Transcript WP8 - Ocean DMI

European Coastal-Shelf Sea
Operational Monitoring and
Forecasting System
WP8 Model validation and
inter-comparison
Objectives of the WP are:
-to evaluate the quality of available
information products;
-to improve quality of multidisciplinary
nowcasting/forecasting within ECOOP
partnership;
-to develop NRT quality evaluation of
multidisciplinary information products.
Products EuroMISS
• -output of EMISS
• -oceanographic state characteristics
• - (information: meaning full way to present products)
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Currents, temperature, salinity (pan-E)
Integration of waves (available on the portal)
Sea level (pan-E)
Sea ice (available on the portal)
Biogeochemical state variables (chlorophyll, phytoplankton, oxygen,
nutrients) (pan-E) (zooplankton, zoo-benthos in targeted areas)
Sediment fluxes (targeted areas)
River input changes and influence (runoff, nutrient and organic
matter) (pan-E)
Bloom type and probability (targeted areas)
Transport and dispersion of particles/tracers (pan-E)
Products to be validated:
Currents, temperature, salinity
Sea level
Biogeochemical state variables
Sediment fluxes
Bloom type and probability
Transport and dispersion of particles/tracers
The WP aims are:
Develop common model validation standards
Create a quality controlled validation database
Develop common protocol to calculate standard
validation criterions.
Develop online model validation system
Carry out model validation and inter-comparison
experiments
Carry out model error covariance functions study
Carry out atmospheric forcing comparison
The following WP structure is proposed
according to the formulated objectives and
aims:
WP8.1. Evaluation of the quality of information
products. (in connection with WP1,WP4,WP5)
WP8.2. Optimization of multi operational models.
WP8.3. Optimisation of the forcing fields
WP8.4. Building and pilot operation of online model
validation system
.
WP8.1. Evaluation of the quality of
information products.
(in connection with WP1,WP4,WP5)
Task 8.1.1. Development of common model validation
standards
Task 8.1.2. Development of quality controlled validation
database from distributed data centres
Task 8.1.3. Development of common protocol to
calculate standard validation criterions
Task 8.1.4. Certification of operational models and
assimilation schemes.
V0 models products available at each region will be
evaluated based on the common standards.
WP8.2. Optimization of multi operational
models (in connection with WP2,WP10,WP11)
Task 8.2.1. Models intrcomparison based on certification
results
Task 8.2.2. Installation of the best models/assimilation
schemes
Task 8.2.3. Intercomparison of models (same initial
conditions and prognostic mode)
Task 8.2.4. Intercomparison of models and assimilation
schemes (nowcasting and covariance matrix study)
Recommendation will be elaborated for the application
of the most efficient models (or blocks of models) at
every region of ECOOP partnership
WP8.3. Optimisation of the forcing fields
Task 8.3.1. Data base of forcing fields of different
atmospheric models/remote sensing data
Task 8.3.2. Sensitivity study of nowcasting/forecasting
accuracy with respect to different atmospheric input
Task 8.3.3. Certification of the atmospheric forcing fields
Optimal forcing field will be recommended at every
region of ECOOP and error statistics of forcing will be
evaluated.
WP8.4. Building and pilot operation of
online model validation system
Task 8.1.1. Development of on line common model
validation standards
Task 8.1.2. Development of on line quality controlled
validation dataflow from distributed data centres
Task 8.1.3. Development of on line common
protocol to calculate standard validation criterions
Task 8.1.4. On line pilot quality evaluation of multi
operational models and assimilation schemes.
Distribution of the product quality evaluation
together with nowcasting/forecasting fields.
Clustering or targeting?
1.Bar
ents
1. Currents,
temperature,
salinity
2. Sea level
3.Biogeoche
mical state
variables
4. Sediment
fluxes
5. Bloom
type and
probability
6. Transport
and
dispersion of
particles/trac
ers
2.
Baltic
3.Nor
th
4.Bisc
ay
5.Medit
erranea
n-west
6.Mediterr
anean-east
5.Aegean
6.Black