining in south
while sales are booming in all other
regions?
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Working with the Hierarchy
• Management Dilemma
– The symptom of an actual problem
– Not difficult to identify a dilemma,
however choosing one to focus on
may be difficult
– Needs proper prioritizing
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Working with the Hierarchy
• Management Question Categories
–Choice of purposes or objective
–Generation and evaluation of
solutions
–Troubleshooting or control
situation
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Working with the Hierarchy
• Fine tune the research question
– Examine concepts and constructs
– Break research questions into specific
second-and-third-level questions
– Verify hypotheses with quality tests
– Determine what evidence answers
the various questions and hypothesis
– Set the scope of your study
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Working with the Hierarchy
• Investigative Questions
–Questions the researcher must
answer to satisfactorily arrive at
a conclusion about the research
question
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Working with the Hierarchy
• Measurement Questions
–The questions we actually ask to
extract information from
respondents
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Other Processes in the Hierarchy
• Exploration
– Recent developments
– Predictions by informed figures about
the prospects of the technology
– Identification of those involved in the
area
– Accounts of successful ventures and
failures by others in the field
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Research Process Problems
• The Favored Technique Syndrome
• Company Database Strip-Mining
• Unresearchable Questions
• Ill-Defined Management Problems
• Politically Motivated Research
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MR Procedure
• Five Steps
1.Problem Definition
2.Research Design
3.Field Work
4.Data Analysis
5.Report Preparation & Implementation
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1. Problem Definition
• Any situation requiring further investigation is
a problem
• Not all problems require fresh MR to be carried
out. Many can be decided upon based on past
data, trend, experience
• Distributor Credit
• Manufacturing out put
• Stocking level
• Problem Definition should be
• Specific – neither too broad nor too narrow
• Target outcome should be precise
• Should be manageable within time & resource
available
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1. Problem Definition – an example
Incomplete
Problem Definition
Better Problem Definition
1. Product
Refrigerator
Refrigerator – Ordinary & Frost free
2. Market
West Zone
West Zone with spl ref to Mumbai, Nashik,
Pune & Nagpur
3. Market
Segment
----
Office & Institutional Sector & NOT
Households
4. Current Mkt
Share
Not available
12% over all
3% in Office & Inst
5. Problem
Sales not picking
up at the rate at
which they should
Last year our growth 5%
Industry grew by 25%
6. MR Problem
To find out the
reason
To find out the reasons for shortfall in our
growth rate in office & inst segments &
suggest specific strategies followed by Brands
A&B
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2. Research Design
• It spells out how to achieve stated
MR objectives
• Consists of
– Data Collection Method
– Specific Research Instruments
– Sampling Plan
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2. Research Design
– Data Collection Method
• Secondary Data
• Primary Data
– Observation
– Survey (Most widely used)
– Experimentation
– Specific Research Instruments
Camera, Tape, People Meter, Tally Sheet, Questionnaire
– Sampling Plan
–
–
–
–
Who
How
How
How
is to be surveyed?
many?
are they to be selected?
are they to be reached?
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Sampling unit
Sample size
Sampling Procedure
Sampling Media
60
Questionnaire Design – Some
comments
• Arrangement should be from easy to difficult
• Easy to understand language
• Sequencing should be proper – no back & forth
references
• Only important questions must be asked
• Short questionnaire helps in obtaining better
response
• More close ended questions – they help in
analysis
• Response should be captured on proper scaling
• Decide whether to give incentive to respond or
not
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3. Field Work
• Involves planning, execution,
supervision & checking for errors
• MR must be planned & executed well so
as to complete within resource & time
limits
• Progress to be closely monitored to
avoid time & cost overrun
• Extensive back checks & spot checks
will improve the quality of MR output
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4. Data Analysis
• Done in two phases
– Classification of raw data
• Quantitative vs Qualitative
• Chronological, Geographical,
Demographic
– Summarizing the data
• Frequency distribution, Mean, Median,
Mode, Range, Variance, Standard
Deviation
• Data Analysis Methods – Four classes
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4. Data Analysis……….Contd.
• Analytical Methods – Four classes:
– Tests of Significance :Sampling Statistics,
Chi Square Analysis & Analysis of Variance
– Explaining Observed difference I: Cross
Tabulation, Correlation & Regression
– Explaining Observed difference II: Linear
Discriminant Analysis & Automatic
Interaction Detector
– Identifying Interdependencies: Cluster,
Factor & Conjoint Analysis
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5. Report Presentation
• Report must have following sections
–
–
–
–
–
–
Executive Summary
Objectives & Methodology
Summary, Conclusion, Recommendation
Sample Characteristics & Basis of selection
Detailed findings
Questionnaires & other supporting
documents
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Marketing Research
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Secondary Research
Secondary Data
Inexpensive
May not be relevant
May be old
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Internal Sources
•
•
•
•
Company Accounts
Internal Reports and Analysis
Stock Analysis
Retail data - loyalty cards, till data, etc.
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External Sources
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Government Statistics
Trade publications
Commercial Data – IMRB, Gallup, Mintel, etc.
Household Expenditure Survey
Magazine surveys
Other firms’ research
Research documents – publications, journals,
etc.
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Sampling Methods
Sampling Methods:
Probability Methods: Random,
Stratified Random, Cluster
Non Probability Methods:
Convenience, Quota, &
Judgment
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Sampling Methods - Probability
• Sampling Methods:
• Random Samples – equal chance
of anyone being picked
– May select those not in the target
group – indiscriminate
– Sample sizes may need to be large to
be representative
– Can be very expensive
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Sampling Methods - Probability
• Stratified or Segment Random
Sampling
– Samples on the basis of a
representative strata or segment
– Still random but more focussed
– May give more relevant information
– May be more cost effective
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Sampling Methods - Probability
• Cluster Sampling
– Primarily based on geographical areas
or ‘clusters’ that can be seen as being
representative of the whole
population
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Sampling Methods – Non Probability
• Quota Sampling
– Again – by segment
– Not randomly selected
– Specific number on each segment are
interviewed, etc.
– May not be fully representative
– Cheaper method
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Sampling Methods – Non Probability
• Multi-Stage Sampling
– Sample selected from multi stage
sub-groups
• Snowball Sampling
– Samples developed from contacts of
existing customers – ‘word of mouth’
type approach!
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Primary Research
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Primary Research
• Primary Research
–
–
–
–
First hand information
Expensive to collect, analyse and evaluate
Can be highly focussed and relevant
Care needs to be taken with the approach
and methodology to ensure accuracy
– Types of question – Closed – limited
information gained; Open – useful
information but difficult to analyse
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Qualitative & Quantitative
• Quantitative and Qualitative
Information:
• Quantitative – based on numbers –
56% of eighteen year olds drink cold
drink at least four times a week.
Doesn’t tell you why, when, how.
• Qualitative – more detail – tells you
why, when and how!
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Purpose of Marketing Research
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Marketing Research
• Advantages of Marketing Research
– Helps focus attention on objectives
– Aids forecasting, planning and strategic
development
– May help to reduce risk of new product
development
– Communicates image, vision, etc.
– Globalisation makes market information
valuable (HSBC adverts!!)
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Marketing Research
• Disadvantages of Marketing
Research
– Information only as good as the
methodology used
– Can be inaccurate or unreliable
– Results may not be what the business
wants to hear!
– May stifle initiative and ‘gut feeling’
– Always a problem that we may never know
enough to be sure!
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